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US-Iran Tensions Rise as Peace Talks Stall and Ceasefire Nears End

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Washington and Tehran have signalled they are prepared to resume hostilities as uncertainty surrounds a second round of peace talks in Islamabad, raising concerns about a renewed escalation in the Middle East conflict.

The planned negotiations, aimed at ending weeks of fighting that have disrupted global markets, were thrown into doubt after Iran withdrew from the talks. The discussions were expected to involve senior US officials, including Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff and adviser Jared Kushner.

The White House had indicated its delegation was ready to travel, but Tehran’s decision to pull out has left the diplomatic process in limbo. Iranian officials linked their withdrawal to the recent seizure of an Iranian-flagged cargo vessel by the US Navy, which they described as a violation of the current ceasefire.

The US has defended its actions, stating the vessel ignored warnings and attempted to bypass a naval blockade imposed on Iranian ports. The blockade was introduced after Iran shut down the Strait of Hormuz earlier in the conflict, a move that disrupted a key global oil route.

President Donald Trump has insisted the blockade will remain in place until Iran reopens the waterway to international shipping. In a statement on social media, he said the restrictions were placing severe economic pressure on Tehran and would not be lifted without a deal.

Iranian leaders have rejected negotiations under what they describe as coercion. Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf accused Washington of trying to force a surrender through military and economic pressure. He warned that Iran had prepared new military options if the situation escalates.

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The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has also issued warnings, saying any vessel attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz without permission could be targeted. The waterway is a critical route for global energy supplies, carrying roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil exports.

As the ceasefire approaches its expiration, fears are growing that the fragile pause in fighting could collapse. Oil markets remain sensitive to developments, with prices still elevated despite easing from pre-ceasefire peaks. Brent crude was trading just above $95 per barrel on Tuesday, reflecting ongoing uncertainty.

With both sides maintaining hardline positions and no confirmed timeline for renewed talks, the risk of further conflict remains high. The outcome of the stalled negotiations is likely to have significant implications not only for the region but also for global energy markets and economic stability.

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US Military Faces Weapons Shortages After Iran War, Pentagon Report Says

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The US military is facing shortages of ammunition and advanced weapons following its war with Iran, according to a report by the Defence Department’s inspector general, highlighting the pressure placed on American weapons stockpiles and defence production.

The report, submitted to Congress, said the scale of weapons used during the conflict created “strategic inventory shortfalls” and revealed bottlenecks in the US defence industry’s ability to replenish critical supplies.

The conflict, known as “Operation Epic Fury”, began on February 28. Between the start of the war and June 30, the operation cost an estimated $33.4 billion (€29 billion), with about $22.3 billion spent on munitions.

Defence experts have estimated that rebuilding stocks of advanced missiles and defensive interceptors to levels seen before the conflict could take about three years.

The report also detailed significant losses of US military equipment during the fighting. Four F-15 fighter jets were destroyed and one F-35 aircraft was damaged. Seven KC-135 tanker aircraft were damaged or destroyed, including five that were hit by Iranian munitions while on the ground in Saudi Arabia.

Up to 30 MQ-9 Reaper drones were also destroyed, according to the report. Each drone costs about $30 million (€26 million), adding significantly to the military’s equipment losses.

Despite the findings, President Donald Trump has continued to dismiss concerns about US weapons availability. Trump said the country’s ammunition supplies were “virtually unlimited” and claimed American weapons production had reached record levels.

In a post on Truth Social on Monday, Trump said the United States was producing “more exquisite and elite weapons than at any time in our history”.

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The Pentagon has also maintained that the US military has the weapons required to fight any conflict.

The inspector general’s report, however, pointed to wider challenges facing the US defence industry. The rapid consumption of advanced munitions during the war placed additional pressure on manufacturers already dealing with production constraints and lengthy timelines for some weapons systems.

The conflict also caused extensive damage to US military facilities across the region. Hundreds of buildings and other structures were damaged or destroyed at American bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Oman and Jordan.

The cost of repairing or rebuilding those facilities was not included in the $33.4 billion estimate for Operation Epic Fury.

US authorities have not yet determined whether all the damaged facilities will be rebuilt. They also have yet to establish who will ultimately pay for the repairs.

The report provides one of the clearest assessments so far of the financial and military costs of the Iran conflict, while raising questions about the ability of the United States to rapidly replace advanced weapons if it faces another major conflict.

