Business
UniCredit Threatens to Abandon €10 Billion Takeover of Banco BPM Amid Escalating Tensions
UniCredit, Italy’s largest bank, has warned that it will walk away from its proposed €10 billion acquisition of Banco BPM if the smaller bank proceeds with an increased bid to acquire Anima Holding SpA. The takeover battle, which has intensified in recent weeks, has led to a public war of words between UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel and Banco BPM CEO Giuseppe Castagna.
UniCredit’s Countermove
UniCredit originally made its €10 billion takeover offer for Banco BPM in November 2024, shortly after Banco BPM made a €1 billion bid to acquire Anima Holding, an asset management firm. Banco BPM sought to boost its asset management fee income as interest rates declined.
However, UniCredit’s bid has complicated Banco BPM’s ability to finalize its offer for Anima, as Italian regulations prevent a bank that is the target of a takeover from pursuing its own acquisitions without shareholder approval.
Banco BPM’s shareholders are set to vote on February 28 to decide whether to increase their offer for Anima from €6.2 per share to €7 per share. If successful, Banco BPM’s market valuation would rise above €13 billion, exceeding UniCredit’s acquisition offer.
Orcel has made it clear that UniCredit will not overpay for Banco BPM and has hinted that he may withdraw the takeover offer altogether if Banco BPM’s bid for Anima moves forward.
Regulatory Hurdles and Financial Risks
To proceed with the Anima acquisition, Banco BPM would need to secure regulatory approval for favorable capital treatment, known as the Danish Compromise. However, this would require a lengthy approval process from the European Central Bank (ECB).
UniCredit has argued that if Banco BPM’s shareholders approve the increased bid for Anima, the bank’s CET1 capital ratio could decline by approximately 268 basis points, adding significant financial strain.
In a strongly worded statement, UniCredit said:
“In case the Offer were 100% successful and the Danish Compromise not granted, BPM’s CET1 ratio would decline by approximately 268bps, adding to the financial burden of an increased consideration.”
Escalating Tensions Between Bank CEOs
Banco BPM’s CEO Giuseppe Castagna has fired back at UniCredit’s claims, calling them “very dangerous” and “fake news.”
In an interview, Castagna accused Orcel of trying to manipulate Banco BPM’s stock price and influence the shareholder vote. He stated:
“The allegations that we are not going to get the Danish Compromise is completely fake news. The guy is trying to play a game. He wants to depress our stock in favor of his own stock. We will respond legally to these kinds of allegations.”
If Banco BPM secures shareholder approval for its increased bid, two major Anima investors—Poste Italiane and private equity fund FSI—have already indicated they will sell their stakes to Banco BPM, according to Reuters.
UniCredit’s Final Warning
Despite the mounting tensions, UniCredit emphasized that it has not yet made a final decision on whether to withdraw its offer.
In its statement, the bank said:
“Notice of the above is given to the public to ensure that BPM shareholders can make their own decisions in full awareness of the risks and uncertainties underlying the proposals that have been made to them and the possible consequences of their decisions.”
With the shareholder vote just weeks away, the fate of both Banco BPM’s bid for Anima and UniCredit’s takeover offer remains uncertain.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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