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Ships Continue Passing Through Strait of Hormuz Despite Ongoing Conflict

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Dozens of ships are still navigating the Strait of Hormuz as Iran maintains oil exports despite continued attacks on one of the world’s most critical trade routes.

Around 90 vessels, including oil tankers, have crossed the strait since the conflict began earlier this month, according to maritime data. This comes even as most commercial traffic has been disrupted and nearly 20 ships have reportedly been targeted in the area. The strait, which normally carries about one-fifth of global oil supply, has seen a sharp drop in overall movement compared to pre-conflict levels.

Despite the risks, Iran has continued exporting oil, shipping more than 16 million barrels since the start of March, according to analytics firm Kpler. Much of this trade is believed to involve so-called “dark” shipping practices, where vessels avoid tracking systems to bypass sanctions and scrutiny. Analysts say many of these ships are linked to Iranian networks, while others have connections to countries such as China and Greece.

More recently, vessels tied to India and Pakistan have also passed through the strait following diplomatic engagement. Maritime data shows that the Pakistan-flagged tanker Karachi and India-linked gas carriers Shivalik and Nanda Devi successfully completed their journeys through the route in mid-March. Indian officials indicated that discussions with Tehran helped secure safe passage for the ships.

Experts say these crossings suggest the strait is not entirely closed but operating under selective conditions. Richard Meade, editor-in-chief of Lloyd’s List, said some vessels appear to be transiting with a degree of diplomatic coordination, often staying close to Iranian waters. There are also indications that certain ships have identified themselves as linked to China or staffed by Chinese crews, likely to reduce the risk of being targeted.

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Oil markets remain highly sensitive to developments in the region. Prices have risen more than 40 per cent since the conflict began, briefly pushing Brent crude oil above $100 per barrel. The surge has prompted calls from Donald Trump for allied nations to help secure the waterway and restore stability to global energy supplies.

Iran has warned that it may block shipments destined for the United States, Israel and their allies, while allowing limited flows to continue. US officials have indicated that some Iranian exports are being tolerated to prevent further disruption to global markets.

Analysts say the current situation reflects a controlled but fragile balance, where the strait remains partially operational. While limited traffic continues, the risk of escalation remains high, and any further disruption could have significant consequences for global energy supply and prices.

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UniCredit’s €35 Billion Bid for Commerzbank Faces German Rejection as Takeover Battle Intensifies

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UniCredit’s hostile €35 billion takeover offer for Germany’s Commerzbank is set to close on Tuesday night, bringing to a head a politically charged banking battle that has drawn resistance from Berlin and renewed debate over consolidation in Europe’s financial sector.

The Milan-based lender launched its bid in early May in an effort to take control of Commerzbank and strengthen its position as a pan-European banking powerhouse. The offer, which formally expires at 11:59 p.m. local time unless extended, has already cleared the 30 percent acceptance threshold UniCredit had set as a key milestone.

However, the proposal has been widely criticised as undervaluing the German lender, and has faced firm opposition from both Commerzbank’s leadership and the German government. Berlin has repeatedly voiced concerns over the bid, warning that Commerzbank plays a critical role in financing Germany’s small and medium-sized enterprises as well as supporting employment in Frankfurt’s financial sector.

Germany’s Financial Market Stabilisation Fund rejected the offer outright on Tuesday, stating that it supports Commerzbank’s independence strategy and opposes what it described as UniCredit’s aggressive approach. Chancellor Friedrich Merz had earlier warned that the bid risks undermining trust in one of Germany’s key private banks.

In response, Commerzbank chief executive Bettina Orlopp has introduced a long-term strategy aimed at improving profitability by 2030, including cost-cutting measures and restructuring efforts designed to make the bank more efficient and attractive to investors.

UniCredit, meanwhile, has reported growing support for its bid, stating that acceptance levels stood at 11.9 percent as of Monday, in addition to its existing 26.7 percent stake. The bank has also disclosed exposure through derivatives linked to an additional share of Commerzbank’s capital.

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The Italian lender argues that surpassing the 30 percent threshold should allow it greater influence over governance, including the appointment of supervisory board representatives. That position has been firmly rejected by Commerzbank, which points to existing agreements with the German state that protect its role in board nominations.

Tensions between the two institutions have also escalated over allegations of misleading disclosures. Commerzbank has asked Germany’s financial regulator, BaFin, to investigate UniCredit’s reporting practices, while prosecutors in Frankfurt have opened a preliminary inquiry into possible market manipulation linked to trading activity during the offer period.

UniCredit has rejected all accusations, insisting its disclosures comply fully with regulatory requirements and accusing Commerzbank management of misrepresenting the facts to shape public perception.

Beyond pricing and governance disputes, the takeover attempt highlights broader concerns about consolidation in European banking and the future structure of national financial institutions. With the offer deadline approaching, the outcome will determine whether UniCredit can advance its ambition of reshaping its German operations through a deeper integration with Commerzbank or whether resistance from Berlin succeeds in halting the bid.

