Business
Jet Fuel Prices Surge Amid Iran War, Airlines Hike Fares and Cut Flights
Jet fuel prices have more than doubled in recent weeks amid the ongoing Iran war. Airlines have responded with fare increases and temporary surcharges, so should you secure tickets now or wait? Tourists planning summer holidays face a difficult decision as the disruptions to global oil supplies, caused by the conflict in the Middle East, have spiked jet fuel prices leading to increases in flight costs that are passed on to passengers.
According to the International Air Transport Association’s (IATA) latest monitor, the global average jet fuel price reached $195.19 per barrel last week, down slightly from the previous week but still more than twice the levels seen in late February. In the United States, the Argus US Jet Fuel Index recorded over $4.60 per gallon on Monday, rising sharply from around $2.50 before the conflict began. Analysts warn that even if tensions ease, the effects on fuel prices and airfares are likely to linger.
Airlines are taking swift action to manage costs. United Airlines announced a 5% reduction in planned flights, while Scandinavian carrier SAS is cancelling at least 1,000 flights this month. Air New Zealand has trimmed capacity by 5% and cancelled around 1,100 services until early May. Asian carriers such as Cathay Pacific and Thai Airways have increased fares, with Thai Airways signalling hikes of 10% to 15%. Low-cost airlines including AirAsia and Qantas have introduced temporary surcharges. Carriers with fuel hedging programmes, such as Lufthansa and Ryanair, have been able to shield some of their costs.
The rise in fuel prices, which accounts for 25-35% of airline operating expenses, is affecting both long-haul and short-haul travel. Routes avoiding the Middle East have seen increased traffic, adding operational costs and prompting selective fare adjustments. Anita Mendiratta, special adviser to the UN Secretary General on Tourism, highlighted the logistical challenges in the UK. She said that while crude oil supplies remain stable, refined jet fuel and delivery to airports are the pressing issues. “Jet fuel cannot be stored in large quantities at airports, and even short disruptions can quickly create operational challenges, particularly at major hubs,” she explained.
Airlines are prioritising routes that generate the most revenue, often protecting long-haul and business travel while reducing frequency on lower-yield leisure and short-haul flights. Travel agencies report that customers are increasingly booking flexible or closer destinations to manage risk. Booking.com advised travellers to set up price alerts to monitor fluctuations as summer approaches.
European authorities are also urging citizens to consider reducing travel to curb energy demand. EU energy chief Dan Jørgensen recommended voluntary measures to conserve fuel for essential use.
With summer travel demand still strong but behaviour shifting, experts say travellers must weigh the risks of locking in fares now against potential further price hikes or capacity cuts. Flexible bookings and early monitoring may provide some protection in what remains an unpredictable market.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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