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European Leaders Weigh Deployment of Troops to Ukraine in Future Peace Plan

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A group of European nations, led by the United Kingdom and France, has been quietly discussing a potential military deployment to Ukraine to help enforce any future peace agreement with Russia. The discussions have taken on a new sense of urgency amid fears that a future U.S. administration under Donald Trump could bypass European allies and strike a unilateral deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

UK and France at the Forefront

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer confirmed on Thursday that the UK would play a role in any post-war security framework for Ukraine but declined to provide specifics.

“I won’t get into the particular capabilities, but I do accept that if there is peace, then there needs to be some sort of security guarantee for Ukraine,” Starmer said.

The concept of European troops in Ukraine first gained traction in early 2024 when French President Emmanuel Macron refused to rule out deploying forces on the ground. His stance initially met strong opposition from Germany and Poland, but recent discussions indicate a shift in attitudes.

Behind-the-Scenes Talks

The first high-level talks on the idea took place in December 2024, at a private meeting at NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte’s residence in Brussels. Attendees included leaders and ministers from the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Denmark, and the Netherlands, along with top EU officials.

The plan is still in early stages, and several obstacles remain. Italy’s constitution limits its ability to send troops abroad, while the Dutch and German governments would require parliamentary approval before committing to a deployment. Poland, meanwhile, remains cautious due to historical tensions with Ukraine.

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Challenges and Possible Deployment Size

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has made clear that he envisions a force of 100,000 to 150,000 troops securing a post-war peace, while media reports suggest a smaller 30,000- to 40,000-strong European contingent. No final figure has been confirmed by European officials.

Estonia’s Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur emphasized that any deployment would depend on the conditions of a peace agreement. If Russian and Ukrainian forces agree to draw down troop levels, European forces could more easily maintain stability. However, if active fighting continues, the situation would become far more complex.

Ukraine’s Position and Future Alliances

During the Munich Security Conference, Zelenskyy argued that Ukraine’s military experience could play a pivotal role in Europe’s future security. He proposed the formation of a new military alliance, calling for an “Armed Forces of Europe” to counter Russia.

“Without the Ukrainian army, European armies will not be enough to stop Russia. This is the reality,” Zelenskyy stated.

However, he acknowledged that Ukraine lacks sufficient military equipment, including fighter jets and air defense systems.

“If we had 150 to 160 F-16 fighter jets and over 25 Patriot missile systems, why would we need U.S. or European troops?” he questioned.

Implications for NATO and the EU

Zelenskyy has insisted that if Ukraine is not granted NATO membership, an alternative security structure must be created—potentially involving European troops on the ground. He also warned that Russia could attack European NATO states from Belarus as soon as this year, increasing the urgency for Europe to develop a unified military response.

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As discussions continue, European leaders must decide whether they are willing and able to send troops to Ukraine’s front lines—and what risks such a move could pose for relations with Russia.

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US Coast Guard Pursuit of Sanctioned Tanker Complicated by Russian Flag

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The US Coast Guard’s operation to seize the sanctioned oil tanker Bella 1 has grown more complex after the vessel’s crew painted a Russian flag on its hull, claiming Moscow’s protection during a 10-day pursuit in the Atlantic. Officials said the ship, linked to the Iranian oil trade, is now reportedly empty.

Washington obtained a court order authorizing the seizure based on Bella 1’s history of transporting Iranian crude. However, the crew’s display of the Russian tricolour complicates enforcement under maritime law. US authorities have been tracking the tanker at roughly 800 meters distance while determining its legal status through diplomatic channels.

The Bella 1 initially resisted interception near Venezuela on December 21. Instead of stopping, it reversed course and entered open waters. Maritime tracking data show that the tanker had loaded Iranian crude at Kharg Island in September before disabling its location transponder near the Strait of Hormuz. After two months of being untracked, the ship resumed signals while empty, suggesting an at-sea cargo transfer.

Initially, Bella 1 declared Curaçao as its destination but abruptly changed course after US forces seized another tanker on December 10. Since December 17, the vessel’s transponder has been off, and officials estimate it may be heading toward Iceland or Greenland.

The US Treasury sanctioned Bella 1 in 2024 for allegedly transporting Iranian oil on behalf of Hezbollah, Yemen’s Houthis, and Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps. The vessel is owned by Turkey-based Louis Marine Shipholding Enterprises, and its crew primarily comes from Russia, India, and Ukraine.

The pursuit marks the third US interception operation this month. The Coast Guard successfully seized two other tankers carrying Venezuelan crude, escorting both to Texas. President Donald Trump said authorities will capture Bella 1, stating, “We’ll end up getting it.”

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The US has deployed its largest military presence in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific in decades, targeting both sanctioned tankers and suspected narcotics vessels. On December 17, Trump ordered a blockade of tankers trading with Venezuela to cut off President Nicolás Maduro’s primary revenue source. Maduro’s government called the operations acts of piracy, with Vice President Delcy Rodríguez saying Caracas would report the seizures to the UN Security Council.

