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Eurozone Faces Sharp Stagflation Risk as Iran Conflict Drives Costs Higher

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The Iran conflict has handed Europe its most punishing economic combination in years — stagflation. With input costs surging, output stalling and confidence collapsing, the European Central Bank’s window of stability appears to have closed.

The war in Iran, along with the surge in oil prices it has triggered, is already taking a toll on eurozone business activity, supply chains and corporate confidence. Flash Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) surveys from S&P Global released Tuesday showed eurozone growth slowed in March as energy costs hit their highest level in more than three years.

The headline eurozone composite PMI fell to 50.5, down from 51.9 in February and below the 51.0 consensus. While the number still indicates minimal growth, economists are concerned about the concurrent spike in input costs. Rising energy prices, fuel expenses and maritime freight disruptions linked to the conflict in the Middle East pushed inflation among manufacturers and service providers to its fastest pace since February 2023.

Supplier delivery times lengthened to the worst level since August 2022, as companies struggled to secure essential inputs. “The flash Eurozone PMI is ringing stagflation alarm bells as the war in the Middle East drives prices sharply higher while stifling growth,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. He added that the drop in future output expectations was the largest since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

The slowdown is particularly pronounced in the services sector, where new orders declined for the first time in eight months. Manufacturing has shown modest resilience as firms frontloaded purchases to mitigate potential disruptions. Inventories fell as businesses tried to buffer against further supply shocks.

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Germany remains in expansion territory, with its composite PMI at 51.9, supported by manufacturing, which reached a 45-month high. Analysts say this surge is largely due to companies stockpiling materials to hedge against disruptions rather than genuine demand growth. German services activity weakened, reflecting rising costs and falling new business.

France presents a bleaker picture. The flash France Composite PMI dropped to 48.3, indicating contraction. Both manufacturing and services activity fell, with new orders declining at the fastest pace in 15 months. Input costs in France surged to the highest since November 2023, but limited pricing power prevented companies from passing costs to customers, squeezing margins.

The PMI data highlight a growing dilemma for the ECB. Growth across the eurozone is approaching stagnation while inflation accelerates due to supply-side shocks rather than demand. Policymakers face the risk of stagflation if energy prices remain high and supply-chain disruptions continue. The trajectory of the Iran conflict and its effect on global energy markets will largely determine the eurozone’s economic outlook in the months ahead.

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Swiss Workers Lead Europe’s Wage Rankings as East-West Pay Divide Persists

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Annual wages across Europe continue to show a sharp divide between higher-paying northern and western economies and lower-income countries in the south and east, according to new figures from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

The OECD’s Taxing Wages 2026 report found that average annual gross salaries in Europe ranged from €18,590 in Turkey to €107,487 in Switzerland, making Switzerland the only European country where average wages exceed the €100,000 mark.

Iceland ranked second with annual wages of €85,950, while Luxembourg recorded the highest pay levels within the European Union at €77,844. Denmark and Netherlands completed the top five, with average wages of €71,961 and €69,028 respectively.

Among Europe’s largest economies, Germany led the way with average wages of €66,700, closely followed by the United Kingdom at €65,340. The figures for France, Italy and Spain were considerably lower, standing at €45,964, €36,594 and €32,678 respectively.

The report highlighted the continued gap between western and eastern European economies. Slovakia recorded the lowest wages within the EU at €19,590, while countries including Hungary, Latvia, Poland and Portugal all remained below the €25,000 threshold.

Nine EU countries reported average annual wages under €30,000, underlining the scale of income disparities across the bloc.

Economists say wage differences are shaped by productivity levels, industrial structure, labour market systems and living costs. Countries with strong finance and technology sectors, along with extensive collective bargaining systems, generally report higher salaries.

When wages are adjusted for purchasing power parity, which measures what salaries can actually buy in each country, the gap between European nations narrows noticeably.

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In PPP-adjusted terms, Switzerland remained at the top with wages equivalent to 106,532 international dollars. Germany climbed significantly in the rankings, moving from seventh place in nominal terms to second place after purchasing power adjustments were applied. Luxembourg and the Netherlands also ranked highly.

Turkey saw the biggest improvement after the adjustment, jumping nine places from the bottom of the nominal wage rankings to 18th place. Analysts said lower living costs boosted the purchasing power of Turkish salaries despite relatively low nominal incomes.

By contrast, Iceland experienced one of the largest declines in PPP rankings due to its high cost of living, dropping from second to ninth place.

The OECD figures are based on full-time employees in sectors including manufacturing, retail, finance, construction and transport. Agriculture, education, healthcare and public administration were excluded from the calculations.

