Connect with us

Business

Eurozone Growth Stalls as Germany and France Contract, Raising Expectations for ECB Rate Cuts

Published

on

The eurozone economy stagnated in the final quarter of 2024, as Germany and France posted unexpected contractions, reinforcing expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates to support struggling growth.

According to preliminary data from Eurostat, eurozone GDP remained flat in Q4 2024, a sharp slowdown from the 0.4% growth recorded in the previous quarter and below analysts’ expectations of a 0.1% expansion. This marks the weakest performance since Q4 2023.

Germany and France Struggle, Portugal Leads Growth

The biggest drag on growth came from the bloc’s two largest economies:

  • Germany’s GDP shrank by 0.2%, worse than the 0.1% decline forecasted.
  • France’s economy contracted by 0.1%, missing expectations of stagnation.
  • Italy’s GDP remained flat for the second consecutive quarter, defying projections of a 0.1% increase.

Meanwhile, some smaller economies outperformed:

  • Portugal led growth with a 1.5% increase, followed by Lithuania (+0.9%) and Spain (+0.8%).
  • The worst-performing economies were Ireland (-1.3%), Germany (-0.2%), and France (-0.1%).

“Once again, it is the periphery driving growth, while Germany and France remain a drag due to structural and cyclical headwinds,” said Kyle Chapman, FX Markets Analyst at Ballinger Group.

ECB Poised for Rate Cuts

The weak GDP figures have strengthened market expectations that the ECB will cut rates at its next policy meeting. Analysts predict a 25-basis-point cut to 2.75%, with at least four reductions expected by the end of 2025.

The ECB faces pressure to stimulate the economy, particularly as inflation trends toward the 2% target. ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to emphasize that monetary policy alone is not enough, calling for fiscal support and structural reforms to improve competitiveness.

See also  Mercedes-Benz Profit Falls 31% as China Slowdown and Tariffs Weigh on Sales

Policy Gap Widens Between ECB and Federal Reserve

The ECB’s likely rate cuts contrast sharply with the US Federal Reserve, which held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% in its latest meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that there is “no rush” to cut rates further, citing continued US economic resilience.

“The eurozone is fragile, with stagnant growth and rising recession risks,” said Boris Kovacevic, Global Macro Strategist at Convera. “In contrast, the US economy remains strong, driven by consumer spending, a tight labor market, and AI-driven investment.”

Market Reactions: Euro Steady, Bond Yields Fall

Financial markets reacted cautiously to the data:

  • The euro held steady at $1.04 ahead of the ECB decision.
  • Sovereign bond yields fell, reflecting increased demand for safe-haven assets:
    • German Bund yield dropped 6 basis points to 2.52%.
    • France’s 10-year OAT yield fell to 3.26%.
    • Italy’s BTP yield slid 7 basis points to 3.60%.
  • Eurozone equities saw muted movement, with the Euro STOXX 50 rising 0.5%.
  • Germany’s DAX hit a record high (+0.2%), while Deutsche Bank shares fell 3.4% on weak revenue guidance.
  • Spain’s IBEX 35 outperformed (+0.8%), boosted by gains in real estate and banking stocks.

Outlook: More Cuts Ahead?

With Germany and France struggling, the ECB faces growing pressure to support growth through monetary easing. However, policy divergence with the US Fed could weigh on the euro, while persistent structural issues in Europe’s biggest economies remain a key concern.

Business

Crypto Ownership Rises Across Europe Despite Volatile 2025

Published

on

Crypto assets faced a turbulent year in 2025, with a sharp market sell-off in October triggered by US President Donald Trump’s threat of new tariffs on China. Despite volatility, European interest in cryptocurrencies continues to grow, with ownership rates rising across the continent.