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Zelenskyy Offers Putin Meeting at G20 as Russia and Ukraine Trade Strikes

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Saturday that he was willing to attend the G20 summit in Miami and meet Russian President Vladimir Putin on the sidelines, as the two countries continued attacks on each other’s territory and energy infrastructure.

Zelenskyy said direct talks were needed to achieve tangible results in efforts to end the war.

“We have to come. We have to meet, to speak and make decisions,” he said in an interview. “It’s not about words. What I will tell him or what he wants to tell me, it doesn’t matter. Results matter. That’s it.”

The Kremlin rejected the possibility of such a meeting. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov described a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting at the G20 as “impossible” and said the Russian president would only meet Zelenskyy in Moscow.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov also said Russia would not halt what Moscow calls its “special military operation” during possible peace talks.

The comments came as Ukraine reported a large overnight Russian drone attack. Ukraine’s Armed Forces said Russia launched 453 drones of various types across the country, with 409 intercepted or neutralised. The military said 13 locations were hit.

Several Russian drones struck the city of Stryi in the western Lviv region, which borders Poland. A multi-storey residential building, an outbuilding near a school and buildings close to a railway station were damaged, according to Ukrainian authorities.

In Izyum, in the Kharkiv region, a 26-year-old woman was killed after an explosive device detonated, according to Oleh Syniehub, head of the Kharkiv Regional Military Administration. Russian attacks also targeted Kharkiv city and 15 settlements in the region, injuring three people, including a 73-year-old woman.

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At least five people were injured in Ukraine’s Volyn region after a Russian attack lasting more than four hours, regional Governor Roman Romaniuk said. More than 10 drones were reported in the region’s airspace. In Lutsk, an evacuated train was hit by debris and caught fire, although no injuries were reported.

Ukraine targets Russian oil facilities

Russia also reported casualties following Ukrainian drone attacks. Two people were killed and 12 injured after a strike caused a fire at an industrial facility in Nizhnekamsk in Russia’s Tatarstan region, according to Russian authorities. The figures could not be independently verified.

Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence said it also struck the Slavyansk-ECO oil refinery in Slavyansk-on-Kuban in Russia’s Krasnodar Krai, damaging a key oil-processing unit and the refinery’s tank farm.

Both sides have increasingly targeted energy infrastructure ahead of winter. Russia has concentrated many attacks on Ukraine’s electricity and energy facilities, while Ukraine has focused its strikes on Russia’s oil and gas infrastructure.

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One Killed, Three Injured After Vessel Struck in Strait of Hormuz

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One person was killed and three others were injured after a merchant vessel was struck in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, Iranian authorities said, as tensions between Iran and the United States continue to focus on the strategic waterway.

The vessel was hit at about 5am local time, or 0130 GMT, off the coasts of Hengam and Qeshm islands, according to Amir Teymouri, governor of Qeshm city. The governor made the comments to Iranian state television.

“A merchant vessel was struck around 5:00 am (0130 GMT) this morning off the coasts of Hengam and Qeshm islands. One person was killed and three others were injured,” Teymouri said.

He did not identify what caused the strike or say who was responsible.

The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), which monitors maritime activity and issues security alerts to vessels, said on Sunday that it had received a report of a vessel being struck by an “unknown projectile” while travelling through the Strait of Hormuz.

UKMTO later said a fire had broken out aboard the vessel and that local authorities were assisting with the evacuation of its crew. The agency advised ships operating in the area to exercise caution while investigations were underway.

“Vessels are advised to transit with caution and report any suspicious activity to UKMTO whilst authorities are investigating,” the agency said.

The incident adds to concerns about maritime safety in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important routes for the transportation of oil and gas. The narrow waterway lies between Iran and Oman and connects the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the wider Arabian Sea.

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Qeshm, Iran’s largest island, is located near the Strait and has strategic importance because of its position close to major shipping routes.

The waterway has been at the centre of tensions between Washington and Tehran since late February. The confrontation has raised concerns among shipping companies, energy markets and governments about the safety of commercial vessels passing through the region.

Any disruption to traffic through the Strait of Hormuz could have wider consequences for global energy supplies because large volumes of crude oil and petroleum products move through the waterway each day.

Authorities had not immediately provided further details about the vessel involved, including its nationality, cargo or the extent of the damage. The cause of the strike and the identity of those responsible remained unclear as investigations continued.

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