Business
UK Job Market Trails European Peers as Spain and Italy Lead Vacancy Growth
January is typically a busy period for career moves, but job seekers in the United Kingdom face a tougher environment than their counterparts across Europe. Recent data from global hiring platform Indeed shows that more than 10 million people remain unemployed across Europe’s five largest economies as 2025 draws to a close.
In the UK, job postings remain well below pre-pandemic levels, with the latest index reading 80.2 as of 28 November, a 20 percent drop compared with February 2020. This represents a decline from the same period in 2024, when the index stood at 88.3. Jack Kennedy, senior economist at Indeed, attributes the shortfall to rising employment costs and policy uncertainty.
“The UK’s relative underperformance partly reflects increased employment costs and policy uncertainty,” Kennedy said. The government recently raised employer social security contributions to 15 percent for salaries above £5,000, up from 13.8 percent on salaries above £9,100. The minimum wage has also increased significantly in recent years, and ongoing debates over the Employment Rights Bill have added to uncertainty. Kennedy noted that these factors have particularly affected hiring for low-wage positions, weighing on employer confidence.
The UK’s unemployment rate stood at 5.1 percent in the third quarter of 2025, a level last surpassed in early 2021. Kennedy suggested that if economic growth meets expectations and employer confidence improves in 2026, vacancy levels could stabilise or rise modestly, accompanied by a slight reduction in unemployment.
Across the continent, Germany and France continue to show stronger labour markets. Job postings in Germany reached 115.6 and 113.3 in France, approximately 15 percent above pre-pandemic levels, though both countries experienced declines compared with late 2024. Political and economic uncertainty has weighed on France, where repeated government disagreements and a downgraded credit rating have affected investment and consumption. Lisa Feist, economist at Indeed Hiring Lab, highlighted that France’s labour market remains vulnerable despite recent agreement on a social security budget.
Spain and Italy have posted the most robust results. Job postings in Spain reached 153.5, 54 percent above pre-pandemic levels, while Italy’s index stands at 168.1, up 68 percent. Spain’s vacancy index rose 13 points over the past year, with Italy recording a modest one-point increase. Kennedy attributed the growth to generally positive economic trends and persistent labour shortages in both countries.
Despite strong vacancy numbers, Spain’s unemployment rate remains the highest in the European Union, at 10.5 percent in October 2025. The OECD projects Spain will lead GDP growth among the top five European economies, with 2.9 percent in 2025, followed by 2.2 percent in 2026 and 1.8 percent in 2027.
These trends suggest that while the UK struggles to recover pre-pandemic momentum in job creation, Southern European economies continue to benefit from stronger demand for labour, highlighting widening differences in the region’s post-COVID economic recovery.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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