According to the ‘Web3 Industry in France and Europe’ report by Adan, more than 90 percent of adults in major European economies are aware of crypto assets. Data from the European Central Bank shows that nine percent of eurozone adults held crypto in 2024, up from four percent in 2022. Ownership varies across countries, ranging from six percent in the Netherlands and Germany to 15 percent in Slovenia. Greece, Ireland, Croatia, Cyprus, Lithuania, and Austria follow closely, reflecting modest differences among nations.

James Sullivan, chief risk and compliance officer at BCB Group, said ownership patterns are shaped by digital adoption, investor risk appetite, and local market conditions. “Countries with strong financial innovation and a younger, predominantly male investor base tend to lead,” he told Euronews Business. Regulatory and economic factors also play a role. In markets with limited traditional investment options, crypto is often used speculatively, while awareness campaigns, like those in Italy, can boost adoption.

The UK, though not part of the eurozone, shows strong crypto activity, ranking third globally in transaction volumes behind the US and India as of 2024.

Across the eurozone, ownership more than doubled between 2022 and 2024. Greece and Lithuania recorded the largest increases, rising by ten percentage points, while Cyprus, Belgium, Ireland, Austria, Slovakia, Slovenia, Portugal, and Italy also saw gains of seven points or more. The Netherlands remained stable, while data for Croatia in 2022 is unavailable. Sullivan said this trend reflects growing consumer confidence, supported by global market momentum and the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation.

See also  UniCredit Threatens to Abandon €10 Billion Takeover of Banco BPM Amid Escalating Tensions

MiCA establishes uniform rules for crypto assets, providing regulatory clarity and consumer protection. Sullivan said the framework signals mainstream recognition of crypto, encouraging cautious investors to enter the market.

Investment remains the primary use for crypto. In the eurozone, 64 percent of holders use it for investment, while 16 percent use it for payments, and 19 percent for both. The Netherlands and Germany show the highest focus on investment despite lower overall ownership, while France has the largest share of users leveraging crypto for payments at 25 percent.

Sullivan noted that most European consumers still use crypto primarily for speculation rather than daily transactions. While stablecoins could offer practical payment solutions, their adoption remains limited compared with traditional methods such as cards and cash. He added that the long-term success of crypto as a transactional tool will depend on MiCA’s effectiveness in regulating euro-denominated stablecoins and integrating them into existing payment systems.

Despite 2025’s volatility, the rise in ownership indicates that European retail interest in crypto remains strong, with regulation and market momentum supporting continued growth.

Continue Reading

Business

Crypto Ownership Rising Across Europe Despite Market Volatility

Published

on

Cryptocurrencies have experienced a turbulent 2025, including a sharp sell-off in October following US President Donald Trump’s threat of new tariffs on China. Despite these fluctuations, crypto ownership continues to grow across Europe, according to recent reports.

The ‘Web3 Industry in France and Europe’ report by Adan, using data from early 2025, found that more than 90 percent of adults in major European economies are aware of crypto-assets. Ownership of these digital assets, though still limited, has been steadily increasing.

Data from a European Central Bank survey shows that in 2024, nine percent of adults in the eurozone held crypto-assets. Ownership varies across countries, ranging from six percent in the Netherlands and Germany to 15 percent in Slovenia. Other nations with above-average adoption include Greece, Ireland, Croatia, Cyprus, Lithuania, and Austria.

Experts attribute these differences to factors such as digital adoption, risk appetite, and local market conditions. James Sullivan, chief risk and compliance officer at BCB Group, told Euronews Business that countries with younger, more digitally-savvy investors and higher levels of financial innovation tend to have higher ownership rates. Local regulatory frameworks and economic conditions also play a role. In markets with limited traditional investment options, crypto may be used more speculatively, while awareness campaigns, like those conducted in Italy, boost adoption.

The UK, though not part of the eurozone, ranks third globally in transaction volumes behind the US and India, reflecting continued strong consumer activity.

