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Tax Scams on the Rise as Filing Season Approaches: How to Stay Safe

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With tax season fast approaching, experts warn that scammers are ramping up their efforts to defraud taxpayers. From phishing emails to fake tax preparers, fraudsters are finding new ways to exploit the stress and confusion that often accompany filing season.

In 2024, the U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) reported $9.1 billion (€8.7 billion) in financial and tax-related fraud. As scams continue to evolve, taxpayers are urged to remain vigilant and take precautions to protect their personal information and finances.

Common Tax Scams to Watch Out For

1. Fake Refund Offers

One of the most prevalent tax scams involves fraudsters posing as tax professionals and promising substantial refunds. They may ask for an upfront fee or personal details before filing a fraudulent return on the taxpayer’s behalf. Once the scam is detected, the filer—not the scammer—is held responsible.

Taxpayers should be wary of unsolicited emails or messages claiming they are owed a refund, especially if they request personal information or payment. The best approach is to verify directly with the relevant tax authority or rely on trusted tax professionals.

2. Ghost Tax Preparers and Fake Tax Advisors

‘Ghost’ tax preparers file returns without signing them, often inflating numbers to secure bigger refunds. Once their fees are collected, they disappear, leaving the taxpayer responsible for any fraudulent claims. Some even steal refunds and personal information.

Before hiring a tax preparer, individuals should verify their credentials. In the U.S., for example, legitimate tax preparers are registered in the IRS directory and have a Preparer Tax Identification Number (PTIN). Checking online reviews and ensuring preparers sign the return can also help prevent fraud.

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3. Fake Charity Scams

Following natural disasters or crises, scammers set up fake charities to solicit donations, falsely promising tax deductions. However, these funds often end up in the fraudsters’ pockets.

To avoid falling victim, taxpayers should verify charities using official databases such as the IRS Tax Exempt Organization Search in the U.S. or the National Council for Voluntary Organizations (NCVO) in the U.K. Donations should be made through official channels, avoiding cash or gift card requests.

4. Smishing and Phishing Scams

Fraudsters often send fake text messages (smishing) or emails (phishing) claiming to be from tax authorities, urging recipients to verify personal information or fix errors on their return. Clicking on these links can lead to identity theft and financial fraud.

To stay safe, taxpayers should avoid clicking on suspicious links, never share sensitive information via email or text, and report any suspected scams to the relevant authorities.

5. Fake Tax Debt Collection

A growing scam involves fraudsters calling taxpayers and falsely claiming they owe back taxes. Using scare tactics, they threaten arrest, deportation, or asset seizure unless immediate payment is made.

To protect against these scams, individuals should familiarize themselves with how tax authorities communicate. For example, the IRS typically sends written notices before any phone contact. If uncertain, taxpayers should hang up and call the tax office directly to verify any claims.

Social Media and Online Scams Targeting Taxpayers

Scammers have increasingly turned to social media, promoting so-called tax ‘hacks’ that promise large refunds with minimal effort. These often involve fraudulent claims that can lead to legal trouble.

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Additionally, fraudsters target non-English speakers and seniors, using intimidation and language barriers to steal personal information. Raising awareness and educating vulnerable groups can help prevent such scams.

Debt Relief and Tax Shelter Scams

Some scammers claim they can reduce tax debts for a fee, only to disappear once payment is received. Others promote dubious tax shelters, promising to shield assets from taxation—often leading to serious legal consequences.

To avoid these schemes, taxpayers should seek assistance only from accredited tax relief services and consult legitimate tax professionals before engaging in tax-saving strategies.

How to Protect Yourself This Tax Season

Michael Moore, Chief Information Officer at cybersecurity firm Next Perimeter, advises taxpayers to remain cautious:

  • File early to prevent fraudsters from filing in your name.
  • Use strong passwords and enable two-factor authentication for tax software.
  • Verify tax professionals before hiring them.
  • Avoid clicking on suspicious links in emails or texts.
  • Report scams to tax authorities immediately.