The report also noted that differences in income tax systems across Europe mean take-home pay can vary significantly even among countries with similar gross salary levels.

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Cristiano Ronaldo Invests in Streaming Platform Ahead of 2026 World Cup

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Football star Cristiano Ronaldo has expanded his growing business empire by taking a stake in the company behind Portuguese streaming platform LiveModeTV, adding sports media to a portfolio that already spans technology, hospitality, healthcare and entertainment.

The announcement was made on Thursday by the platform, which is operated by Brazilian media company LiveMode. LiveModeTV launched in Portugal in December 2025 as the company’s first international venture and focuses on streaming sports competitions online free of charge.

According to Portuguese sports outlet A Bola, the platform is set to broadcast 34 matches from the 2026 FIFA World Cup live and free for viewers in Portugal, including all matches involving the Portuguese national team.

In a statement shared with Bloomberg, Ronaldo said the partnership aimed to make major sporting events more accessible to fans through digital platforms and social media.

“Sport can change lives,” Ronaldo said, adding that the project seeks to expand the reach of top competitions through YouTube broadcasts and online content distributed across social media platforms.

LiveModeTV also highlighted plans to focus heavily on fan engagement ahead of the World Cup, which is now less than a month away.

“Together, we’re going to bring live football to YouTube in an innovative way, putting the fans at the centre of everything,” the platform said in a statement posted on Facebook.

The investment marks another step in Ronaldo’s steady expansion into business ventures away from the football pitch. The Portugal captain has built a broad portfolio in recent years under his CR7 brand while also investing in companies across multiple industries.

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In media, Ronaldo holds stakes in Portuguese media group Medialivre and film studio UR-Marv, a partnership with British filmmaker Matthew Vaughn.

His football-related investments include a stake in Spanish club UD Almería. Ronaldo has also invested in artificial intelligence company Perplexity AI, hotel operator Grupo Pestana, and Insparya, which operates hair restoration clinics.

Additional holdings include investments in nutrition and software businesses as well as Portuguese porcelain manufacturer Vista Alegre.

The move into sports streaming comes as competition intensifies among broadcasters and digital platforms seeking younger audiences through online and mobile viewing. Ronaldo, one of the most followed athletes in the world on social media, is expected to play a major role in promoting LiveModeTV’s coverage during the World Cup.

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Europe Set to Deepen Dependence on US LNG as Russian Gas Phase-Out Accelerates, Report Finds

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Europe is on track to rely heavily on the United States for its liquefied natural gas imports in 2026, with American supplies expected to account for nearly two-thirds of total LNG shipments to the continent, according to a new analysis by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA).

The report, released on Wednesday, highlights how Europe’s energy landscape has been reshaped in the years following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and subsequent geopolitical tensions, including disruptions linked to the war involving Iran. These developments have accelerated a shift away from Russian fossil fuels and increased dependence on alternative suppliers, particularly the United States.

IEEFA estimates that US LNG already made up about 57% of Europe’s imports in 2025, a significant rise compared with levels before the conflict. The organisation said the share is likely to grow further as additional long-term supply agreements come into effect and Europe continues to reduce its reliance on Russian gas.

The European Union is pursuing a policy under its REPowerEU framework to eliminate Russian fossil fuel imports by 2027. Since 2022, member states have rapidly increased purchases of LNG, with the United States emerging as the dominant supplier.

While the shift has helped stabilise energy supplies during periods of disruption, the report warned that it has also created a new dependency risk. Concentrating imports from a single external supplier, even a reliable ally, could leave Europe exposed to future price shocks, political pressures, or supply constraints.

The IEEFA noted that US LNG typically costs more than pipeline gas due to liquefaction, transportation, and regasification expenses. It estimates that European countries spent about €117 billion on US LNG between early 2022 and mid-2025.

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Despite rising imports, overall gas consumption in Europe has been declining. High energy prices, weaker industrial demand, energy conservation efforts, and the expansion of renewable energy sources have all contributed to reduced usage. In 2024, LNG imports fell as demand reached its lowest level in more than a decade, before rebounding in 2025 due to colder weather and efforts to refill storage facilities.

Some European policymakers have warned against replacing dependence on Russian energy with reliance on another dominant supplier. European Commission Executive Vice President Teresa Ribera has urged greater investment in renewable energy and electrification to reduce structural dependence on imported fossil fuels.

The European Union Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators has also raised concerns about growing supply concentration linked to US LNG.

At the same time, countries such as Germany have expanded LNG infrastructure, including floating terminals, making them among the largest importers of US gas in Europe. However, analysts caution that continued expansion of import capacity may exceed long-term demand as Europe accelerates its energy transition toward cleaner sources.

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