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EU Divided Over Response to Trump’s Tariff Threats

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While the European Union presents a united front against U.S. President Donald Trump’s newly announced tariffs on steel and aluminum, internal divisions are emerging over the best course of action. Some member states, led by France, are pushing for swift retaliatory measures, while others, including Germany, Italy, and Hungary, advocate for a more cautious approach focused on dialogue.

Trump’s Tariffs Spark Urgent EU Talks

Trump’s latest tariff decision, announced Monday, includes a 25% levy on imported steel and aluminum, citing national security concerns. The executive order, set to take effect on March 12, was followed by another announcement on Thursday: a plan for reciprocal tariffs on U.S. trading partners, to be determined on a country-by-country basis in the coming weeks.

In response, the European Commission vowed on Friday to react “firmly and immediately”, setting the stage for internal debate within the EU over how to proceed.

Hawks vs. Doves: A Divided Approach

Following an emergency video conference of EU trade ministers on Wednesday, the rift between hawks and doves became apparent.

  • France, leading the hawkish camp, argues that strong and immediate retaliation is necessary to prevent excessive concessions to the U.S. “Every U.S. measure announced calls for an immediate response,” one official told Euronews.
  • Germany, Italy, and Hungary, in contrast, prefer a more measured approach, advocating for continued negotiations with Washington rather than hastily imposing countermeasures. A diplomat from this group emphasized the importance of avoiding a tit-for-tat trade war.

Hungary, where Prime Minister Viktor Orbán maintains close ties with Trump, is pushing for no retaliatory action before March 12. Meanwhile, Italy insists on keeping diplomatic channels open before resorting to tariffs.

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EU’s History of Retaliation and Future Strategy

The EU has previously responded to Trump-era tariffs. In 2018, the bloc countered U.S. duties on European steel (25%) and aluminum (10%) with €2.8 billion in tariffs on American goods. A temporary truce was brokered under President Joe Biden, but that agreement expires at the end of March 2024.

Since then, the EU has bolstered its trade defenses, introducing anti-coercion measures that allow restrictions on public procurement, services, and intellectual property rights in retaliation to trade threats.

Strengthening Global Trade Partnerships

Amid tensions with the U.S., the EU is working to expand its global trade network. Recent agreements include:

  • A free trade deal with Mercosur nations (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay)
  • A trade pact with Switzerland, finalized in December
  • A renewed agreement with Mexico, completed in January
  • Reopened negotiations with Malaysia

Later this month, all EU Commissioners will travel to India for talks on a strategic partnership, including discussions on trade cooperation.

Outlook: Trade Tensions or Compromise?

With Trump signaling broader trade policy changes, EU officials, including Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič, have warned that the bloc must prepare for more than just steel and aluminum tariffs.

Following a meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, European Council President António Costa reinforced the EU’s preference for diplomacy, tweeting: “Trade agreements are better than trade tariffs.”

Whether the EU opts for immediate retaliation or ongoing negotiations, its ability to maintain a cohesive response will be crucial in shaping its economic future amid a shifting global trade landscape.

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Britain and Norway Step Up Naval Patrols to Protect Undersea Infrastructure from Russia

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Britain and Norway have launched new joint naval patrols aimed at protecting undersea cables from Russia, with a combined fleet of at least 13 warships safeguarding critical infrastructure in the North Atlantic, officials said. The announcement follows discussions in December between UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre on defense cooperation.

British Defence Secretary John Healey said on Thursday that the operation was designed to deter Russian submarines suspected of “malign activity” near undersea infrastructure north of the UK. A frigate, aircraft, and hundreds of personnel monitored a Russian attack submarine and two spy vessels during an operation lasting more than a month. Healey said the Russian ships eventually left the area.

His message to Moscow was clear: “We see your activity over our cables and our pipelines, and you should know that any attempt to damage them will not be tolerated and will have serious consequences.” Healey emphasized that while global attention is focused on conflicts in the Middle East, Russia remains the main threat to the UK and its allies.

British officials have highlighted the overlap between Russia’s support for Iran and its ongoing war in Ukraine. Tehran has provided Moscow with Shahed drones, which are now also manufactured in Russia under the designation Geran. Healey said, “Putin would want us to be distracted by the Middle East. We will not take our eyes off Putin.”

The UK has also prepared to seize ships suspected of being part of Russia’s “shadow fleet,” a flotilla of old oil tankers of unclear ownership designed to bypass international sanctions imposed over Moscow’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Previously, the UK only assisted France and the US in monitoring such vessels. Healey said, “We are ready to take action” against these ships.

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Norwegian Defence Minister Tore O. Sandvik, who signed the joint naval agreement with Healey, said the patrols allow both countries to “defend themselves together.” The deployment builds on a £10 billion (€11 billion) deal for Norway to purchase at least five British-made frigates, which, together with eight British ships, will operate along NATO’s northern flank.