Tax season may be stressful, but staying informed and vigilant can help prevent financial losses and identity theft.

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US Allows Nvidia to Sell H200 Chips to Approved Chinese Customers With 25% Surcharge

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The United States has granted Nvidia permission to sell its H200 semiconductor chips to selected customers in China, provided the company pays a 25% surcharge to the US government. President Donald Trump announced the decision on Monday, marking a shift in Washington’s export policy after months of lobbying from Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang.

The approval, which will also extend to other American chipmakers such as Intel and AMD, follows earlier restrictions imposed over concerns that advanced US-made chips could strengthen China’s military and cyber capabilities. The agreement does not cover Nvidia’s more powerful Blackwell chips or the upcoming Rubin series, which remain prohibited for export.

Trump said in a post on Truth Social that he had personally informed Chinese President Xi Jinping of the decision and that the move would maintain strong national security protections. He described Xi’s response as “positive”.

The H200 chip is used in a wide range of high-performance computing applications, from medical technology to artificial intelligence systems. While not as powerful as the Blackwell line—considered the current benchmark in AI processing—the H200 remains significantly more advanced than chips produced by Chinese manufacturers.

Restrictions on China’s access to American semiconductors have been a central component of Washington’s technology policy. In April, the US barred sales of Nvidia’s H20 chip to China on national security grounds, even though the chip had been specifically designed to comply with existing export rules. That decision was later softened in July after Nvidia agreed to return 15% of its China revenue to the US government. AMD accepted a similar arrangement.

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Critics of the export controls argue that limiting access to foreign technology pushes China to accelerate its domestic semiconductor development. Beijing has already discouraged state-linked firms from buying Nvidia products, warning that reliance on US hardware could leave companies vulnerable to abrupt policy changes.

Nvidia said in a statement that allowing the sale of H200 chips to vetted commercial customers “strikes a thoughtful balance that is great for America”, adding that the arrangement would support well-paid US jobs and strengthen domestic production.

Despite the added safeguards, several Democratic senators have opposed the approval. They warned that giving China access to more capable chips could assist its military and expand its ability to carry out cyberattacks on American infrastructure. Their concerns were amplified by a recent admission from Chinese AI firm DeepSeek, which said its biggest competitive obstacle was the lack of access to cutting-edge semiconductors designed in the United States.

The decision opens one of Nvidia’s most important markets at a time when demand for advanced chips continues to surge globally, setting another stage in the ongoing technological and geopolitical rivalry between Washington and Beijing.

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Gold Looks to 2026 After a Record-Breaking Year Marked by Geopolitical Tension and Strong Central Bank Demand

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Gold enters 2026 after one of the strongest years in its modern history, rising more than 60% in 2025 and setting over 50 record highs. The surge placed the metal ahead of all major asset classes and delivered its best performance since 1979. Now, investors are assessing whether gold can extend its momentum over the next year or whether the market is nearing a turning point.

Analysts say the 2025 rally was the product of several overlapping global forces. Persistent geopolitical risks, trade uncertainty, a softening US dollar, and expectations of lower interest rates all helped drive demand. Central banks also played a decisive role by continuing to absorb large volumes of gold, keeping official-sector buying well above pre-pandemic levels.

Data from the World Gold Council (WGC) highlights how these factors contributed to the metal’s rise. Geopolitical tensions alone added roughly 12 percentage points to year-to-date performance, while a weaker dollar and modestly lower rates provided another 10 points. Economic expansion and investor positioning also offered meaningful support.

Looking ahead, the WGC expects many of the same pressures to influence the market in 2026. But it cautions that gold begins the year from a very different starting point. Prices have already factored in broad expectations of steady global growth, moderate rate cuts, and a stable dollar. With real interest rates no longer falling sharply and momentum cooling, the Council describes gold as fairly valued at current levels.

In its central outlook, the WGC projects gold trading in a narrow band next year, with returns likely ranging between a 5% decline and a 5% gain. The group notes that investor sentiment is balanced rather than defensive, reducing the likelihood of outsized moves unless economic conditions shift significantly.

