Business
Oil Surges and European Stocks Dip Amid Iran War Uncertainty
As the prospect of de-escalation in the Iran war remains uncertain, oil prices are rising, with the international benchmark Brent trading above $106 a barrel on Thursday morning.
After strong gains on European stock markets on Wednesday, where key indices rose between 1.3% and 1.6%, Thursday opened with losses following a sell-off in Asia. European indices fell between 0.4% and 1.2% amid conflicting statements from Iran and Washington over the progress of diplomatic efforts to end the war.
“Investors have eagerly awaited a ceasefire in the Middle East this week but once again there are mixed messages from the US and Iran, leaving markets confused,” said Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at AJ Bell. “Momentum has been lost across the main European stock indices and oil has edged higher, meaning it’s still a waiting game.”
US President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Iran war is near, even after Tehran dismissed his 15-point ceasefire plan and with thousands of troops reportedly being deployed to the Middle East. Iran presented its own proposals, while its military fired missiles at Israel. Tehran has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, the critical waterway connecting the Persian Gulf to global shipping lanes, and is reportedly preparing legislation to impose fees on ships passing through.
European markets extended losses through the morning session. London’s FTSE 100 fell 0.8%, Paris’s CAC 40 lost 0.7%, and Frankfurt’s DAX dropped 1.2% nearly an hour after opening.
Oil prices continued to climb, with Brent crude rising about 4% to above $106 per barrel, and US WTI crude up around 4% at $94 per barrel. The potential fees in the Strait of Hormuz, reported by Iranian media outlets close to the Revolutionary Guard, would mark a formal assertion of Tehran’s control over the waterway and could generate revenue from international shipping. Analysts warn that such a move would likely face strong opposition from Gulf Arab states, the US, and other trading nations. Bloomberg reported that the US administration is examining how a potential $200 oil price could affect the US economy, modeling extreme scenarios.
Asian markets also closed lower on Thursday, with Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 down 0.8%, South Korea’s Kospi losing 3.3%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng falling 1.9%. Gold prices continued their decline, dropping more than 2.7% to around $4,430 per ounce, while cryptocurrencies fell between 1.3% and 4%, with Bitcoin trading at $69,896.
Currency markets showed the US dollar strengthening against the euro and the pound, which traded at $1.1558 and $1.3351 respectively. The Japanese yen held steady at around ¥159.46 against the dollar.
Market watchers say uncertainty over Iran’s military actions and the future of the Strait of Hormuz will continue to weigh heavily on global markets, keeping investors on edge as energy prices remain elevated.
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