Business
UK Job Market Trails European Peers as Spain and Italy Lead Vacancy Growth
January is typically a busy period for career moves, but job seekers in the United Kingdom face a tougher environment than their counterparts across Europe. Recent data from global hiring platform Indeed shows that more than 10 million people remain unemployed across Europe’s five largest economies as 2025 draws to a close.
In the UK, job postings remain well below pre-pandemic levels, with the latest index reading 80.2 as of 28 November, a 20 percent drop compared with February 2020. This represents a decline from the same period in 2024, when the index stood at 88.3. Jack Kennedy, senior economist at Indeed, attributes the shortfall to rising employment costs and policy uncertainty.
“The UK’s relative underperformance partly reflects increased employment costs and policy uncertainty,” Kennedy said. The government recently raised employer social security contributions to 15 percent for salaries above £5,000, up from 13.8 percent on salaries above £9,100. The minimum wage has also increased significantly in recent years, and ongoing debates over the Employment Rights Bill have added to uncertainty. Kennedy noted that these factors have particularly affected hiring for low-wage positions, weighing on employer confidence.
The UK’s unemployment rate stood at 5.1 percent in the third quarter of 2025, a level last surpassed in early 2021. Kennedy suggested that if economic growth meets expectations and employer confidence improves in 2026, vacancy levels could stabilise or rise modestly, accompanied by a slight reduction in unemployment.
Across the continent, Germany and France continue to show stronger labour markets. Job postings in Germany reached 115.6 and 113.3 in France, approximately 15 percent above pre-pandemic levels, though both countries experienced declines compared with late 2024. Political and economic uncertainty has weighed on France, where repeated government disagreements and a downgraded credit rating have affected investment and consumption. Lisa Feist, economist at Indeed Hiring Lab, highlighted that France’s labour market remains vulnerable despite recent agreement on a social security budget.
Spain and Italy have posted the most robust results. Job postings in Spain reached 153.5, 54 percent above pre-pandemic levels, while Italy’s index stands at 168.1, up 68 percent. Spain’s vacancy index rose 13 points over the past year, with Italy recording a modest one-point increase. Kennedy attributed the growth to generally positive economic trends and persistent labour shortages in both countries.
Despite strong vacancy numbers, Spain’s unemployment rate remains the highest in the European Union, at 10.5 percent in October 2025. The OECD projects Spain will lead GDP growth among the top five European economies, with 2.9 percent in 2025, followed by 2.2 percent in 2026 and 1.8 percent in 2027.
These trends suggest that while the UK struggles to recover pre-pandemic momentum in job creation, Southern European economies continue to benefit from stronger demand for labour, highlighting widening differences in the region’s post-COVID economic recovery.
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