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Three alternative scenarios could force a deviation from this baseline. In a mild economic slowdown marked by extra US rate cuts, gold could rise 5% to 15% as investors position more cautiously. A deeper recession could push gains even higher, with the WGC estimating a potential 15% to 30% jump driven by aggressive policy easing and renewed safe-haven flows. On the other hand, if pro-growth policies from the Trump administration lift yields and strengthen the dollar, gold could fall 5% to 20% as opportunity costs rise.

Despite the WGC’s measured tone, major Wall Street institutions remain bullish. J.P. Morgan Private Bank expects prices to climb to between $5,200 and $5,300 per ounce, while Goldman Sachs forecasts around $4,900. Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley also see room for appreciation, though both acknowledge possible volatility in the coming months.

Much of this optimism is tied to ongoing demand from central banks, especially in emerging markets, and the belief that many global investors remain underexposed to gold. Softening real yields and persistent geopolitical uncertainty are also seen as supportive.

At the same time, risks could hinder further gains. A stronger US economy, renewed inflation pressures, or reduced central bank buying could weigh on the market. Rising supply from recycled gold, particularly in India where the metal is widely used as collateral, may also place pressure on prices.

While a repeat of 2025’s dramatic rise appears unlikely, analysts agree that gold enters the new year from a position of strength. Its reputation as a hedge during unpredictable times remains firmly intact, keeping it central to many investors’ long-term strategies.

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Goldman Sachs Warns Europe Faces Economic Strain as China’s Export Push Intensifies

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China’s strengthening export momentum is emerging as a significant threat to Europe’s economic outlook, with Goldman Sachs cautioning that major EU economies could face notable GDP losses as Beijing doubles down on an export-led recovery strategy. The investment bank has cut its eurozone growth forecasts, warning that Europe is increasingly exposed to rising global trade competition at a time of limited policy flexibility.

Giovanni Pierdomenico, an economist at Goldman Sachs, said the euro area is “particularly exposed” to the impact of increased Chinese goods supply, which risks widening the region’s growing trade deficit with China and undermining its already weakened competitive position. The bank estimates that stronger Chinese export competition will reduce eurozone GDP by about 0.5% by the end of 2029.

Germany is projected to face the heaviest hit, with real GDP expected to be 0.9% lower over the next four years due to pressure from Chinese exports. Italy is forecast to see a 0.6% impact, while France and Spain are each expected to register declines of around 0.4%.

Goldman analysts point to a sharp shift in global market dynamics: in the past five years, eurozone exporters have lost as much as four percentage points of market share to Chinese firms across major global markets. The bank estimates that for every one-dollar increase in Chinese exports, European exports typically fall between twenty and thirty cents, illustrating the scale of substitution taking place. This trend, analysts say, is steadily eroding Europe’s competitive edge.

European policymakers have announced a series of measures aimed at strengthening strategic resilience, including the Critical Raw Materials Act and the AI Continent Action Plan. But Goldman Sachs remains doubtful that these initiatives will be enough to counter China’s export dominance. Analyst Filippo Taddei notes that the EU’s response is constrained by structural vulnerabilities — particularly its heavy reliance on China for key components and raw materials.

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Goldman warns that while selective action against certain Chinese products is possible, broader restrictions could disrupt supply chains central to Europe’s industrial activity. At the same time, the bank highlights that many EU programmes intended to shore up competitiveness remain underfunded relative to their ambitions.

Defence is the only sector where Europe has committed substantial financial resources, with the Readiness 2030 programme backed by €150 billion in loans under the Security Action for Europe scheme. Even this effort, however, relies on Chinese supplies of rare earth elements essential for advanced military systems.

The bank concludes that without a more unified and assertive industrial strategy, Europe risks losing further ground in global markets it once dominated. Policymakers now face difficult decisions over how to reinforce Europe’s industrial base while managing its dependence on Chinese inputs — and how long the region can rely on fiscal support and consumer strength to cushion its economy against mounting external pressures.

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