Business
Oil Prices Edge Higher After OPEC+ Announces Modest Production Increase
Oil prices rose in early European trading on Monday after OPEC+ announced a modest increase in production for November, easing market concerns about the prospect of a more substantial supply hike. However, analysts cautioned that the price rebound could be short-lived as sluggish demand raises the risk of a supply glut.
Following its meeting on Sunday, the oil-producing alliance — which includes members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies led by Russia — said it would raise output by 137,000 barrels per day next month, mirroring the increase announced for October.
By 8:15 a.m. CEST, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was trading 1.31 percent higher at $61.68 per barrel, while Brent crude gained 1.22 percent to reach $65.32. Despite Monday’s uptick, both benchmarks remain down for the week amid ongoing concerns over rising global production. Over the past five days, WTI has fallen 2.79 percent, while Brent is down 3.9 percent.
The modest production decision follows weeks of speculation that OPEC+ might move more aggressively to raise output after months of gradually unwinding the historic production cuts imposed in 2023 and 2024. Those curbs, initially designed to stabilize prices, are set to be fully phased out by September 2026.
In a statement, OPEC+ said the decision was made “in view of a steady global economic outlook and current healthy market fundamentals, as reflected in the low oil inventories.” The group added that it would continue monitoring market conditions closely to maintain stability.
Oil prices have been volatile this year, with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East — particularly between Iran, Israel, and the United States — previously pushing prices above $80 per barrel. The conflict also sparked fears that Iran might disrupt shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a key transit route for nearly one-fifth of global oil supply.
However, analysts warn that the market could soon face oversupply as demand remains weaker than expected. The International Energy Agency (IEA) and several private forecasters have pointed to robust output from the Americas, particularly the United States and Brazil, as a factor likely to outpace consumption growth in the coming months.
OPEC+, which consists of 12 member states and 10 allied producers, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, is expected to review market conditions again at its next meeting scheduled for November 2.
Until then, traders will be watching for signs of slowing demand or further production adjustments as the group seeks to balance market stability with the risk of falling prices.
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