Business
Europe’s Public Holidays Come with a Price Tag as Denmark Cuts One for Defence Spending
Europe averages double-digit public holidays each year, but each day off carries an economic cost, as Denmark showed when it scrapped a historic holiday to fund its military.
Every spring, countries across the continent close offices for a series of holidays, including Easter Monday, Labour Day, Ascension, and Whit Monday. While these breaks are widely appreciated, economists have long questioned the financial impact of paid leave.
Denmark offered a clear answer in 2024 when the government eliminated Great Prayer Day—Store Bededag—a nearly 340-year-old Lutheran holiday observed the fourth Friday after Easter. The decision, intended to boost defence spending, was estimated to generate around 3 billion Danish kroner (€400 million) in additional tax revenue annually. Lawmakers said the funds were needed to reach NATO’s target of 2% of GDP on defence.
The move, passed by parliament in February 2023, sparked street protests and a surge in unofficial sick days on what would have been the first cancelled holiday. The reduction left Denmark with 10 public holidays in 2024, one fewer than before and below Europe’s continent-wide average of 11.7 days, according to Eurostat.
Denmark is not alone in cutting holidays for fiscal reasons. Portugal eliminated four public holidays in 2012 as part of a post-crisis austerity programme, though all were later reinstated in 2016. The political calculus is similar: in tight fiscal conditions, each bank holiday represents a measurable economic cost.
The variation in holidays across the EU is significant. Lithuania and Cyprus have 15 public holidays this year, while Germany has nine national holidays, with additional days varying by federal state. Economists note that a country with 15 holidays instead of nine foregoes roughly 0.48% of GDP annually, before any consumption offsets. For Lithuania, with a 2024 economy valued at €79 billion, that translates into a notional €360 million difference compared with Germany.
Studies also show that the economic impact is uneven. Research by Lucas Rosso and Rodrigo Wagner, cited by the IMF in 2023, found that each extra public holiday reduces annual GDP by about 0.08%. The effect is largest in manufacturing and negligible in sectors like mining or agriculture. However, the researchers caution that not all costs are economic: holidays are linked to fewer workplace accidents, higher short-term happiness, and sustained worker productivity.
Economists stress that more working hours do not always equate to more output. A well-rested workforce can maintain higher hourly productivity, partially offsetting lost days. Even so, the Rosso-Wagner framework demonstrates that every holiday has a measurable effect on national output, with the impact growing in larger economies like Germany, where each lost working day is worth roughly €3.4 billion.
Denmark’s decision to cut Store Bededag illustrates the trade-off governments face between fiscal priorities and tradition. As Europe continues to weigh the cost of its public holidays, policymakers must balance economic efficiency with social and cultural expectations.
Business
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady as Middle East Conflict Clouds Economic Outlook
The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, marking the third consecutive meeting without a move as policymakers weigh rising inflation and growing uncertainty linked to the conflict in the Middle East.
The decision leaves the federal funds rate in a target range of 3.50% to 3.75%. While widely expected, the outcome revealed significant divisions within the central bank’s policy-setting committee, underscoring the difficult balancing act facing officials.
In its post-meeting statement, the Fed said recent developments in the Middle East had added to uncertainty surrounding the US economic outlook. It noted that inflation remains above target, partly due to higher global energy prices following renewed tensions in the region.
Despite holding rates steady, the central bank signalled that cuts remain possible later this year if inflation eases and economic conditions weaken. Still, the decision was far from unanimous. Three policymakers opposed language suggesting future rate cuts, while one official, Stephen Miran, argued for an immediate reduction.
The dissent marked the highest level of disagreement within the Federal Open Market Committee since 1992, highlighting a widening debate over how best to respond to slowing growth and persistent price pressures.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who is expected to step down as chair in May, said the central bank must remain cautious as it navigates a complex economic environment. Inflation has risen to 3.3%, well above the Fed’s 2% target, while recent data show the labour market is losing momentum.
Although unemployment remains relatively low at 4.3%, hiring has slowed considerably in recent months. Policymakers are trying to prevent inflation from becoming entrenched while avoiding unnecessary damage to economic growth.
Powell also indicated that he intends to remain on the Fed’s Board of Governors after his term as chair ends, potentially until early 2028. He cited concerns about maintaining institutional stability amid what he described as mounting political pressure on the central bank.
His decision would temporarily prevent President Donald Trump from appointing another governor immediately, even as Trump’s nominee to succeed Powell as chair, Kevin Warsh, moves closer to confirmation.
Warsh has advocated broad changes to the Fed’s policymaking framework and has expressed support for lower interest rates. However, with inflation still elevated, analysts say any shift toward easier monetary policy may be gradual.
The Fed’s next moves will likely depend on how inflation, employment and energy markets evolve in the coming months. For now, policymakers appear determined to proceed carefully as geopolitical risks and domestic economic challenges continue to shape the outlook.
Business
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Business
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