Connect with us

Business

China Reports 5% Economic Growth Amid Record Trade Surplus and Domestic Challenges

Published

on

China said its economy grew by 5% in 2025, meeting the government’s official target despite a slowdown to 4.5% in the final quarter of the year, driven in part by a record trade surplus.

The world’s second-largest economy faced a year of weak domestic spending, a prolonged property market downturn, and ongoing uncertainty from US tariff policies. Analysts describe the figures as reflecting a “two-speed economy,” with manufacturing and exports supporting growth while consumer spending remains cautious and the housing sector continues to weigh on overall activity.

Some economists question the official numbers. Zichun Huang, a China economist at Capital Economics, said the figures “overstate the pace of economic expansion” by at least 1.5 percentage points, citing weak investment and subdued household consumption.

Data released on Monday also highlighted China’s deepening demographic challenges. The number of births fell to 7.9 million in 2025, the lowest since records began in 1949. The country’s population declined for the fourth consecutive year, dropping 3.4 million to 1.4 billion. Experts warn that falling birth rates could reduce demand for housing and consumer goods, adding pressure to an already struggling property market.

The property sector remains a key concern. House prices continued to fall in December, dropping 2.7% year-on-year, marking the sharpest decline in five months. Property investment fell 17.2% for the year. The prolonged slump affects construction activity, household wealth, and local government finances, leaving millions of homeowners with unfinished or devalued properties.

Retail sales rose only 0.9% in December, the slowest pace in three years, while factory output increased 5.2%, slightly up from November’s 4.8%. Analysts say export growth and manufacturing output are currently propping up the economy, while domestic consumption remains weak.

See also  US Government Shutdown and French Political Crisis Unsettle Global Financial Markets

China recorded a record trade surplus of $1.19 trillion in 2025, driven by strong exports outside the United States. Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist for Asia Pacific at Natixis, warned that “China is effectively pushing growth through exports at a loss,” a strategy that may not be sustainable as it can undermine profits and long-term expansion.

Speaking on Monday, Kang Yi, head of China’s National Bureau of Statistics, acknowledged the economy “faces problems and challenges, including strong supply and weak demand,” but said China can “maintain stable, sound growth momentum this year.”

Analysts say China faces a delicate balancing act. Policymakers aim to support growth through targeted stimulus and boost consumer confidence while avoiding excessive debt and reducing reliance on exports amid ongoing global trade tensions, including uncertainty over US tariff policies.

While China officially met its growth target, the underlying economic picture suggests caution. Weak domestic demand, a fragile property market, and demographic shifts indicate that sustaining long-term growth will require careful management of both fiscal and monetary policy.

Business

Consortium Agrees to All-Cash Deal to Acquire Polish Parcel Company InPost

Published

on

A consortium of investors has reached an agreement to acquire all shares of Polish-founded parcel locker company InPost, betting on the growth of self-service delivery across Europe. The deal is structured as an all-cash public offer valued at €15.6 per share.

The consortium includes funds managed or advised by Advent International, FCWB LLC—a wholly owned subsidiary of FedEx Corporation—A&R Investments Ltd., and PPF Group, together with InPost itself. The agreement is conditional and recommended by the InPost board.

InPost is best known for its proprietary Paczkomat parcel machines, widely used across Poland. These white self-service lockers, often located in subway stations or local shops, allow customers to send and receive small and medium parcels independently, bypassing traditional courier methods.

“Together, we will strengthen our network and reach more consumers with enhanced fast and flexible delivery options as we continue our objective of redefining the European e-commerce sector,” said Rafał Brzoska, CEO and founder of InPost. Brzoska confirmed he will remain as chief executive, and the company’s headquarters, management team, and key innovation operations will continue to be based in Poland.

“Importantly, I remain fully committed to leading the InPost Group. Our headquarters, management team and key innovation capabilities will remain in Poland, which will continue to be the centre for implementing the group’s successful strategy,” Brzoska added.

InPost has been expanding its footprint internationally. In the UK, the company acquired a 95.5% stake in competitor Yodel last year. It also operates in Italy, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Spain, and Portugal, managing parcel deliveries for online vendors across multiple European markets.

See also  US Government Shutdown and French Political Crisis Unsettle Global Financial Markets

Following the completion of the transaction, FedEx will become a shareholder in InPost, joining the other investors to guide the company’s growth strategy. Prior to the deal, InPost was owned by PPF Group, A&R Investments—funds controlled by Brzoska—and Advent International, with just over half of the shares held by other investors.

Analysts say the acquisition reflects the rising demand for self-service parcel solutions, particularly in Europe’s growing e-commerce sector. The all-cash nature of the deal underscores confidence in InPost’s operational model and its ability to scale across multiple countries.

InPost has built a reputation for innovation in last-mile delivery, offering convenient alternatives to home delivery and enabling retailers to meet the increasing expectations of online shoppers. The company’s continued expansion and strong market position in Poland and abroad make it a strategic target for investors seeking to capitalize on the shift toward automated parcel services.

With Brzoska remaining at the helm and the company’s operational base secure in Poland, InPost looks set to maintain its leadership in self-service delivery while leveraging the backing of global investors to expand further across Europe.