Ownership of crypto-assets across the eurozone more than doubled between 2022 and 2024, rising from four percent to nine percent. Greece and Lithuania saw the largest increases, each climbing by ten percentage points, while Cyprus, Belgium, Ireland, Austria, Slovakia, Slovenia, Portugal, and Italy saw gains of seven points or more. The Netherlands was the only country where the rate remained unchanged.

See also  Trump's 25% Auto Tariff Sparks Market Turmoil and Industry Backlash

Sullivan highlighted that growing European interest in crypto reflects renewed confidence following previous market downturns. The introduction of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, which sets uniform EU rules for previously unregulated crypto assets, has contributed to trust and encouraged new investors.

The majority of crypto holders use these assets primarily as an investment. In the eurozone, 64 percent of users cited investment as their main purpose, 16 percent for payments, and 19 percent for both. The Netherlands and Germany, despite relatively low ownership rates, had the highest shares of investment-focused users at 90 and 82 percent, respectively. France reported the highest use for payments at 25 percent.

Sullivan noted that while cryptocurrencies, particularly stablecoins, have transactional potential, day-to-day use remains limited. He said broader adoption for payments will depend on MiCA’s success in regulating stablecoins and integrating them into existing payment systems, a key focus for the European Central Bank.

Continue Reading

Business

Motherhood Can Narrow Career Opportunities Through Subtle Task Shifts, Study Finds

Published

on

Gender inequality in the workplace goes beyond measurable gaps in pay and representation, a recent study suggests, showing that subtle changes in women’s job tasks after having children can significantly hinder long-term career growth.

While disparities in earnings, employment, and leadership roles are well documented, women who take primary responsibility for childcare often face additional, less visible barriers just when their careers would otherwise accelerate. Research from Germany highlights that after childbirth, women are frequently assigned fewer analytical, complex, and interactive tasks, especially when they reduce working hours, quietly limiting opportunities for advancement.

The study, published in the Journal of Marriage and Family and titled The Job Task Penalty for Motherhood, was conducted by Wiebke Schulz of Bremen University and Gundula Zoch of Carl von Ossietzky University Oldenburg. Using data from the German National Educational Panel Study, the researchers tracked 1,978 women from 2011 to 2020, analyzing changes in five key dimensions of job tasks: analytical, complex, autonomous, interactive, and manual.

Schulz explained that interactive tasks, which often involve coordination and being “on call” for colleagues or clients, are easiest to reassign when caregiving responsibilities arise. Analytical or complex tasks, requiring sustained focus or ownership of long-term projects, also decline, sometimes because managers pre-emptively steer mothers away from high-responsibility work regardless of their actual capacity.

“After childbirth, many women see a shift from high-cognitive, high-interaction tasks to a narrower set of duties,” Schulz told Euronews Business. “Even small short-term downgrades can accumulate. Analytical and interactive tasks are where skills grow, performance is visible, and leadership pipelines are built. Losing access to them can slow wage growth, reduce promotion chances, and lock people into flatter career trajectories—even if job titles remain unchanged.”

See also  Families Sue Boeing and Honeywell Over Deadly Air India Crash

While the research focuses on Germany, Schulz noted that similar patterns appear across Europe, though the magnitude varies depending on cultural norms and institutional support.

The study recommends that employers make task allocation more transparent, tracking who receives high-growth assignments before and after parental leave or part-time transitions. Part-time roles can also be redesigned, with complex work broken into modular tasks and team-based ownership to maintain access to analytical and high-responsibility projects.

Training managers to recognize expectation-based bias is crucial, the study adds, as anticipatory reassignment can be just as damaging as performance-related reassignment. Policymakers are encouraged to expand full-day childcare and school coverage, strengthen flexible work rights with career protections, and incentivize fathers’ leave to reduce the assumption that mothers must adjust their roles.

The findings underline that gender inequality in the workplace is not only about who is hired or promoted, but also about the subtle ways work is allocated, shaping the long-term career paths of women across industries.

Continue Reading

Trending