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EU Divided Over Response to Trump’s Tariff Threats

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While the European Union presents a united front against U.S. President Donald Trump’s newly announced tariffs on steel and aluminum, internal divisions are emerging over the best course of action. Some member states, led by France, are pushing for swift retaliatory measures, while others, including Germany, Italy, and Hungary, advocate for a more cautious approach focused on dialogue.

Trump’s Tariffs Spark Urgent EU Talks

Trump’s latest tariff decision, announced Monday, includes a 25% levy on imported steel and aluminum, citing national security concerns. The executive order, set to take effect on March 12, was followed by another announcement on Thursday: a plan for reciprocal tariffs on U.S. trading partners, to be determined on a country-by-country basis in the coming weeks.

In response, the European Commission vowed on Friday to react “firmly and immediately”, setting the stage for internal debate within the EU over how to proceed.

Hawks vs. Doves: A Divided Approach

Following an emergency video conference of EU trade ministers on Wednesday, the rift between hawks and doves became apparent.

  • France, leading the hawkish camp, argues that strong and immediate retaliation is necessary to prevent excessive concessions to the U.S. “Every U.S. measure announced calls for an immediate response,” one official told Euronews.
  • Germany, Italy, and Hungary, in contrast, prefer a more measured approach, advocating for continued negotiations with Washington rather than hastily imposing countermeasures. A diplomat from this group emphasized the importance of avoiding a tit-for-tat trade war.

Hungary, where Prime Minister Viktor Orbán maintains close ties with Trump, is pushing for no retaliatory action before March 12. Meanwhile, Italy insists on keeping diplomatic channels open before resorting to tariffs.

EU’s History of Retaliation and Future Strategy

The EU has previously responded to Trump-era tariffs. In 2018, the bloc countered U.S. duties on European steel (25%) and aluminum (10%) with €2.8 billion in tariffs on American goods. A temporary truce was brokered under President Joe Biden, but that agreement expires at the end of March 2024.

Since then, the EU has bolstered its trade defenses, introducing anti-coercion measures that allow restrictions on public procurement, services, and intellectual property rights in retaliation to trade threats.

Strengthening Global Trade Partnerships

Amid tensions with the U.S., the EU is working to expand its global trade network. Recent agreements include:

  • A free trade deal with Mercosur nations (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay)
  • A trade pact with Switzerland, finalized in December
  • A renewed agreement with Mexico, completed in January
  • Reopened negotiations with Malaysia

Later this month, all EU Commissioners will travel to India for talks on a strategic partnership, including discussions on trade cooperation.

Outlook: Trade Tensions or Compromise?

With Trump signaling broader trade policy changes, EU officials, including Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič, have warned that the bloc must prepare for more than just steel and aluminum tariffs.

Following a meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, European Council President António Costa reinforced the EU’s preference for diplomacy, tweeting: “Trade agreements are better than trade tariffs.”

Whether the EU opts for immediate retaliation or ongoing negotiations, its ability to maintain a cohesive response will be crucial in shaping its economic future amid a shifting global trade landscape.

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EU Seeks Closer Defence Ties with Ukraine, Citing Battle-Tested Innovation

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The European Union has launched a new initiative to deepen defence cooperation with Ukraine, drawing on the war-torn country’s battlefield experience to strengthen European capabilities in key areas such as drone production.

The EU-Ukraine Defence Industries Task Force held its inaugural meeting on Monday, aiming to enhance industrial collaboration between Kyiv and Brussels. The effort was announced by European Commissioner for Defence and Space Andrius Kubilius during the second EU-Ukraine Defence Industry Forum.

Kubilius emphasized the urgency of integrating Ukraine’s rapidly evolving defence sector into Europe’s broader security framework, particularly in light of its advancements in unmanned systems and supply chain resilience.

Today, we announce the creation of the inter-institutional EU-Ukraine Task Force,” he said. “Ukrainian and European experts will now work together to develop joint projects and facilitate procurement processes that strengthen both our defence industries.”

The task force will focus on priority capabilities, especially explosives and drones. According to Kubilius, Ukraine’s innovation in drone production has positioned it as a global leader in the field. “We need to learn from Ukraine how to create a drone production and operation infrastructure,” he said, asserting that Europe stands to gain even more from this integration than Ukraine.

Since Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, Ukraine has increased its annual defence production capacity to €35 billion — a 35-fold rise. Kubilius highlighted Ukraine’s ability to deliver modern, cost-effective defence solutions, describing its companies as “fast” and capable of producing at “half the price” of their European counterparts.

Alexander Kamyshin, an advisor to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, told the forum that the ongoing conflict would be remembered as “the first world drone war.” He noted Ukraine’s success in developing autonomous targeting systems and swarming drone capabilities, technologies he said the country is willing to share with European allies.

We’re here to build the arsenal of the free world together,” Kamyshin declared.