Continue Reading

Business

Scandinavian Airlines Looks to AI and Consolidation for Growth Amid Industry Challenges

Published

on

The airline’s chief says artificial intelligence will help rebuild schedules during storms and improve efficiency in an industry that faces constant uncertainty. Scandinavian Airlines (SAS) is preparing for a new phase of growth while awaiting regulatory approval for its integration into the Air France-KLM group, according to President and CEO Anko van der Werff.

Speaking at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, van der Werff acknowledged the delay in the regulatory process. “We expect to get regulatory approval in the second half of the year,” he said. “I’m always a bit impatient… it’s a slow process.” He emphasized that many initiatives are effectively on hold, including joint ventures and partnerships that could unlock the benefits of a larger global network.

Despite industry consolidation, van der Werff is confident the SAS brand will remain strong. He sees the airline’s Scandinavian hubs, particularly Copenhagen, as a natural engine for growth amid capacity constraints elsewhere in the Air France-KLM network. “There will be real, real growth potential,” he said, predicting that travellers will “see more of SAS in the future than what you’re seeing today.”

The airline is also exploring the practical applications of artificial intelligence across operations. Van der Werff said SAS spent much of last year identifying “five big bets” for AI, with a focus on improving customer experience and operational efficiency. Handling disruptions during harsh Nordic winters is a key priority. “Occasionally we get hit by real snowstorms,” he said, describing days with “100 cancellations a day” and aircraft, crew, and passengers scattered across the network. AI, he noted, could rebuild schedules faster and more accurately than human teams alone.

See also  Europe’s Electricity Trade Reveals Sharp Divide Between Energy Exporters and Importers

Van der Werff stressed that the aviation industry is moving beyond experimentation with AI toward tangible applications. While fully autonomous passenger aircraft remain a distant prospect, he highlighted smaller improvements such as optimising onboard supplies, reducing fuel use, and automating administrative tasks.

Disruption management, he said, is the most urgent area for AI implementation. “Tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of passengers” may need rerouting during large-scale cancellations, and faster decision-making could reduce hotel stays, reposition aircraft and crews, and limit the ripple effects of delays. “How do you put that puzzle back together more quickly, more efficiently?” van der Werff asked.

Reflecting on the broader industry, he noted that uncertainty is constant, from health crises and financial shocks to geopolitical disruptions and fluctuating demand. “Something will always happen,” he said, citing events such as SARS, the financial crisis, and COVID-19.

Van der Werff called for faster decision-making in Europe to maintain competitiveness. “Europe needs to move faster,” he said, urging reduced bureaucracy and a clearer strategic vision to support innovation. Despite challenges, he remains optimistic about consolidation and technological advances, while highlighting the potential for Europe to embrace entrepreneurship and risk-taking once more.

Continue Reading

Business

Azerbaijan’s SOFAZ fund gains from rising gold prices amid global market uncertainty

Published

on

Azerbaijan’s State Oil Fund (SOFAZ) is seeing strong gains from its gold holdings, benefiting from the ongoing rise in global gold prices and generating substantial revenue for the country. The fund’s strategy reflects a wider trend among sovereign investors, who are increasing gold allocations to shield assets from global instability.

SOFAZ, the country’s sovereign wealth fund, was established to manage revenues from oil and gas exports and support long-term economic stability. The fund also plays a key role in financing the state budget and strategic national projects. As of January 1, 2026, gold accounted for 38.2 percent of SOFAZ’s investment portfolio, up from the previous year.

“Gold holdings are managed within the Fund’s approved investment framework, taking into account target allocations and allowable deviation bands,” SOFAZ said in a statement to Euronews. The fund uses gold as a hedge against external shocks, inflation, and broader market stress, aiming to protect capital and reduce exposure to volatility.

Gold prices recently reached record levels, surpassing $5,500 (€4,660) per ounce before falling sharply following the announcement of Kevin Warsh as the next chair of the US Federal Reserve. By Wednesday, prices rebounded to $5,000 (€4,230) per ounce. SOFAZ noted that its decisions on gold investments are guided by the fund’s overall risk-return strategy rather than short-term price movements.

“Gold plays a stabilising role within the Fund’s overall portfolio, and increasing gold holdings reduces sensitivity to adverse market developments, supporting a more balanced strategic asset allocation,” the fund said. Expanding its gold reserves is intended to safeguard Azerbaijan’s strategic financial assets and strengthen resilience amid global economic uncertainty.

See also  Global Markets Brace for Key Economic Data and Earnings Reports

SOFAZ began adding gold to its portfolio in 2012, gradually increasing allocations over time. In 2025, the fund purchased 53.4 tonnes of gold, raising total reserves to 200 tonnes. Over the past five years, SOFAZ generated $22.7 billion (€18.95 billion) in investment returns, including the benefits of gold price appreciation and exchange-rate effects.

The fund attributes its ability to navigate market downturns and recoveries to a diversified and resilient portfolio. The equity sub-portfolio, covering both public and private equities, has been a major driver of growth. Since the diversification strategy was launched in 2012, the equity portfolio has increased more than fourfold, delivering a 305 percent return and nearly $10 billion (€8.35 billion) in investment gains.

By combining oil revenues with a diversified investment approach and growing gold reserves, SOFAZ continues to strengthen Azerbaijan’s financial stability, preparing the country for both domestic and global economic challenges.

Continue Reading

Trending