Business
Big Tech to Spend Over $700 Billion on AI in 2026, Outpacing Entire Economies
Big Tech companies are dramatically increasing their investments in artificial intelligence, with projected capital expenditure for 2026 exceeding $700 billion (€590 billion), an increase of roughly 75 percent from 2025. The figure represents more than Sweden’s entire nominal GDP for 2025 and highlights the scale of the technology sector’s AI push.
Recent earnings reports and analyst projections show that Amazon is leading the spending, guiding an estimated $200 billion (€170 billion) in AI infrastructure. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta follow with planned investments of $185 billion (€155 billion), $145 billion (€122 billion), and $135 billion (€113 billion), respectively. Oracle, Tesla, and xAI are also scaling up spending, with Tesla aiming for nearly $20 billion (€16.8 billion) to expand its robotaxi fleet and Optimus humanoid projects, while xAI will invest at least $30 billion (€25.2 billion).
The surge in spending reflects a definitive pivot that began in 2025, when Big Tech invested around $400 billion (€337 billion) in AI infrastructure. Hyperscale data centres, AI chip development, and cloud computing expansion are driving the demand, with global chip sales expected to reach $1 trillion (€842 billion) this year for the first time, according to the US Semiconductor Industry Association. Nvidia, a leading AI chip supplier, is set to benefit heavily from this build-out, with CEO Jensen Huang describing the effort as “the largest infrastructure build-out in human history.”
Big Tech is financing much of the expansion through debt, with Morgan Stanley estimating that hyperscalers will borrow approximately $400 billion (€337 billion) in 2026, more than double the amount in 2025. Analysts have raised concerns about the scale and timing of spending, citing potential risks from rapid hardware depreciation and high operational costs, including energy usage. Google CEO Sundar Pichai acknowledged that there are “elements of irrationality in the current spending pace,” while investors like Michael Burry have warned the AI investment boom may resemble a bubble.
Europe’s position in the AI race contrasts sharply with the US. Total European spending on sovereign cloud infrastructure is forecast at €10.6 billion in 2026, a fraction of American Big Tech investments. Mistral AI, a French startup, represents one of the few significant European moves, planning a €1.2 billion data centre in Borlänge, Sweden, to provide high-performance computing for AI models and strengthen EU data sovereignty.
While US companies dominate with enormous investments, European firms are relying on regulation and targeted capital projects to carve out a competitive position. Analysts warn that the transatlantic gap underscores Europe’s reliance on American technology and raises questions about its ability to compete in a rapidly expanding global AI market.
As 2026 unfolds, the stakes for Big Tech and global AI leadership are clear. The United States is making unprecedented financial bets on AI dominance, while Europe attempts to balance regulation, sovereign infrastructure, and limited capital to maintain a foothold in the emerging technology landscape.
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European Cocoa and Chocolate Prices Surge Ahead of Easter
Cocoa and chocolate prices in Europe have risen sharply ahead of Easter, outpacing overall inflation and highlighting the fragility of global supply chains. According to Eurostat data, consumer prices for cocoa and powdered chocolate increased by 15.3% annually as of December 2025, while chocolate prices rose 15.6% over the same period. These increases place both items among the top five food and non-alcoholic beverage categories with the highest inflation in the European Union, where overall inflation stood at 2.3%.
Experts attribute the surge to disruptions in the cocoa supply chain, particularly due to adverse weather conditions in Africa. Joël Frei, communication officer at the Swiss Platform for Sustainable Cocoa, said global cocoa production has become increasingly volatile, with the 2023–2024 cocoa year proving particularly difficult. Revised estimates from the International Cocoa Organization indicate that global output fell from 5.016 million tonnes in 2022–2023 to 4.368 million tonnes in 2023–2024, a 12.9% decline. At the same time, the stocks-to-grindings ratio fell from 34.9% to 26.4%, reflecting a tighter market.
“Shocks on the production side have pushed inventories to historically low levels, leaving markets extremely exposed to further disruptions and driving cocoa prices to record highs,” said Emiliano Magrini, economist at the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO).
The impact on consumers has been severe in several countries. Denmark reported the largest annual increase at 30.5%, followed by Lithuania at 30.3%. Austria, Romania, Norway, and Sweden also saw rises above 25%. Among Europe’s largest economies, Germany experienced a 21.4% increase, Italy 20.5%, while France and Spain saw smaller hikes of 14.7% and 12%, respectively. Czechia, Belgium, Serbia, and Portugal recorded relatively minor increases between 1.3% and 3.6%.
The decline in cocoa output was concentrated in the world’s two largest producers. Côte d’Ivoire saw a drop of roughly 20–25%, while Ghana experienced an even sharper decline. Magrini said the reduction was driven by prolonged dry spells and increased disease pressure, including the cocoa swollen shoot virus. Anna Lea Albright, former fellow at the Harvard Center for the Environment, noted that extreme rainfall during flowering and early pod development also contributed to significant yield losses.
Production has recovered modestly in 2024–2025 and is expected to improve further in the 2025–2026 season. Despite this, the market remains structurally thin and vulnerable, with prices sensitive to any additional shocks from weather, disease, or trade disruptions.
As Easter approaches, consumers across Europe are facing higher chocolate costs, reflecting a combination of tight global supply, climate challenges, and logistical vulnerabilities that continue to affect the cocoa industry.
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