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Azerbaijan Airlines Crash in Kazakhstan Sparks External Attack Allegations
New evidence suggests the Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer 190 aircraft that crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, on December 25, killing 38 people, may have been the target of an external attack.
Photos released by Azerbaijani media outlet AnewZ reveal shrapnel marks on the plane’s fuselage, raising suspicions of a mid-air assault. The aircraft, en route from Baku to Grozny, Russia, was diverted before crashing in Kazakhstan. An international investigation into the crash’s causes is ongoing, involving experts from Brazil, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Russia.
International Investigation Underway
The Brazilian Air Force, responsible for analyzing the plane’s black box data, confirmed that nine foreign investigators are collaborating with its experts at the Air Accidents Investigation and Prevention Center in Brasília. Analysis of the cockpit voice and flight data recorders is expected to shed light on the crash’s final moments.
Azerbaijan Accuses Russia
Azerbaijan’s President, Ilham Aliyev, alleged the aircraft was struck by fire from the ground over Russia, possibly rendered uncontrollable by electronic warfare. He criticized Moscow for attempting to “hush up” the incident and expressed dissatisfaction with the explanations provided by Russian officials.
Aliyev’s accusations gained traction following reports that the crash coincided with Russian air defense operations near Grozny, allegedly targeting a Ukrainian drone strike.
Putin Apologizes, Stops Short of Admitting Responsibility
Russian President Vladimir Putin issued an apology to Aliyev, describing the crash as a “tragic incident.” However, the Kremlin has not acknowledged responsibility. Officials confirmed that air defense systems were active near Grozny at the time, reportedly to counter a Ukrainian drone attack.
Mounting Allegations
Claims that the aircraft was shot down by Russian air defenses have fueled tensions. The Kremlin’s admission of nearby military activity has done little to quell speculation, as investigators seek to determine whether shrapnel found on the plane is consistent with missile strikes or other external factors.
The crash adds strain to already fraught relations between Azerbaijan and Russia, with both countries demanding accountability.
As investigators analyze the black box data, the international aviation community watches closely, awaiting clarity on the incident’s cause. Meanwhile, the tragedy remains a poignant reminder of the volatility in regions affected by ongoing geopolitical tensions.
News
Britain and Norway Step Up Naval Patrols to Protect Undersea Infrastructure from Russia
Britain and Norway have launched new joint naval patrols aimed at protecting undersea cables from Russia, with a combined fleet of at least 13 warships safeguarding critical infrastructure in the North Atlantic, officials said. The announcement follows discussions in December between UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre on defense cooperation.
British Defence Secretary John Healey said on Thursday that the operation was designed to deter Russian submarines suspected of “malign activity” near undersea infrastructure north of the UK. A frigate, aircraft, and hundreds of personnel monitored a Russian attack submarine and two spy vessels during an operation lasting more than a month. Healey said the Russian ships eventually left the area.
His message to Moscow was clear: “We see your activity over our cables and our pipelines, and you should know that any attempt to damage them will not be tolerated and will have serious consequences.” Healey emphasized that while global attention is focused on conflicts in the Middle East, Russia remains the main threat to the UK and its allies.
British officials have highlighted the overlap between Russia’s support for Iran and its ongoing war in Ukraine. Tehran has provided Moscow with Shahed drones, which are now also manufactured in Russia under the designation Geran. Healey said, “Putin would want us to be distracted by the Middle East. We will not take our eyes off Putin.”
The UK has also prepared to seize ships suspected of being part of Russia’s “shadow fleet,” a flotilla of old oil tankers of unclear ownership designed to bypass international sanctions imposed over Moscow’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Previously, the UK only assisted France and the US in monitoring such vessels. Healey said, “We are ready to take action” against these ships.
Norwegian Defence Minister Tore O. Sandvik, who signed the joint naval agreement with Healey, said the patrols allow both countries to “defend themselves together.” The deployment builds on a £10 billion (€11 billion) deal for Norway to purchase at least five British-made frigates, which, together with eight British ships, will operate along NATO’s northern flank.
Russian naval activity near UK waters has reportedly risen by 30 percent over the past two years. NATO officials have also warned that attacks on undersea cables are among the “most active threats” to Western infrastructure. Acting Assistant Secretary General for Innovation, Hybrid, and Cyber, James Appathurai, said recent incidents in the Baltic Sea and elsewhere reflect Russia’s long-term undersea program, which includes research ships, submarines, unmanned vehicles, divers, and explosives targeting communications and energy pipelines.
The new UK-Norway patrols signal a heightened focus on securing vital maritime infrastructure amid rising geopolitical tensions and increasing Russian naval operations in European waters.
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