Business
Jet Fuel Prices Surge Amid Iran War, Airlines Hike Fares and Cut Flights
Jet fuel prices have more than doubled in recent weeks amid the ongoing Iran war. Airlines have responded with fare increases and temporary surcharges, so should you secure tickets now or wait? Tourists planning summer holidays face a difficult decision as the disruptions to global oil supplies, caused by the conflict in the Middle East, have spiked jet fuel prices leading to increases in flight costs that are passed on to passengers.
According to the International Air Transport Association’s (IATA) latest monitor, the global average jet fuel price reached $195.19 per barrel last week, down slightly from the previous week but still more than twice the levels seen in late February. In the United States, the Argus US Jet Fuel Index recorded over $4.60 per gallon on Monday, rising sharply from around $2.50 before the conflict began. Analysts warn that even if tensions ease, the effects on fuel prices and airfares are likely to linger.
Airlines are taking swift action to manage costs. United Airlines announced a 5% reduction in planned flights, while Scandinavian carrier SAS is cancelling at least 1,000 flights this month. Air New Zealand has trimmed capacity by 5% and cancelled around 1,100 services until early May. Asian carriers such as Cathay Pacific and Thai Airways have increased fares, with Thai Airways signalling hikes of 10% to 15%. Low-cost airlines including AirAsia and Qantas have introduced temporary surcharges. Carriers with fuel hedging programmes, such as Lufthansa and Ryanair, have been able to shield some of their costs.
The rise in fuel prices, which accounts for 25-35% of airline operating expenses, is affecting both long-haul and short-haul travel. Routes avoiding the Middle East have seen increased traffic, adding operational costs and prompting selective fare adjustments. Anita Mendiratta, special adviser to the UN Secretary General on Tourism, highlighted the logistical challenges in the UK. She said that while crude oil supplies remain stable, refined jet fuel and delivery to airports are the pressing issues. “Jet fuel cannot be stored in large quantities at airports, and even short disruptions can quickly create operational challenges, particularly at major hubs,” she explained.
Airlines are prioritising routes that generate the most revenue, often protecting long-haul and business travel while reducing frequency on lower-yield leisure and short-haul flights. Travel agencies report that customers are increasingly booking flexible or closer destinations to manage risk. Booking.com advised travellers to set up price alerts to monitor fluctuations as summer approaches.
European authorities are also urging citizens to consider reducing travel to curb energy demand. EU energy chief Dan Jørgensen recommended voluntary measures to conserve fuel for essential use.
With summer travel demand still strong but behaviour shifting, experts say travellers must weigh the risks of locking in fares now against potential further price hikes or capacity cuts. Flexible bookings and early monitoring may provide some protection in what remains an unpredictable market.
Business
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady as Middle East Conflict Clouds Economic Outlook
The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, marking the third consecutive meeting without a move as policymakers weigh rising inflation and growing uncertainty linked to the conflict in the Middle East.
The decision leaves the federal funds rate in a target range of 3.50% to 3.75%. While widely expected, the outcome revealed significant divisions within the central bank’s policy-setting committee, underscoring the difficult balancing act facing officials.
In its post-meeting statement, the Fed said recent developments in the Middle East had added to uncertainty surrounding the US economic outlook. It noted that inflation remains above target, partly due to higher global energy prices following renewed tensions in the region.
Despite holding rates steady, the central bank signalled that cuts remain possible later this year if inflation eases and economic conditions weaken. Still, the decision was far from unanimous. Three policymakers opposed language suggesting future rate cuts, while one official, Stephen Miran, argued for an immediate reduction.
The dissent marked the highest level of disagreement within the Federal Open Market Committee since 1992, highlighting a widening debate over how best to respond to slowing growth and persistent price pressures.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who is expected to step down as chair in May, said the central bank must remain cautious as it navigates a complex economic environment. Inflation has risen to 3.3%, well above the Fed’s 2% target, while recent data show the labour market is losing momentum.
Although unemployment remains relatively low at 4.3%, hiring has slowed considerably in recent months. Policymakers are trying to prevent inflation from becoming entrenched while avoiding unnecessary damage to economic growth.
Powell also indicated that he intends to remain on the Fed’s Board of Governors after his term as chair ends, potentially until early 2028. He cited concerns about maintaining institutional stability amid what he described as mounting political pressure on the central bank.
His decision would temporarily prevent President Donald Trump from appointing another governor immediately, even as Trump’s nominee to succeed Powell as chair, Kevin Warsh, moves closer to confirmation.
Warsh has advocated broad changes to the Fed’s policymaking framework and has expressed support for lower interest rates. However, with inflation still elevated, analysts say any shift toward easier monetary policy may be gradual.
The Fed’s next moves will likely depend on how inflation, employment and energy markets evolve in the coming months. For now, policymakers appear determined to proceed carefully as geopolitical risks and domestic economic challenges continue to shape the outlook.
Business
Debate Grows in Germany Over Using Gold Reserves to Ease Economic Pressures
Business
European Fuel Prices Remain Elevated After Iran Conflict Despite Ceasefire
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