Business
Eurozone Growth Slightly Improved, But Productivity Challenges Persist
The eurozone economy saw a modest improvement in the final quarter of 2024, but persistent productivity struggles continue to weigh on overall performance, according to Eurostat data released on Friday.
GDP Growth Marginally Higher Than Expected
Seasonally adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) in the eurozone grew by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2024, while the broader EU economy expanded by 0.2% during the same period. These figures represent a slight upward revision from initial estimates but remain well below the 0.6% growth recorded in the United States for the same period.
Comparing year-over-year figures, GDP rose by 0.9% in the eurozone and 1.1% in the EU, maintaining a similar pace to Q3 2024, when growth stood at 0.9% in the euro area and 1.0% in the EU.
Despite these slight improvements, economists remain cautious, with Jack Allen-Reynolds, deputy chief eurozone economist at Capital Economics, warning that the numbers highlight ongoing weakness in the region.
“The eurozone economy performed a little better than previously thought in Q4, but growth was still extremely weak,” Allen-Reynolds said. “A 0.1% expansion is hardly something to get excited about.”
Diverging National Performances
Economic performance across individual eurozone nations varied significantly. Poland, Lithuania, and Spain recorded strong annual growth rates, while Austria and Germany saw the sharpest declines in output.
Germany and France both experienced contractions, while Italy’s economy stagnated, placing the burden on Spain and smaller economies to prevent a broader economic downturn in the eurozone.
“The early signs are that 2025 has started slowly as well,” Allen-Reynolds added, suggesting that economic headwinds remain a concern.
Employment Growth Continues, But Productivity Slumps
While economic growth remains tepid, employment figures showed modest gains. The number of employed persons in both the euro area and the EU increased by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2024. This followed a 0.2% rise in employment in the eurozone in Q3, while the EU had remained stable.
On a year-over-year basis, employment rose by 0.6% in the eurozone and 0.5% in the EU in Q4 2024.
However, these employment gains have not translated into productivity growth. According to Allen-Reynolds, GDP per worker has declined by 1.4% since Q3 2022, leading to higher unit labor costs and sustained inflationary pressures.
“The flipside of these employment gains is that productivity has continued to fall, keeping underlying price pressures higher than they would otherwise have been,” he noted.
Outlook for 2025
With weak growth, declining productivity, and inflationary risks still in play, the eurozone enters 2025 facing economic uncertainty. Analysts suggest that without a productivity boost or a stronger rebound in key economies like Germany and France, the region’s recovery could remain fragile.
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