Health
Global Obesity Rates Expected to Soar by 2050, Study Warns
A new study published in The Lancet projects that by 2050, nearly 60% of adults and 31% of children and young people worldwide will be overweight or obese, marking a sharp increase from previous decades. The research highlights a growing health crisis, with experts warning of serious consequences for global well-being.
A Worsening Trend
According to the study, 3.8 billion adults and 746 million young people are expected to be overweight or obese by mid-century. This marks a significant rise from 1990 figures when 731 million adults and 198 million young people were classified as overweight or obese. The findings show that each new generation is gaining weight earlier and faster than before.
For example, in high-income countries, 7% of men born in the 1960s were obese by the age of 25, but this percentage increased to 16% for men born in the 1990s and is expected to reach 25% for those born in 2015. This trend is fueling an epidemic linked to type 2 diabetes, high blood pressure, heart disease, and certain cancers.
Emmanuela Gakidou, one of the study’s authors, called the obesity crisis a “monumental societal failure.”
Global Hotspots for Obesity
The study identified several countries as obesity hotspots. In 2021, over half of the world’s overweight or obese adults were concentrated in just eight countries:
- China (402 million)
- India (180 million)
- United States (172 million)
- Brazil (88 million)
- Russia (71 million)
- Mexico (58 million)
- Indonesia (52 million)
- Egypt (41 million)
Future growth in obesity rates is expected to be driven by population increases in Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Among high-income nations, the United States, Chile, and Argentina are projected to have the highest obesity rates. In Europe, Greece is forecasted to have the highest levels of obesity by 2050, affecting 48% of women and 41% of men.
Impact on Healthcare Systems
As obesity rates climb, so do associated health risks. The study estimates that by 2050, one in four obese adults worldwide will be over 65, adding further strain on global healthcare systems. The effects are already being felt in countries like the U.S., Australia, and parts of Europe, where obesity-related health complications are lowering life expectancy and quality of life.
Despite these alarming trends, research suggests that only 7% of countries worldwide have healthcare systems prepared to tackle the rising obesity-related health burdens. Experts warn that without intervention, obesity will continue to drive millions of premature deaths annually from conditions like diabetes, heart disease, cancer, and stroke.
Rising Obesity Rates Among Young People
The research also paints a troubling picture for younger generations. While most young people in 2050 are expected to be overweight rather than obese, childhood and adolescent obesity rates are set to increase by 121%.
Obesity is expected to rise sharply in North Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, and the Caribbean, as well as in large nations such as the U.S. and China. Among high-income nations, Chile is forecasted to have the highest childhood obesity rates, while the U.S. will lead in obesity among young adults (ages 15-24). In Europe, Greece and San Marino will have the highest rates among boys and girls, respectively.
Dr. Jessica Kerr, one of the study’s authors, emphasized that interventions are still possible, saying, “If we act now, we can prevent a complete transition to global obesity for children and adolescents.”
Calls for Policy Changes
Experts argue that addressing the crisis requires more than just medical treatments. The study measured obesity using body mass index (BMI), a widely used metric, but one that some researchers say should be replaced with more precise health indicators.
Meanwhile, new weight-loss drugs, such as GLP-1 receptor agonists, have been hailed as potential game-changers, but experts caution that medications alone cannot stop the obesity epidemic.
Johanna Ralston, CEO of the World Obesity Federation, warned that tackling obesity requires comprehensive policy changes. Strategies such as food labeling, taxation on unhealthy foods, and better urban planning to encourage physical activity are crucial to combating the crisis.
“We can’t just treat our way out of it. We need to change the way we approach food and exercise as a society,” Ralston said.
The findings underscore the urgent need for a global, multi-pronged strategy to address the obesity epidemic before it becomes an even greater public health catastrophe.
Health
Study Finds AI Systems Can Repeat Fake Medical Claims When Framed Credibly
“Large language models accept fake medical claims if presented as realistic in medical notes and social media discussions, a study has found.”
As more people turn to the internet to research symptoms, compare treatments and share personal health experiences, artificial intelligence tools are increasingly being used to answer medical questions. A new study warns that many of these systems remain vulnerable to medical misinformation, particularly when false claims are presented in authoritative or realistic language.
The findings, published in The Lancet Digital Health, show that leading artificial intelligence systems can mistakenly repeat incorrect medical information when it appears in formats that resemble professional healthcare documents or trusted online discussions. Researchers analysed how large language models respond when faced with false medical statements written in a credible tone.
