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European Parliament Votes Could Decide Fate of EU-Mercosur Trade Deal
Three upcoming votes in the European Parliament could determine the future of the EU-Mercosur trade deal, potentially altering or even derailing what would be the European Union’s largest free trade agreement. The agreement, which took over two decades to negotiate and was finalized last year, requires approval from both EU member states and EU lawmakers to enter into force.
The first vote, scheduled for December’s plenary session, focuses on a bilateral safeguard clause for agricultural products. Proposed in October, the clause aims to protect EU farmers from an influx of cheaper South American goods. Known as the “reciprocity clause,” it would allow the EU to temporarily withdraw tariff preferences for products from Mercosur countries if they fail to meet EU standards for the environment, animal welfare, and production practices.
Belgian MEP Benoit Cassart, a supporter of the clause, said it ensures Mercosur countries establish supply chains that meet EU standards before accessing European markets. The vote on the full safeguard package is set for Tuesday, December 16, in Strasbourg.
If approved, the safeguards would still need agreement from EU member states. A special fast-track procedure could enable Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to travel to Brazil to sign the deal before the end of the year. However, the measure is contentious. Critics argue it could violate World Trade Organization rules and may be impractical to enforce, while some parliamentary amendments might push for removal of the clause.
Support for the clause in the Parliament’s international trade committee (INTA) was narrowly secured by a single vote, with the European People’s Party, Socialists and Democrats, and much of Renew Europe voting against it. Some MEPs representing rural constituencies may support the clause politically, even if they expect it to be rejected later in negotiations with the Council.
Italy’s position remains crucial, as Belgium intends to abstain. Italian backing may be needed to achieve the qualified majority required for approval. Agriculture Minister Francesco Lollobrigida stressed the importance of ensuring imported products comply with EU environmental and labour standards.
Even if von der Leyen signs a provisional agreement with Mercosur leaders, two additional parliamentary votes in early 2026 could still stall the deal. One will address a legal challenge to the deal submitted by 145 leftist lawmakers, who argue the Commission improperly split the agreement to bypass national parliamentary approval. The second will concern the deal’s final ratification, which is expected to be a closer contest.
Parliamentary sources suggest that while party positions provide guidance, many MEPs may vote based on their national governments’ interests. The outcome of these votes will play a decisive role in shaping the EU-Mercosur trade deal and its potential impact on agriculture, trade, and international relations between Europe and South America.
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