China has announced retaliatory tariffs on Canadian agricultural and seafood products, intensifying trade tensions between the two nations. The move, revealed on Saturday, comes in response to Canada’s tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and metals imposed in October last year.
Beijing will enforce 100% tariffs on rapeseed oil, oil cakes, and peas, along with a 25% import levy on pork and aquatic products from March 20, further straining economic ties between the two countries.
Tit-for-Tat Tariffs Escalate Trade Conflict
The trade dispute between China and Canada has been growing since October 2023, when Ottawa imposed a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles and 25% levies on Chinese steel and aluminum.
China’s Ministry of Commerce condemned Canada’s measures as violations of World Trade Organization (WTO) rules, calling them “acts of protectionism” that restrict Chinese exports and damage the country’s legitimate trade interests.
Impact on Canadian Exports
Canada’s rapeseed (canola) industry is expected to be heavily impacted by the new tariffs. In 2023, the crop generated C$13.6 billion (€8.73 billion) in sales, while Canadian canola meal and oil exports to China were valued at C$920.9 million (€591.3 million) and C$21 million (€13.5 million) respectively in 2024.
Additionally, Canada’s pea exports to China reached C$303 million (€194.5 million) last year. The new tariffs could severely disrupt trade flows, affecting Canadian farmers and exporters who rely on the Chinese market.
The Canadian Global Affairs Ministry denounced China’s tariff announcement as “unjustified”, stating that Canada rejects China’s findings and remains open to dialogue. The ministry accused China of unfair market practices, saying that its policies artificially lower production costs and distort global markets.
Wider Global Trade War Intensifies
China’s latest trade action follows a string of tariff hikes introduced by former US President Donald Trump last week, which included 25% duties on Canadian and Mexican imports and a doubling of tariffs on Chinese goods to 20%.
Shortly after, Trump granted a one-month exemption on auto and agricultural tariffs for Canada and Mexico under the USMCA agreement, as both countries signaled a willingness to reassess tariffs on Chinese imports.
China’s Economic Struggles Deepen
The trade war escalation comes amid economic uncertainty in China, with consumer prices falling 0.7% year-over-year in February, marking the first negative inflation rate in 13 months.
At its annual government meeting last week, Beijing set its 2025 GDP growth target at 5% and unveiled a trillions-of-yuan stimulus package to boost economic activity. However, analysts warn that sluggish domestic demand and mounting trade tensions could make achieving this target difficult.
To support economic recovery, China has pledged a “proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy”, increasing its budget deficit to 4% of GDP—the highest in three decades.
Market Reaction and Currency Decline
Financial markets reacted negatively to the ongoing trade tensions. On Monday, the Chinese Yuan fell 0.22% against the US dollar, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slipped 1.7% in early trading.
Despite the recent downturn, Chinese markets have been rallying this year, partly fueled by the January launch of DeepSeek’s AI model, a Chinese tech startup competing with US AI firms.
As global trade disputes intensify, China and Canada remain locked in a growing economic standoff with potential long-term impacts on international commerce and investment flows.