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SpaceX Strikes $60 Billion Deal to Acquire AI Coding Startup Cursor in Major Expansion into Enterprise AI

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SpaceX has agreed to acquire Anysphere, the company behind the AI-powered coding tool Cursor, in an all-stock deal valued at $60 billion, marking one of the company’s most significant moves beyond its core aerospace business.

The agreement, announced on Tuesday, signals a deeper push by Elon Musk’s firm into the rapidly expanding enterprise artificial intelligence sector, where companies such as OpenAI and Anthropic have already established strong commercial positions. Anysphere, based in San Francisco, develops software that uses AI to automate large parts of the programming process, and its Cursor tool has become widely adopted among developers.

Under the terms of the deal, a SpaceX subsidiary, X67 Inc., will merge with Anysphere, making Cursor a wholly owned subsidiary of the aerospace company. The transaction is expected to be completed in the third quarter of the year, pending regulatory approval.

The acquisition comes just days after SpaceX completed a high-profile initial public offering that valued the company at record levels. Following the announcement, SpaceX shares continued to climb in premarket trading, rising more than 4 percent and trading significantly above their IPO price.

If the momentum holds, the company’s valuation could challenge some of the largest technology firms globally, reflecting strong investor interest in Musk’s expanding technology portfolio.

SpaceX had previously secured an option in April to either acquire Cursor outright for $60 billion or enter a smaller partnership worth $10 billion focused on providing computing resources. The decision to proceed with a full acquisition highlights the company’s confidence in the long-term value of AI-driven software development tools.

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Founded in 2022, Anysphere has experienced rapid growth. The company reported approximately $2.6 billion in annualised business-to-business revenue earlier this year, driven by strong demand for its AI-assisted coding platform. It has also attracted more than $3 billion in funding from major investors, including Nvidia and OpenAI.

The deal further expands Musk’s presence in artificial intelligence following the earlier merger between SpaceX and his AI venture xAI. Industry observers say the acquisition could strengthen xAI’s position in AI-assisted coding, an area where it has lagged behind competitors, while also giving Anysphere access to significantly greater computing power and infrastructure.

Analysts view the move as part of a broader strategy to integrate AI capabilities across Musk’s technology ecosystem, spanning aerospace, software, and data-driven services. The transaction also underscores intensifying competition in the AI sector, where major technology companies are racing to secure tools that enhance software development and enterprise productivity.

Regulatory approval remains pending, but the acquisition is already being seen as a pivotal step in SpaceX’s evolution from an aerospace leader into a broader artificial intelligence and technology powerhouse.

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Oil Markets Stabilise After Iran Deal, but Experts Warn Energy Supply Recovery Will Take Months

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Despite the announcement of a deal to end the Iran conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, energy experts caution that global oil and gas markets will not return to normal quickly, with supply disruptions expected to persist for months.

The agreement, reached on Sunday, has eased immediate market fears and triggered a fall in crude prices at the start of the week. Brent crude, the international benchmark, slipped by $3.45 to $83.89 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate fell $4.03 to $80.85 per barrel. Even with the decline, prices remain significantly higher than the pre-war level of around $70 per barrel.

Analysts say the underlying disruption to global supply chains cannot be resolved in the short term. Shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz, which normally carry around one-fifth of the world’s oil and refined fuel supplies, were severely disrupted during the conflict, leaving tankers stranded in the Persian Gulf for more than three months.

Daniel Evans, global head of fuels and refining research at S&P Global Energy, said the recovery process will be gradual and dependent on logistical and financial conditions. He noted that insurance coverage, crew availability and safety assurances will all need to be restored before shipping activity can return to normal levels.

“There needs to be confidence that there is a safe window to bring vessels in, load them and move them out again,” Evans said, adding that restarting operations will require coordination across multiple sectors.

Even once shipments resume, the physical movement of oil remains slow. Tankers can take weeks or even months to reach refineries across global markets, meaning the impact of renewed flows will not be immediate.

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Complicating the recovery further, several Middle Eastern producers were forced to halt or reduce output during the conflict due to storage constraints, a process known as shut-ins. Restarting those facilities is expected to take time, particularly in countries with more complex extraction conditions.

Alan Gelder, senior vice president at energy analytics firm Wood Mackenzie, said Gulf producers such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates could recover more quickly due to alternative export routes. However, he warned that Iraq and other heavily affected producers may require up to a year to fully restore output.

Investment in new energy infrastructure has also been delayed by the conflict, further slowing long-term recovery. Analysts say companies are unlikely to restart major capital spending until there is confidence that stability in the Strait of Hormuz will last beyond a short-term ceasefire.

As Daniel Sternoff of Columbia University noted, uncertainty remains over how quickly normal shipping conditions can be restored, leaving the global energy market in a cautious transition phase despite diplomatic progress.

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