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Flu Vaccination Rates Across Europe Remain Well Below Targets as Early Season Surge Raises Alarm

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As Europe enters a new flu season, health authorities are warning that vaccination uptake across the region remains far below recommended levels, even as infections are spreading earlier than expected. New data from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) shows immunisation rates remain “sub-optimal” in many countries, raising concerns about the months ahead.

The flu season typically runs from mid-November to late May, but officials say cases linked to a new H3N2 variant—known as subclade K—have already been rising abnormally early this year. They caution that this pattern could indicate a longer and more severe season.

Influenza infects up to one in five Europeans every winter and is associated with about 27,600 deaths annually across EU member states. With the added risk of an early surge, health authorities are urging people to get vaccinated, especially older adults, individuals with chronic illnesses or weakened immune systems, pregnant women, young children, and medical workers.

The ECDC’s latest analysis, covering all 27 EU member states along with Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Norway, highlights significant gaps in coverage. The agency said current vaccination policies “still fall short” of achieving adequate uptake, particularly among older adults.

Across that age group, rates varied sharply—from under 15 per cent in Latvia and Poland to 76 per cent in Denmark. The median rate was 47 per cent, well below the EU’s target of 75 per cent. Only Denmark and, to a lesser degree, Ireland, Portugal, and Sweden came close to approaching that benchmark.

The report shows that reaching the 75 per cent target has been an ongoing challenge. The highest median rate in the past five years was recorded during the 2020-2021 flu season, when concerns over COVID-19 helped push coverage to 59 per cent. Since then, no broad improvement has been recorded. “Levels of uptake continue to remain sub-optimal in most EU countries,” the ECDC said.

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Vaccination among healthcare workers also varied widely. While 23 countries recommend flu shots for all medical staff, reported uptake ranged from about 14 per cent in Slovenia to 51 per cent in Norway.

Data for pregnant women, available from eight countries, showed particularly low coverage. The median rate was 22 per cent, with Spain standing out at about 61 per cent. Several countries reported rates below 10 per cent.

There have been improvements in guidance for children and teenagers: all 30 countries surveyed now have specific recommendations for these groups, compared with 18 in the previous season. However, actual vaccination uptake remains limited.

With signs pointing to a difficult winter, the ECDC has urged national agencies to strengthen their efforts to promote flu vaccination and not rely solely on updated guidance. “Seasonal influenza vaccination remains a key public health intervention,” the agency said, stressing that higher coverage is essential to reduce severe illness and protect health systems across Europe.

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Congenital Infections Linked to Higher Risks of Autism and Intellectual Disability

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Children born with certain infections acquired during pregnancy face substantially higher risks of autism and intellectual disability later in life, according to a study of more than 3.7 million people in Sweden.

Researchers found that children with congenital infections were about three times more likely to be diagnosed with autism and more than seven times more likely to receive a diagnosis of intellectual disability than those without such infections.

The findings suggest that infections transmitted from a pregnant woman to her foetus may have lasting effects on brain development, although the study identifies an association rather than proving that the infections directly cause autism or intellectual disability.

The research focused on TORCH infections, a group that includes syphilis, rubella, toxoplasmosis, cytomegalovirus and herpesvirus. These infections can cross the placenta and affect the developing foetus, potentially increasing the risk of miscarriage, stillbirth and other pregnancy complications.

“Although these congenital infections are rare, some of them can be prevented, which makes them important from a public health perspective,” said Reneé Gardner of the Department of Global Public Health at Karolinska Institutet, who contributed to the study.

The researchers examined people born in Sweden between 1987 and 2021 and followed them for up to 30 years. Among the 3.7 million participants, 975 had been diagnosed with a congenital TORCH infection.

Although congenital infections accounted for only a small proportion of autism cases across the population, the risk among affected children was considerably higher. The researchers estimated that about one in five children born with a TORCH infection could later develop autism.

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The study also found elevated risks of intellectual disability across different levels of severity. The risk of severe to profound intellectual disability was as much as 30 times higher among children with a congenital infection than among those without one.

The researchers found evidence of an impact on educational outcomes even among people who were not diagnosed with autism or intellectual disability. A total of 420 participants with a TORCH infection showed poor school performance without receiving either diagnosis.

Congenital cytomegalovirus, or CMV, is the most common of these infections globally and affects roughly one in 150 newborns. Its burden is substantially greater in low- and middle-income countries.

The researchers said the findings highlight the importance of prevention, particularly in regions where these infections are more common. They pointed to vaccination programmes and other preventive measures as important tools for reducing congenital infections.

They also called for improved identification of affected newborns. Current screening systems, including those used in Sweden, may miss asymptomatic infections because universal screening for TORCH infections is not routinely carried out.

The authors said stronger screening and prevention strategies could help identify children at risk earlier and improve long-term support and care.