The EU is set to invest heavily in its defence sector over the next four years, including up to €650 billion in new fiscal allocations and €150 billion through a new loan programme dubbed SAFE. The initiative is designed to support joint procurement and could benefit Ukrainian firms as well.

Talks on the SAFE programme are expected to conclude by the end of May, with disbursements likely to begin by early 2026. Meanwhile, a broader strategic planning effort, including a new Industry Outlook based on member states’ capability targets, is set to be unveiled in June.

Peace through strength will come from production power and brain power,” Kubilius said. “To stop Putin, we need to produce more, innovate more, and we need to do that together: in the EU and with Ukraine.”

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Spy Scandal Strains Hungary-Ukraine Relations as Minority Rights Talks Collapse

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A deepening espionage scandal has plunged Hungary and Ukraine into a new diplomatic rift, with Budapest abruptly suspending planned talks on the rights of ethnic Hungarians in Ukraine’s Transcarpathia region.

According to Ukrainian officials, negotiations that were due to take place on May 12 in Uzhhorod were called off at the last minute by Hungary, despite the Ukrainian delegation already having arrived in the border town. The discussions were meant to address 11 Hungarian recommendations to strengthen the rights of the Hungarian minority living in the southwestern Carpathian region.

The suspension comes amid a growing diplomatic row sparked by Ukrainian allegations of Hungarian espionage. On May 9, Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) announced that it had uncovered a Hungarian military intelligence network operating on Ukrainian territory. Two former Ukrainian soldiers were detained, accused of collecting sensitive military information for Budapest. The network was reportedly overseen by a Hungarian intelligence officer.

In response, Ukraine expelled two Hungarian diplomats. Hungary retaliated in kind, expelling two Ukrainian officials. Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó dismissed the allegations as “propaganda,” stating that Hungary had not received any formal communication from Kyiv regarding the charges.

Tensions escalated further on Friday when Hungary’s Counter-Terrorism Centre detained a Ukrainian citizen in central Budapest. According to Hungarian authorities, the individual—described as a middle-aged man previously operating under diplomatic cover—was expelled from the country overnight for espionage. The National Directorate General for Aliens determined that his activities posed a “serious threat to Hungary’s sovereignty.”

The individual was deported after the situation was clarified,” the Hungarian government said in a statement, adding that the suspect no longer had diplomatic immunity.

The deteriorating relations have cast a shadow over longstanding concerns about minority rights in Transcarpathia, where ethnic Hungarians have lived for generations. Hungary has frequently criticized Ukraine for failing to uphold linguistic and cultural rights, while Kyiv has accused Budapest of interfering in its internal affairs.

With both sides now trading expulsions and suspending dialogue, the prospects for resolving the minority rights dispute — or cooling tensions more broadly — appear increasingly uncertain.

The incident marks the latest flashpoint in what has been a historically uneasy relationship between the two neighbours, now further complicated by war, security fears, and mounting geopolitical pressure.

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Bulgaria to Hold Referendum on Euro Adoption Amid Political and Economic Debate

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In a move that could reshape the country’s economic future, Bulgarian President Rumen Radev announced he would submit a request to parliament for a referendum on whether the country should adopt the euro as its official currency.

Bulgaria, as a full member of the European Union, faces a strategic decision — the introduction of the single European currency,” Radev said in a national address. “The referendum will be a test of the National Assembly’s democracy and will show who is following democratic principles and who is denying Bulgarians the right to determine their future.”

The push to adopt the euro comes amid years of political turmoil and economic challenges for Bulgaria, which has been part of the European Union since 2007. The decision to pursue eurozone membership has not been without its hurdles. In 2024, the European Central Bank (ECB) rejected Bulgaria’s bid to join the currency union, citing high inflation as a major obstacle.

In February 2025, the debate reached a boiling point when police in Sofia clashed with nationalist protesters who opposed the government’s plans. About 1,000 demonstrators gathered in front of the European Commission’s Sofia office, throwing red paint and firecrackers at the building, which resulted in a door being set on fire.

While the new government, formed just last month, has made joining the eurozone a priority, not everyone is convinced that Bulgaria is ready for the economic shift. Some economists argue that the country does not yet meet the necessary economic conditions for euro adoption, citing issues such as inflation and fiscal stability.

However, the Bulgarian government, with the backing of pro-European parties in parliament, maintains that adopting the euro is crucial for deeper European integration. As geopolitical tensions rise in Europe, they argue that adopting the euro would help secure Bulgaria’s place within the European project.

At the same time, nationalist factions, particularly those with pro-Russia sympathies, have ramped up opposition to the eurozone bid. These groups are reportedly spreading disinformation in an effort to sway public opinion and create fear around the potential impacts of euro adoption.

As Bulgaria moves toward the referendum, the country finds itself at a crossroads. The decision to adopt the euro will not only affect the economy but could also reshape the nation’s political and diplomatic future within the EU.

The outcome of the referendum remains uncertain, with significant divisions within the country about the advantages and risks of joining the eurozone.

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