Business
Markets Inch Higher as Iran-Israel Ceasefire Holds, Oil Prices Edge Up
Global markets posted modest gains on Wednesday as investors reacted cautiously to signs that a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, though fragile, was holding. Meanwhile, oil prices continued their upward trend amid ongoing concerns about stability in the Middle East.
The ceasefire, brokered earlier this week by U.S. President Donald Trump, came under early strain after both sides accused the other of violations. Nonetheless, hostilities have largely subsided, giving investors some relief following nearly two weeks of escalating conflict.
While Iran’s President hailed the outcome as a “historic punishment” for Israel, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed that the operation had eliminated the threat from Tehran’s nuclear programme. However, a newly leaked U.S. intelligence assessment contradicted that claim, stating the Iranian programme had only been delayed by several months. The White House dismissed the report.
Oil markets remained sensitive to the ongoing tensions. Brent crude rose 1.15% to $67.91 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was up 1.21% at $65.15, as traders continued to weigh the risk of renewed conflict in a region critical to global energy supply.
Despite the fragile peace, U.S. President Trump expressed frustration over reported ceasefire breaches. “Israel, as soon as we made the deal, dropped a load of bombs—the biggest we’ve seen,” he said, speaking at a press event. Later, on his social media platform Truth Social, Trump warned: “Israel, do not drop those bombs. If you do, it is a major violation. Bring your pilots home, now!” He added bluntly, “Neither Iran nor Israel knows what the f*** they’re doing.”
European equity markets responded with modest gains. France’s CAC 40 rose 0.4% to 7,647.07, Germany’s DAX inched up 0.08% to 23,660.55, the UK’s FTSE 100 added 0.35% to 8,790.03, and Italy’s FTSE MIB climbed 0.24% to 39,568.10. The pan-European STOXX 600 advanced 0.35%, while the STOXX 50 rose 0.21%.
U.S. stock futures also pointed to a positive open. Dow Jones futures were up 0.06%, and S&P 500 futures edged higher by 0.05%.
In Asia, the Shanghai Composite gained 0.44%, Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.31%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.78%, and South Korea’s Kospi was nearly flat, up just 0.01%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 ticked up 0.09%.
Currency markets saw limited movement. The U.S. Dollar Index edged up 0.13% to 97.98, while the euro posted slight gains. The Japanese yen weakened by 0.12% against the dollar.
“The situation in the Middle East is fluid,” said Ryan Sweet, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics. “While downside risks have subsided, the balance of risks still leans toward higher oil prices as tensions could reignite quickly.”
Investors are expected to remain cautious as they await further developments in the region and assess the long-term economic fallout of the conflict.
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