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EU Plan to Use Frozen Russian Assets for Ukraine Spurs Market Concerns, But Analysts Expect Limited Impact

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The European Union’s proposal to use frozen Russian state assets to help finance Ukraine’s long-term needs is drawing warnings about potential pressure on government borrowing costs. Despite these concerns, analysts say the impact on European debt markets is likely to be modest.

Brussels has been searching for a durable funding mechanism for Kyiv as the war enters its fourth year. The leading option under discussion is a €140 billion “reparation loan” backed by immobilised Russian central-bank assets held primarily by Euroclear, the Belgium-based clearing giant. The plan would rely on proceeds generated from those assets rather than seizing them outright.

Euroclear chief executive Valérie Urbain recently cautioned in a letter, reported by the Financial Times, that the proposal could increase risk perceptions among international investors. She warned that this might widen sovereign bond spreads and raise borrowing costs across EU member states. The concern centres on whether investors interpret the plan as a step toward confiscation, which is barred under international law. Any loss of confidence in Europe as a safe custodian of foreign reserves could push yields higher.

Yet several economists told Euronews Business that the risk is limited. Robert Timper, chief strategist on the Global Fixed Income Strategy team at BCA Research, said market reaction is expected to be minimal. He noted that the more significant shock occurred in February 2022 when the EU froze Russian central-bank assets days after the invasion of Ukraine. That move created only a brief shift in bond markets. “What ultimately is done with these assets should have a much smaller effect,” he said.

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Nicolas Véron, senior fellow at the Brussels-based think tank Bruegel, echoed that view, recalling that the initial freeze demonstrated Europe’s willingness to restrict access to assets under extraordinary circumstances — yet global markets remained stable. Analysts at Capital Economics said fears of mass withdrawals by foreign central banks are overstated, arguing that many have limited alternatives for investing in liquid, high-grade assets outside Western systems.

The loan’s structure is still being refined. According to Capital Economics, Euroclear would invest cash balances held on behalf of the Russian Central Bank into a long-dated, zero-coupon EU bond. The proceeds would be lent to Ukraine, while Euroclear’s liability to Moscow would remain unchanged. The Commission argues this preserves legal protections because the assets themselves would not be seized.

The plan faces political and diplomatic risks. Russia is expected to denounce the move as illegal, raising the likelihood of retaliation or legal claims. Several Western firms have already faced difficulties exiting the Russian market due to restrictive policies imposed by Moscow. Belgium’s Prime Minister Bart De Wever has demanded strong guarantees to shield Euroclear from losses or reprisals.

European Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis has defended the plan, saying it could provide significant support for Ukraine without placing major new fiscal burdens on EU governments. The proposal is expected to be finalised by year-end, with potential disbursements starting in early 2026 pending national approvals.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged the EU to move quickly, saying Kyiv needs the funds at the start of 2026. The €140 billion package represents nearly 80% of Ukraine’s GDP last year and about 0.8% of the EU’s GDP.

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While political agreement remains the final obstacle, officials warn that failure to secure financing could weaken Ukraine at a critical stage of the war and increase security risks for Europe.

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Crypto Ownership Rises Across Europe Despite Volatile 2025

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Crypto assets faced a turbulent year in 2025, with a sharp market sell-off in October triggered by US President Donald Trump’s threat of new tariffs on China. Despite volatility, European interest in cryptocurrencies continues to grow, with ownership rates rising across the continent.

According to the ‘Web3 Industry in France and Europe’ report by Adan, more than 90 percent of adults in major European economies are aware of crypto assets. Data from the European Central Bank shows that nine percent of eurozone adults held crypto in 2024, up from four percent in 2022. Ownership varies across countries, ranging from six percent in the Netherlands and Germany to 15 percent in Slovenia. Greece, Ireland, Croatia, Cyprus, Lithuania, and Austria follow closely, reflecting modest differences among nations.

James Sullivan, chief risk and compliance officer at BCB Group, said ownership patterns are shaped by digital adoption, investor risk appetite, and local market conditions. “Countries with strong financial innovation and a younger, predominantly male investor base tend to lead,” he told Euronews Business. Regulatory and economic factors also play a role. In markets with limited traditional investment options, crypto is often used speculatively, while awareness campaigns, like those in Italy, can boost adoption.

The UK, though not part of the eurozone, shows strong crypto activity, ranking third globally in transaction volumes behind the US and India as of 2024.

Across the eurozone, ownership more than doubled between 2022 and 2024. Greece and Lithuania recorded the largest increases, rising by ten percentage points, while Cyprus, Belgium, Ireland, Austria, Slovakia, Slovenia, Portugal, and Italy also saw gains of seven points or more. The Netherlands remained stable, while data for Croatia in 2022 is unavailable. Sullivan said this trend reflects growing consumer confidence, supported by global market momentum and the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation.

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MiCA establishes uniform rules for crypto assets, providing regulatory clarity and consumer protection. Sullivan said the framework signals mainstream recognition of crypto, encouraging cautious investors to enter the market.

Investment remains the primary use for crypto. In the eurozone, 64 percent of holders use it for investment, while 16 percent use it for payments, and 19 percent for both. The Netherlands and Germany show the highest focus on investment despite lower overall ownership, while France has the largest share of users leveraging crypto for payments at 25 percent.

Sullivan noted that most European consumers still use crypto primarily for speculation rather than daily transactions. While stablecoins could offer practical payment solutions, their adoption remains limited compared with traditional methods such as cards and cash. He added that the long-term success of crypto as a transactional tool will depend on MiCA’s effectiveness in regulating euro-denominated stablecoins and integrating them into existing payment systems.