The study examined responses from 20 widely used language models, including systems developed by OpenAI, Meta, Google, Microsoft, Alibaba and Mistral AI, as well as several models specifically fine-tuned for medical use. In total, researchers assessed more than one million prompts designed to test whether AI would accept or reject fabricated health information.
Fake statements were inserted into real hospital discharge notes, drawn from common health myths shared on Reddit, or embedded in simulated clinical scenarios written to resemble authentic healthcare guidance. Across all models tested, incorrect information was accepted around 32 percent of the time. Performance varied significantly, with smaller or less advanced models accepting false claims in more than 60 percent of cases, while more advanced systems, including ChatGPT-4o, did so in roughly 10 percent of responses.
The researchers also found that medical fine-tuned models performed worse than general-purpose systems, raising concerns about tools designed specifically for healthcare use.
“Our findings show that current AI systems can treat confident medical language as true by default, even when it’s clearly wrong,” said Eyal Klang of the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, one of the study’s senior authors. He added that how a claim is written often matters more to the model than whether it is accurate.
Some of the accepted misinformation could pose real risks to patients. Several models endorsed claims such as Tylenol causing autism during pregnancy, rectal garlic boosting immunity, mammograms causing cancer, and tomatoes thinning blood as effectively as prescription medication. In another case, a discharge note incorrectly advised patients with oesophageal bleeding to drink cold milk, which some models repeated without flagging safety concerns.
The study also tested how AI systems responded to flawed arguments known as fallacies. While many fallacies prompted scepticism, models were more likely to accept false claims framed as expert opinions or warnings of catastrophic outcomes.
Researchers say future work should focus on measuring how often AI systems pass on falsehoods before they are used in clinical settings. Mahmud Omar, the study’s first author, said the dataset could help developers and hospitals stress-test AI tools and track improvements over time.
The authors said stronger safeguards will be essential as AI becomes more deeply embedded in healthcare decision-making.
Health
Moderate Caffeine Intake Linked to Lower Dementia Risk, Study Finds
Health
Growing Research Links Tattoos to Possible Cancer Risks, Experts Say
Tattoos are more popular than ever, but a growing body of research suggests a connection between permanent ink and certain types of cancer. How concerned should the public be?
From tribal sleeves to lower-back butterflies, humans have been inking their skin for thousands of years. For most, the main concern has been the fear of future regrets. However, recent studies suggest that tattoos could carry more serious long-term health risks.
The popularity of tattoos has risen sharply in recent years. Research published in the European Journal of Public Health estimates that between 13 and 21 percent of people in Western Europe now have at least one tattoo. Despite this prevalence, relatively little is known about the potential long-term effects of permanent ink.
Previous studies have shown that tattoo pigments can accumulate in the lymph nodes, sometimes causing inflammation and, in rare cases, lymphoma—a type of blood cancer. A 2025 study by the University of Southern Denmark (SDU) expanded on this, reporting that individuals with tattoos may face higher risks of skin cancer and lymphoma. Using a cohort of randomly selected twins, the researchers found that tattooed participants had nearly four times the risk of skin cancer compared with their non-tattooed siblings.
The study also suggested that tattoo size could affect risk, with designs larger than the palm associated with higher hazard rates.
“We have evidence that there is an association [between the amount of ink and risk] for lymphoma and for skin cancer,” said Signe Bedsted Clemmensen, co-author of the study and assistant professor of biostatistics at SDU. “For lymphoma, the hazard rate is 2.7 times higher, so this is quite a lot. And for skin cancers, before it was 1.6 and now it’s 2.4. This indicates that the more ink you have, the higher the risk, the higher the hazard rate.”
Clemmensen emphasized that these findings remain preliminary, with many variables—including ink types, tattoo placement, and genetic and environmental factors—still under investigation. “The bottom line is, more research is needed,” she said. “But also, the next step I think is studying the biological mechanisms [of getting tattooed] and trying to understand what happens there.”
Experts also note other risks unrelated to cancer. Tattoo inks consist of pigments combined with a carrier fluid to deposit color into the dermis. Some inks, often imported, can contain trace amounts of heavy metals such as nickel, chromium, cobalt, and lead, which can trigger allergic reactions or immune sensitivity. In 2022, the European Union restricted more than 4,000 hazardous substances in tattoo inks under its REACH regulations.
While tattoos are generally considered safe when applied hygienically, the long-term health consequences remain uncertain. “It’s up to each of us how we choose to live our lives, right? But as a researcher, it’s also my job to inform people of these risks,” Clemmensen said. “Or, when it comes to tattooing, right now it’s more about informing people about how little we know.”
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