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EU-Mercosur Trade Deal Signed Amid Rising Political Tensions in France
European leaders signed the EU-Mercosur trade deal on Saturday with Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay, aiming to strengthen the bloc’s strategic and economic position. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen called the agreement “25 years in the making” and described it as an “achievement of a generation” that prioritizes long-term partnerships over tariffs.
The deal, which would create a transatlantic free-trade zone, is seen by supporters as vital for countering China’s growing influence in Latin America. EU imports from Mercosur countries have fallen behind China’s share, reversing a trend seen in 2000 when the EU’s presence was six times larger. Advocates also argue the deal will diversify EU trade amid tighter US market access and growing reliance on Chinese materials and technology.
However, the agreement has exposed deep political divisions within the EU, with France emerging as the most vocal opponent. Paris voted against the deal in a key Council vote on 9 January, despite a majority of member states backing it. Critics in France argue the deal threatens domestic agriculture, exposing farmers to competition from Latin American imports that may not meet EU production standards.
The debate has intensified ahead of the European Parliament’s ratification process, scheduled to begin Monday. Lawmakers remain divided along national lines. France, Poland, Hungary, Ireland, and Austria opposed the deal, while Belgium abstained. In France, the issue has become a political flashpoint, feeding eurosceptic sentiment and prompting far-right Rassemblement National leader Jordan Bardella to launch a no-confidence motion in both the European Parliament and the National Assembly.
Supporters of the deal counter that France’s agricultural struggles are largely home-grown and point to concessions built into the agreement, including environmental safeguards, tariff-rate quotas for sensitive products such as beef and poultry, and a €45 billion support package for EU farmers from 2028. Despite these measures, Paris remains unconvinced, with President Emmanuel Macron noting that the deal would raise EU GDP by just 0.05% by 2040 and that tariff reductions on EU cars would be phased in over 18 years.
Other EU sectors stand to benefit from the agreement, particularly services, dairy, wine, spirits, and access to public procurement markets. Spanish MEP Javier Moreno Sánchez emphasized the deal’s importance in a “geopolitical and geo-economic context,” citing the need to negotiate on equal terms amid global trade tensions. German MEP Svenja Hahn highlighted that fears of agricultural disruption may be overstated, noting low utilization of quotas in similar deals like CETA.
After 25 years of negotiations, the Mercosur deal represents one of the EU’s most ambitious trade agreements. While supporters hope to build momentum for ratification in the European Parliament, opposition in France and a broader eurosceptic wave in parts of the bloc could complicate its implementation. Analysts warn that the deal’s political fallout may last longer than its economic impact, particularly in France, where public resistance to free-trade agreements runs deep.
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Trump Weighs Troop Cuts in Spain and Italy Amid Growing Rift Over Iran War
President Donald Trump said on Friday that he is considering reducing the US military presence in Spain and Italy, widening a dispute with key NATO allies over their opposition to the ongoing war with Iran.
Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office, Trump suggested both countries had failed to adequately support Washington’s military campaign in the Middle East.
“Yeah, probably, I probably will. Why shouldn’t I?” Trump said when asked whether he would withdraw troops from the two countries. He added that Italy “has not been of any help” and described Spain as “absolutely horrible.”
The comments came just one day after Trump floated a similar proposal regarding Germany, following criticism from German Chancellor Friedrich Merz over the administration’s handling of the Iran conflict.
Trump has repeatedly argued that the US-led campaign against Iran serves the security interests of the entire Western alliance. He has expressed frustration that several NATO members have not provided stronger military or political backing, particularly in efforts to counter Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
According to the latest Pentagon figures, the United States has about 36,000 troops stationed in Germany, roughly 12,600 in Italy and nearly 3,800 in Spain. While Trump did not specify the scale of any potential reductions, reports in US media suggest the cuts under consideration could be substantial.
Tensions with Italy have grown in recent weeks after Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni publicly questioned the war. Trump, once a close ally of the Italian leader, accused her of lacking the courage to fully support the campaign.
Relations with Spain have been strained for longer. Disagreements initially emerged over Madrid’s stance on the war in Gaza and later expanded to include defence spending and NATO commitments. Spain has resisted Trump’s push for alliance members to raise defence spending to 5 per cent of gross domestic product.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has said Spain will only increase military spending when it aligns with national interests. That position has drawn repeated criticism from Washington.
The Trump administration has previously threatened trade measures against Spain and has even raised the possibility of suspending the country from NATO. Reports last week indicated that such discussions have resurfaced amid Spain’s refusal to support the Iran campaign.
The diplomatic tensions come as the war enters its third month, with no clear end in sight. The conflict has disrupted global energy markets, especially after the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude settled at around $114 a barrel on Friday, sharply higher than the roughly $70 level seen before the conflict began.
Trump’s latest remarks are likely to deepen divisions within NATO at a time when alliance unity is already under strain.
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Trump Threatens Troop Reduction in Germany Amid Dispute With Chancellor Merz
US President Donald Trump has suggested that the United States could reduce its military presence in Germany, escalating tensions with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz over the handling of the conflict involving Iran.
In a social media post on Wednesday, Trump said Washington was reviewing the possibility of withdrawing some American troops from Germany, with a decision expected soon. The announcement comes amid a growing public disagreement between the two leaders over US strategy in the Middle East.
“The United States is studying and reviewing the possible reduction of troops in Germany,” Trump wrote, signalling that the longstanding American military footprint in Europe’s largest economy could once again be under scrutiny.
Germany hosts some of the most important US military facilities outside the United States, including Ramstein Air Base, the headquarters of US European Command and US Africa Command, and Landstuhl Regional Medical Center, the largest American military hospital abroad.
Trump’s latest warning follows comments by Merz earlier this week, in which the German leader said Washington was being “humiliated” by Iran and questioned the effectiveness of the US approach to the conflict. Merz has repeatedly called for a clearer strategy and a diplomatic resolution to the crisis.
Despite the sharp exchange, Merz said on Wednesday that his personal relationship with Trump remained strong. He added, however, that he had harboured concerns from the outset about the military campaign against Iran.
The two leaders met at the White House in March, shortly after the United States and Israel launched strikes on Iranian targets. At the time, Merz said Germany was prepared to work closely with Washington on future regional strategy, while also warning that a prolonged conflict could inflict serious damage on the global economy.
That concern has intensified as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz continues to disrupt global energy markets. The vital waterway, through which about one-fifth of the world’s oil supply normally passes, has remained effectively shut since fighting began in late February.
“We are suffering considerably in Germany and in Europe from the consequences of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz,” Merz said, urging all sides to seek a resolution.
Trump, however, has shown increasing frustration with Germany’s stance. In a post on Tuesday, he criticised Merz’s remarks on Iran and accused the chancellor of misunderstanding the threat posed by Tehran’s nuclear ambitions.
This is not the first time Trump has threatened to reduce US troop levels in Germany. During his first term, he announced plans to withdraw nearly 10,000 troops, citing Berlin’s defence spending. That proposal was later halted by the Biden administration.
Any renewed reduction would likely raise fresh questions about US commitment to NATO and European security at a time of heightened global instability.
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