Despite 2025’s volatility, the rise in ownership indicates that European retail interest in crypto remains strong, with regulation and market momentum supporting continued growth.

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Crypto Ownership Rising Across Europe Despite Market Volatility

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Cryptocurrencies have experienced a turbulent 2025, including a sharp sell-off in October following US President Donald Trump’s threat of new tariffs on China. Despite these fluctuations, crypto ownership continues to grow across Europe, according to recent reports.

The ‘Web3 Industry in France and Europe’ report by Adan, using data from early 2025, found that more than 90 percent of adults in major European economies are aware of crypto-assets. Ownership of these digital assets, though still limited, has been steadily increasing.

Data from a European Central Bank survey shows that in 2024, nine percent of adults in the eurozone held crypto-assets. Ownership varies across countries, ranging from six percent in the Netherlands and Germany to 15 percent in Slovenia. Other nations with above-average adoption include Greece, Ireland, Croatia, Cyprus, Lithuania, and Austria.

Experts attribute these differences to factors such as digital adoption, risk appetite, and local market conditions. James Sullivan, chief risk and compliance officer at BCB Group, told Euronews Business that countries with younger, more digitally-savvy investors and higher levels of financial innovation tend to have higher ownership rates. Local regulatory frameworks and economic conditions also play a role. In markets with limited traditional investment options, crypto may be used more speculatively, while awareness campaigns, like those conducted in Italy, boost adoption.

The UK, though not part of the eurozone, ranks third globally in transaction volumes behind the US and India, reflecting continued strong consumer activity.

Ownership of crypto-assets across the eurozone more than doubled between 2022 and 2024, rising from four percent to nine percent. Greece and Lithuania saw the largest increases, each climbing by ten percentage points, while Cyprus, Belgium, Ireland, Austria, Slovakia, Slovenia, Portugal, and Italy saw gains of seven points or more. The Netherlands was the only country where the rate remained unchanged.

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Sullivan highlighted that growing European interest in crypto reflects renewed confidence following previous market downturns. The introduction of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, which sets uniform EU rules for previously unregulated crypto assets, has contributed to trust and encouraged new investors.

The majority of crypto holders use these assets primarily as an investment. In the eurozone, 64 percent of users cited investment as their main purpose, 16 percent for payments, and 19 percent for both. The Netherlands and Germany, despite relatively low ownership rates, had the highest shares of investment-focused users at 90 and 82 percent, respectively. France reported the highest use for payments at 25 percent.

Sullivan noted that while cryptocurrencies, particularly stablecoins, have transactional potential, day-to-day use remains limited. He said broader adoption for payments will depend on MiCA’s success in regulating stablecoins and integrating them into existing payment systems, a key focus for the European Central Bank.

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Motherhood Can Narrow Career Opportunities Through Subtle Task Shifts, Study Finds

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Gender inequality in the workplace goes beyond measurable gaps in pay and representation, a recent study suggests, showing that subtle changes in women’s job tasks after having children can significantly hinder long-term career growth.

While disparities in earnings, employment, and leadership roles are well documented, women who take primary responsibility for childcare often face additional, less visible barriers just when their careers would otherwise accelerate. Research from Germany highlights that after childbirth, women are frequently assigned fewer analytical, complex, and interactive tasks, especially when they reduce working hours, quietly limiting opportunities for advancement.

The study, published in the Journal of Marriage and Family and titled The Job Task Penalty for Motherhood, was conducted by Wiebke Schulz of Bremen University and Gundula Zoch of Carl von Ossietzky University Oldenburg. Using data from the German National Educational Panel Study, the researchers tracked 1,978 women from 2011 to 2020, analyzing changes in five key dimensions of job tasks: analytical, complex, autonomous, interactive, and manual.

Schulz explained that interactive tasks, which often involve coordination and being “on call” for colleagues or clients, are easiest to reassign when caregiving responsibilities arise. Analytical or complex tasks, requiring sustained focus or ownership of long-term projects, also decline, sometimes because managers pre-emptively steer mothers away from high-responsibility work regardless of their actual capacity.

“After childbirth, many women see a shift from high-cognitive, high-interaction tasks to a narrower set of duties,” Schulz told Euronews Business. “Even small short-term downgrades can accumulate. Analytical and interactive tasks are where skills grow, performance is visible, and leadership pipelines are built. Losing access to them can slow wage growth, reduce promotion chances, and lock people into flatter career trajectories—even if job titles remain unchanged.”

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While the research focuses on Germany, Schulz noted that similar patterns appear across Europe, though the magnitude varies depending on cultural norms and institutional support.

The study recommends that employers make task allocation more transparent, tracking who receives high-growth assignments before and after parental leave or part-time transitions. Part-time roles can also be redesigned, with complex work broken into modular tasks and team-based ownership to maintain access to analytical and high-responsibility projects.

Training managers to recognize expectation-based bias is crucial, the study adds, as anticipatory reassignment can be just as damaging as performance-related reassignment. Policymakers are encouraged to expand full-day childcare and school coverage, strengthen flexible work rights with career protections, and incentivize fathers’ leave to reduce the assumption that mothers must adjust their roles.

The findings underline that gender inequality in the workplace is not only about who is hired or promoted, but also about the subtle ways work is allocated, shaping the long-term career paths of women across industries.

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