Health
Study Warns Aid Cuts Could Cause Millions of Preventable Deaths by 2030
As cuts in international aid continue worldwide, a new study projects that 22.6 million people could die by 2030, including 5.4 million children under the age of five.
The research, conducted by the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal) and funded by the Rockefeller Foundation, examines 93 low- and middle-income countries home to 6.3 billion people, or roughly 75 percent of the world’s population. Researchers warn that the decline in official development assistance (ODA) threatens to reverse decades of progress in global health.
Using two decades of data from 2002 to 2021, the team modelled outcomes under different funding scenarios. “We don’t want to accept this as the new normal, we don’t want to accept this situation, this constant reduction,” said Davide Rasella, study coordinator at ISGlobal, in an interview with Euronews Health.
In 2023, total ODA reached a record $250.3 billion (€212.3 billion), with France, Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States providing around 70 percent of the total. All of these major donors, except Japan, reduced their contributions in 2024 for the first time in three decades, marking the first overall fall in international aid in six years.
The United States dismantled its foreign aid agency, USAID, in 2025, and other countries followed with further cuts. The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria saw contributions drop sharply from $15.7 billion in 2022 to $11.34 billion in 2025. Some donors, including the European Union, have not yet confirmed their pledges.
“People are going to die. Unless we restore the level of funding, millions of people are going to die. There’s no doubt of it,” Rasella said. He added that the next challenge is how to allocate the remaining funds most effectively.
The study highlights the critical role ODA has played in global health. Between 2002 and 2021, aid programs helped reduce child mortality by 39 percent, prevent 70 percent of HIV/AIDS deaths, and cut deaths from malaria and nutritional deficiencies by 56 percent.
Researchers modelled two scenarios for 2030. A mild defunding scenario, reflecting a 10.6 percent reduction in aid, could result in 9.4 million preventable deaths, including 2.5 million children under five. A more severe defunding scenario could see more than 22.6 million additional deaths, including 5.4 million children. “At least three out of every four people on the planet live in countries where two decades of development gains could be reversed,” the authors said.
Cuts in aid affect more than health outcomes. They also reduce the number of doctors on the ground and limit the exchange of critical information, including epidemic preparedness and responses to climate-related shocks.
Eric Pelofsky, vice president for global economic recovery at the Rockefeller Foundation, said investing in development not only saves lives but promotes global stability and prosperity. He noted that aid is often framed domestically as a trade-off, but protecting global health and stability ultimately benefits donor countries.
Health
Genetic Differences May Shape Effectiveness of Popular Weight-Loss Drugs, Study Finds
Health
Seven-Day Meditation Retreat Linked to Measurable Changes in Brain and Body, Study Finds
Health
Uzbekistan to Launch Nationwide State Medical Insurance System in 2026
Uzbekistan will begin introducing a nationwide state medical insurance system from 2026, part of a broader overhaul of the country’s healthcare financing and service delivery. The reform will introduce digital referrals, a national health insurance fund, and a guaranteed package of essential medical services funded through the state budget. Officials say the changes aim to improve efficiency, expand access, and reduce informal payments.
“State health insurance is a social protection system designed to guarantee access to quality healthcare services,” said Zokhid Ermatov, executive director of the State Health Insurance Fund.
Discussions about state medical insurance in Uzbekistan began in 2017, but implementing such a system required years of preparation. The State Health Insurance Fund was formally established in December 2020, and pilot programmes launched in the Syrdarya region in 2021 tested new financing mechanisms, regulatory frameworks, and digital health systems. In November 2025, the Cabinet of Ministers approved regulations governing how medical care funded through the state budget will be provided in public and private medical institutions, with the rules set to come into force on January 1, 2026.
At the centre of the new model is stronger primary healthcare. Patients will first visit their assigned family clinic, where doctors provide consultations, prescribe tests, and determine whether specialist care is needed. If necessary, patients will receive an electronic referral to hospitals or specialists. Emergency and urgent care will remain available without referrals.
The reform introduces a patient-centred financing model, where healthcare providers are paid by the State Health Insurance Fund based on services delivered. Primary healthcare will be funded through capitation payments, while hospital treatment will follow case-based payments, a structure designed to improve efficiency and treatment outcomes.
A fully digital referral system will allow patients to choose hospitals from a list of institutions contracted with the State Health Insurance Fund using a government portal or mobile app. Referrals will remain valid for 60 days, and waiting lists and hospitalisations will be managed through a unified electronic health information system.
The insurance system guarantees essential healthcare services, including family doctor consultations, diagnostic tests, outpatient treatment, preventive screening, some medicines, hospital care, and certain rehabilitation services. Patients will not be charged additional fees for services included in the approved package.
Funding for the program will come primarily from the state budget, ensuring citizens do not pay direct insurance contributions. Priority access will be given to socially vulnerable groups, including children with disabilities, orphans, pensioners, pregnant women, unemployed citizens, and low-income families. The State Health Insurance Fund will allocate resources across regions to strengthen medical services and reduce inequalities.
International organisations have praised Uzbekistan’s approach, noting that general tax financing and universal coverage can improve financial protection and ensure predictable healthcare funding. Jessika Yin, Health Policy Adviser at the World Health Organization in Uzbekistan, said the reforms align with global trends toward universal health coverage.
If implemented successfully, Uzbekistan’s state medical insurance system could represent a major step toward universal healthcare, ensuring that people receive care without facing financial hardship.
-
Entertainment2 years agoMeta Acquires Tilda Swinton VR Doc ‘Impulse: Playing With Reality’
-
Business2 years agoSaudi Arabia’s Model for Sustainable Aviation Practices
-
Business2 years agoRecent Developments in Small Business Taxes
-
Home Improvement1 year agoEffective Drain Cleaning: A Key to a Healthy Plumbing System
-
Politics2 years agoWho was Ebrahim Raisi and his status in Iranian Politics?
-
Sports2 years agoChina’s Historic Olympic Victory Sparks National Pride Amid Controversy
-
Business2 years agoCarrectly: Revolutionizing Car Care in Chicago
-
Sports2 years agoKeely Hodgkinson Wins Britain’s First Athletics Gold at Paris Olympics in 800m