Russian naval activity near UK waters has reportedly risen by 30 percent over the past two years. NATO officials have also warned that attacks on undersea cables are among the “most active threats” to Western infrastructure. Acting Assistant Secretary General for Innovation, Hybrid, and Cyber, James Appathurai, said recent incidents in the Baltic Sea and elsewhere reflect Russia’s long-term undersea program, which includes research ships, submarines, unmanned vehicles, divers, and explosives targeting communications and energy pipelines.

The new UK-Norway patrols signal a heightened focus on securing vital maritime infrastructure amid rising geopolitical tensions and increasing Russian naval operations in European waters.

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Fresh Attacks Reported Across Gulf Despite US-Iran Ceasefire Announcement

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Reports of new attacks across the الخليج on Wednesday have shaken early optimism following the announcement of a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran, raising doubts about how quickly the agreement can take hold.

The ceasefire, announced late الثلاثاء, had been welcomed across the region as tensions between واشنطن and طهران escalated. However, neither side specified when the truce would come into effect, and events on Wednesday suggested hostilities had not fully subsided.

In the United Arab Emirates, authorities reported a fresh Iranian attack targeting the Habshan gas complex. The strike disrupted operations and prompted officials to suspend production at the facility after falling debris from intercepted projectiles caused multiple fires. According to the Abu Dhabi media office, two Emirati nationals and one Indian worker suffered minor injuries.

Journalists in Dubai reported receiving air raid alerts early in the morning and observed continued air defence activity, including fighter jets operating overhead. The developments marked a sharp end to the brief sense of relief that had followed the ceasefire announcement.

In Qatar, residents in Doha also received early morning alerts after a night of heightened tension. Reports indicated a prolonged Iranian raid on Tuesday evening, with at least eight interception blasts heard across the city. The incident disrupted air traffic, with inbound flights diverted for about an hour before normal operations resumed.

Bahrain experienced similar unrest. Sirens sounded again on Wednesday morning, warning residents to seek shelter as new explosions were heard. The renewed activity followed overnight strikes that damaged homes in the Sitra area and left two people injured by falling debris after an Iranian drone was intercepted.

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Meanwhile, in Tehran, residents reported hearing air defence systems in operation late Wednesday morning. Initial reports suggested the activity may have been part of a drill, though details remained limited.

The renewed attacks come despite an agreement announced by US President Donald Trump and Iranian officials for a two-week ceasefire that includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global energy supplies. Trump had earlier described a 10-point proposal from Iran as a possible basis for negotiations, though he later questioned its credibility.

Israel signalled support for the temporary pause in strikes against Iran but clarified that it would continue its military operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, highlighting ongoing tensions beyond the immediate US-Iran conflict.

The situation underscores the fragile nature of the ceasefire, with continued military activity casting uncertainty over its implementation. As diplomatic efforts continue, the coming days are likely to determine whether the agreement can hold or whether the region will see further escalation.

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Sweden Accuses Iran of Using Criminal Gangs to Target Dissidents as Teenagers Face Trial

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Sweden’s security service, Sapo, has accused Iran of increasing its targeting of dissidents since the start of the Iran war, alleging that it has recruited organised crime networks to carry out acts of violence داخل the country. The warning comes as five teenagers are due to appear in court on Wednesday over the alleged attempted murder of an Iranian dissident researcher in southern Sweden.

Prosecutors say the group targeted Arvin Khoshnood, a researcher and commentator on Iranian affairs, at his home in the city of Malmö on September 2 last year. According to the charge sheet, one of the suspects, aged 16 at the time, rang the doorbell armed with a knife and asked Khoshnood’s wife if he was at home. Khoshnood, who was present, remained out of sight and contacted police immediately.

Authorities allege the teenager had been recruited through encrypted messaging apps and promised payment to carry out the attack. Prosecutors say three of the accused, along with a fourth individual believed to be the mastermind, provided instructions, supplied the weapon, and negotiated the terms before the attempt was made. Three of the teenagers face charges of attempted murder, while the others are accused of complicity.

“These are acts that fall under so-called crime as a service, where young perpetrators in Sweden take on assignments from individuals connected to organised crime,” prosecutor Per-Erik Rinsell said in a statement.

Khoshnood has suggested the plot may be linked to the Foxtrot network, one of Sweden’s most prominent criminal gangs. Its leader, Rawa Majid, has been reported to have connections to Iran, although such claims remain contested. The group has been associated with a series of shootings, bombings, and other violent incidents in recent years, often recruiting young people through online platforms.

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The case has drawn attention to what Swedish authorities describe as a growing security threat. Sapo has identified Iran as one of the main risks to national security, accusing it of using criminal gangs to target Israeli interests and Iranian opposition figures within Sweden. Tehran has denied these allegations.

Khoshnood, who frequently appears in Swedish media as an expert on Iran, has openly expressed support for exiled opposition figure Reza Pahlavi, the son of Iran’s last shah. Investigators believe his public stance may have made him a target.

Several of the accused teenagers are also facing charges related to a separate attempted murder in Uddevalla, which occurred a week after the incident in Malmö. Authorities have not confirmed whether that case involved another Iranian dissident.

The trial is expected to shed light on the alleged links between foreign actors and domestic criminal networks, as Sweden grapples with rising concerns over organised crime and national security.

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