Russia has increasingly relied on a shadow fleet of vessels with opaque ownership, flags of convenience, and irregular shipping practices to transport oil while circumventing Western sanctions imposed after its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The fleet, composed of hundreds of aging ships, has been essential for maintaining oil exports and funding Russia’s war effort.

Experts note that if Russia formally registers Bella 1, forcibly boarding the tanker could trigger diplomatic tensions, even under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, which allows authorities to act against vessels flying false flags or operating without valid registration. For now, the Bella 1 continues to evade capture while US officials monitor its movements.

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US Conducts Strike on Alleged Drug-Smuggling Facility, Marks Escalation in Operations

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US President Donald Trump said Monday that the United States conducted a strike on a shore facility used for loading boats with drugs, marking an escalation beyond previous operations targeting vessels in international waters. The president declined to specify the location or which agency carried out the strike.

“There was a major explosion in the dock area where they load the boats up with drugs,” Trump said while meeting Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Florida. “They load the boats up with drugs, so we hit all the boats and now we hit the area. It’s the implementation area. There’s where they implement. And that is no longer around.”

Trump offered few details about the strike, including whether it was conducted by the US military or the CIA. “I know exactly who it was, but I don’t want to say who it was. But you know it was along the shore,” he added.

The operation represents a shift in Trump administration tactics, which have previously focused on striking suspected drug-smuggling boats in international waters of the Caribbean and eastern Pacific. According to administration figures, at least 107 people have been killed across 30 strikes since early September. On Monday, the US conducted another strike against an alleged narcoboat in the eastern Pacific, resulting in two fatalities.

Trump initially referenced the strike during a call with WABC radio host John Catsimatidis on Friday. “I don’t know if you read or saw, they have a big plant or a big facility where they send the, you know, where the ships come from,” he said. “Two nights ago, we knocked that out. So, we hit them very hard.”

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Unlike previous maritime operations, which were often announced by US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth or military social media accounts, no formal announcement was made regarding the facility strike. The Pentagon referred questions to the White House, which did not immediately provide additional information. Venezuela’s government also declined to comment.

Trump has long indicated that US operations could move beyond boat strikes to land-based missions in South America, including Venezuela. Recent weeks have seen the deployment of US warships to the region, increased military presence, and the seizure of two oil tankers, with a third vessel pursued. The administration has characterized the campaign as part of an “armed conflict” against drug cartels to stop narcotics flowing into the United States.

Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has dismissed the US actions, insisting that the real aim of American operations is to pressure him from office rather than target drug trafficking.

The facility strike signals a new phase in US operations in the region, demonstrating a willingness to extend military actions onto land, raising questions about potential further escalation in South America.

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One Dead, Three Missing After Migrant Boat Sinks Off Samos

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One person has died and three remain missing after a migrant boat sank near the Greek island of Samos early Monday, Greek coast guard authorities reported. Twenty-six migrants reached the shore in the Petalides area and alerted authorities that others were still at sea.

The incident occurred during the early morning hours, prompting an immediate search and rescue operation. Coast guard vessels, a helicopter, a private boat, and ground teams joined the efforts. During the operation, the body of a woman was recovered, while crews continued searching for the three missing migrants. The nationalities of those involved have not been disclosed.

Greece has served as a major entry point for migrants and refugees into the European Union since 2015. Over one million arrivals have been recorded through Greek territory, though hundreds have died attempting the often perilous sea crossing.

Data from Frontex, the European Border and Coast Guard Agency, shows that irregular migration flows through the eastern Mediterranean fell by 30 percent in the first 11 months of 2025 compared with the same period in 2024. Around 46,200 migrants arrived in Greek waters this year. However, Frontex noted a sharp increase in activity along the Libya-Crete route, with detections rising by 272 percent year-on-year.

The sinking off Samos is part of a series of recent migrant tragedies in Greek waters. On 6 December, Greek authorities recovered 17 bodies and rescued two migrants from a vessel off Crete. Two days later, a 12-year-old boy died after being struck by a boat propeller when smugglers forced migrants to jump from a speedboat near Samos.

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A week later, another vessel carrying 31 migrants crashed into rocks off Samos. Twenty-eight people were rescued, while three remained unaccounted for.

The Eastern Mediterranean continues to be a dangerous route for migrants seeking entry into Europe. Authorities have repeatedly warned of the risks posed by overcrowded and unseaworthy vessels operated by smugglers. Local coast guard officials have emphasized the need for vigilance, particularly in areas near islands like Samos and Crete, which lie close to key migrant corridors from Turkey and Libya.

Search and rescue teams remain on alert, patrolling the waters around Samos to locate the three missing migrants and prevent further casualties.

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