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AI Chatbots Make Faster, Less Nuanced Kidney Transplant Decisions Than Doctors

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Artificial intelligence chatbots may make faster and more confident decisions than human doctors when determining which patient should receive a life-saving kidney transplant, but a new study found that the systems often rely on fewer factors and show less sensitivity to the ethical complexity of such choices.

Researchers from Penn State University in the United States compared decisions made by large language models (LLMs) with choices made by people in earlier studies on kidney allocation. The researchers presented AI models with hypothetical cases based on existing datasets in which human participants had previously chosen between two patients competing for a single available kidney.

The patients were described using characteristics including age, health and drinking habits. Both were considered eligible for the transplant, requiring the decision maker to determine which patient should receive the available organ.

The researchers tested the AI systems in several ways. Some scenarios focused on individual characteristics, while others combined several traits to examine how the models handled competing considerations. In some tests, participants and AI systems were also given the option of flipping a coin, allowing researchers to assess indecision as part of moral decision-making.

Human participants generally placed greater importance on age, often favouring younger patients over older patients. Many of the AI models, however, placed greater weight on lower alcohol consumption.

Hadi Hosseini, the study’s lead researcher at Penn State University, said the findings showed that AI chatbots can diverge from human values when weighing characteristics of patients.

The researchers found that human decisions tended to consider several factors together and were more sensitive to context. LLMs, by contrast, frequently focused on a single characteristic when making their choices.

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Another difference involved uncertainty. Human participants were more likely to recognise that organ allocation can involve competing ethical considerations and that there may not be one objectively correct answer. AI models generally showed little hesitation and committed to one choice.

John Dickerson, chief executive officer of Mozilla.ai and a collaborator on the study, said humans recognise ambiguity when allocating scarce resources and use debate to shape how such decisions are made.

The findings come as AI systems are increasingly being used in healthcare for clinical workflows, diagnosis, treatment planning and decisions involving limited medical resources.

The researchers said kidney allocation presents a particularly important test because decisions over deceased-donor and living-donor organs involve medical, ethical and moral considerations.

Hosseini said the ethical stakes are high because decisions involving organ allocation can directly affect patients’ lives. He stressed that the study was not intended to encourage replacing professional medical judgment with AI.

Instead, the researchers said understanding how AI systems behave in high-stakes situations is becoming increasingly important as individuals, organisations and businesses use AI to make decisions or provide recommendations.

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Frankfurt Issues Malaria Warning After Six Cases Reported Since July

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Health authorities in Frankfurt have warned residents and people working near the city’s airport to seek medical advice if they develop an unexplained fever after six malaria cases were reported in the city since July.

Two of the cases have been fatal, while two additional infections have recently been identified in the Schwanheim district, which is located close to Frankfurt Airport. The city’s public health authority is investigating whether the latest cases are connected.

Several of the recent infections have involved airport employees. Authorities suspect that mosquitoes capable of transmitting malaria may occasionally arrive in Germany on aircraft travelling from regions where the disease is widespread. If the insects survive and later bite people, they can potentially transmit the infection.

Malaria is a tropical disease transmitted through the bite of an infected mosquito. It is not normally spread directly from one person to another.

Frankfurt’s health authority said early diagnosis is important because malaria can initially resemble common illnesses such as influenza or a cold. Typical symptoms include fever, chills, headaches, pain in the limbs and gastrointestinal problems.

The Robert Koch Institute has warned that these symptoms can sometimes be mistaken for flu-like illnesses or stomach infections. The most dangerous form of the disease is malaria tropica, caused by the Plasmodium falciparum parasite. Without prompt diagnosis and treatment, it can become life-threatening.

People who live, work or spend significant amounts of time near Frankfurt Airport have been advised to consult a doctor if they develop unexplained fever. They should tell medical staff that they live or have recently spent time in the area around the airport.

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The city’s public health authority is also providing information through a telephone hotline, available from 9am to 6pm on 069/212-30030.

Residents can take measures to reduce the risk of mosquito bites by using insect repellents and wearing clothing that covers the skin. Insect nets can also provide protection. Repellents containing DEET or icaridin are among the products recommended by Germany’s Federal Foreign Office.

Cases of so-called airport malaria remain rare in Germany. Research cited by the Robert Koch Institute indicates that more than 99% of malaria cases recorded in Europe are acquired in endemic regions outside the continent.

Between 1969 and early 2024, databases recorded 145 malaria cases in which patients were infected within Europe. More than two-thirds were classified as airport malaria. France recorded 52 cases, Belgium 19 and Germany nine, including eight in Frankfurt and one in Munich.

The two people recently infected in Frankfurt’s Schwanheim district are receiving hospital treatment, according to the city authorities.

The latest cases have prompted renewed attention to the possibility of malaria transmission in areas surrounding international airports, particularly when unexplained fever occurs without a recent trip to a malaria-endemic country.

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