Business
Bitcoin Struggles After October Crash as Analysts Cite Tariff Tensions, Market Uncertainty and Aggressive Trading
Bitcoin remains under pressure after a turbulent two months in which the cryptocurrency shed significant value, rattled by global economic uncertainty and intense market speculation. The token, which surged to record highs earlier this year, briefly fell below $90,000 this week for the first time in seven months before edging back to around $91,800 by Thursday afternoon in Europe. It did enjoy a modest 0.73% lift on Thursday, helped by a rebound in global stocks after stronger-than-expected earnings from Nvidia eased fears of an AI-driven market bubble.
Analysts say Bitcoin’s troubles can be traced back to 10 October, when a dramatic crash erased more than $1 trillion in value across the broader crypto market. The selloff accelerated after US President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs on China, sparking fresh anxiety about the global economy. More than $19 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out as prices tumbled sharply.
“There have been several catalysts, but it seems as if the biggest drivers are long-term selling by ‘OGs’, an uncertain economic climate, and a mass deleveraging event on the 10th October,” said Nic Puckrin, CEO of Coin Bureau. He noted that “OGs” — long-time Bitcoin holders sitting on large reserves — have been steadily offloading their positions, adding considerable supply to the market.
The downturn has coincided with a period of heightened uncertainty in the United States, where a government shutdown has delayed key economic data releases and complicated forecasts for growth and inflation. Investors are now reconsidering expectations of an interest-rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting. Transcripts from the Fed’s October discussions show policymakers split on whether borrowing costs should be reduced, adding to volatility across financial markets.
“Bitcoin is increasingly driven by macro moves,” Puckrin said, reflecting concerns that as crypto becomes more intertwined with mainstream markets, shocks in one sector could trigger turbulence in another.
But not all analysts blame the losses on economic policy or geopolitics. Carol Alexander, a cryptocurrency expert and finance professor at the University of Sussex, said Bitcoin’s price swings often stem from aggressive tactics used by professional traders on offshore exchanges. These platforms, which face minimal oversight, allow hedge funds and high-frequency trading firms to employ strategies such as spoofing and order-book manipulation to trigger rapid movements.
“Their business model relies on generating sharp volatility. They do not care whether the price rises or falls; they care only that it moves quickly,” Alexander said. She warned that retail investors often take on extreme leverage in an attempt to chase gains, only to be wiped out when markets swing against them. Liquidity dries up once those smaller traders are forced out, she added, often triggering a sharp rebound that encourages new speculation. “The whole system behaves like a football match played in a stadium with no referee.”
Despite the setbacks, some analysts believe the market is nearing a floor. Puckrin expects a recovery, citing growing institutional participation and broader adoption of crypto-related technology. “Crypto has been through multiple cycles and it always emerges stronger,” he said.
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