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European Parliament Votes Could Decide Fate of EU-Mercosur Trade Deal
Three upcoming votes in the European Parliament could determine the future of the EU-Mercosur trade deal, potentially altering or even derailing what would be the European Union’s largest free trade agreement. The agreement, which took over two decades to negotiate and was finalized last year, requires approval from both EU member states and EU lawmakers to enter into force.
The first vote, scheduled for December’s plenary session, focuses on a bilateral safeguard clause for agricultural products. Proposed in October, the clause aims to protect EU farmers from an influx of cheaper South American goods. Known as the “reciprocity clause,” it would allow the EU to temporarily withdraw tariff preferences for products from Mercosur countries if they fail to meet EU standards for the environment, animal welfare, and production practices.
Belgian MEP Benoit Cassart, a supporter of the clause, said it ensures Mercosur countries establish supply chains that meet EU standards before accessing European markets. The vote on the full safeguard package is set for Tuesday, December 16, in Strasbourg.
If approved, the safeguards would still need agreement from EU member states. A special fast-track procedure could enable Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to travel to Brazil to sign the deal before the end of the year. However, the measure is contentious. Critics argue it could violate World Trade Organization rules and may be impractical to enforce, while some parliamentary amendments might push for removal of the clause.
Support for the clause in the Parliament’s international trade committee (INTA) was narrowly secured by a single vote, with the European People’s Party, Socialists and Democrats, and much of Renew Europe voting against it. Some MEPs representing rural constituencies may support the clause politically, even if they expect it to be rejected later in negotiations with the Council.
Italy’s position remains crucial, as Belgium intends to abstain. Italian backing may be needed to achieve the qualified majority required for approval. Agriculture Minister Francesco Lollobrigida stressed the importance of ensuring imported products comply with EU environmental and labour standards.
Even if von der Leyen signs a provisional agreement with Mercosur leaders, two additional parliamentary votes in early 2026 could still stall the deal. One will address a legal challenge to the deal submitted by 145 leftist lawmakers, who argue the Commission improperly split the agreement to bypass national parliamentary approval. The second will concern the deal’s final ratification, which is expected to be a closer contest.
Parliamentary sources suggest that while party positions provide guidance, many MEPs may vote based on their national governments’ interests. The outcome of these votes will play a decisive role in shaping the EU-Mercosur trade deal and its potential impact on agriculture, trade, and international relations between Europe and South America.
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Britain and Norway Step Up Naval Patrols to Protect Undersea Infrastructure from Russia
Britain and Norway have launched new joint naval patrols aimed at protecting undersea cables from Russia, with a combined fleet of at least 13 warships safeguarding critical infrastructure in the North Atlantic, officials said. The announcement follows discussions in December between UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre on defense cooperation.
British Defence Secretary John Healey said on Thursday that the operation was designed to deter Russian submarines suspected of “malign activity” near undersea infrastructure north of the UK. A frigate, aircraft, and hundreds of personnel monitored a Russian attack submarine and two spy vessels during an operation lasting more than a month. Healey said the Russian ships eventually left the area.
His message to Moscow was clear: “We see your activity over our cables and our pipelines, and you should know that any attempt to damage them will not be tolerated and will have serious consequences.” Healey emphasized that while global attention is focused on conflicts in the Middle East, Russia remains the main threat to the UK and its allies.
British officials have highlighted the overlap between Russia’s support for Iran and its ongoing war in Ukraine. Tehran has provided Moscow with Shahed drones, which are now also manufactured in Russia under the designation Geran. Healey said, “Putin would want us to be distracted by the Middle East. We will not take our eyes off Putin.”
The UK has also prepared to seize ships suspected of being part of Russia’s “shadow fleet,” a flotilla of old oil tankers of unclear ownership designed to bypass international sanctions imposed over Moscow’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Previously, the UK only assisted France and the US in monitoring such vessels. Healey said, “We are ready to take action” against these ships.
Norwegian Defence Minister Tore O. Sandvik, who signed the joint naval agreement with Healey, said the patrols allow both countries to “defend themselves together.” The deployment builds on a £10 billion (€11 billion) deal for Norway to purchase at least five British-made frigates, which, together with eight British ships, will operate along NATO’s northern flank.
Russian naval activity near UK waters has reportedly risen by 30 percent over the past two years. NATO officials have also warned that attacks on undersea cables are among the “most active threats” to Western infrastructure. Acting Assistant Secretary General for Innovation, Hybrid, and Cyber, James Appathurai, said recent incidents in the Baltic Sea and elsewhere reflect Russia’s long-term undersea program, which includes research ships, submarines, unmanned vehicles, divers, and explosives targeting communications and energy pipelines.
The new UK-Norway patrols signal a heightened focus on securing vital maritime infrastructure amid rising geopolitical tensions and increasing Russian naval operations in European waters.
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