Economic growth in the eurozone showed only the faintest signs of life in April, as a sluggish services sector offset a stronger-than-expected rebound in manufacturing. The latest data from S&P Global’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) paints a mixed picture of the bloc’s economic momentum amid hopes of an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB).
The composite PMI reading for the eurozone edged up to 50.1 in April from a preliminary estimate of 49.7. While this figure technically indicates growth, it suggests the economy is teetering on the edge of stagnation, continuing its struggle to gain traction after a modest improvement earlier in the year.
Manufacturing output climbed at its fastest pace in over two years, supported by improved supply chains and rising industrial activity. However, services—the eurozone’s primary growth engine—barely expanded, with the services PMI falling to 50.1 from 51.0 in March. That marks the weakest performance in the sector since late 2024.
“The services sector, which is a major player, practically stagnated in April,” said Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. “Even though manufacturing output saw a surprising uptick, it wasn’t enough to prevent the overall slowdown in growth.”
Demand across the bloc remained weak, with new orders falling for an eleventh consecutive month. France, the eurozone’s second-largest economy, continued to lag behind its peers, recording its eighth straight month of contraction. In contrast, Spain led the region in growth, followed by Italy and Germany.
Employment saw a slight increase for the second month in a row, with job gains in services helping to offset losses in manufacturing. However, hiring remains cautious, reflecting wider uncertainty in the business climate. Business expectations for the year ahead fell to their lowest level since late 2022, marking a fourth consecutive monthly decline.
Amid the subdued economic picture, there was a positive development on the inflation front. Input costs and output prices both rose at their slowest pace in months, adding to market expectations that the ECB could cut interest rates in June. Several policymakers have already hinted at such a move.
“In the services sector, cost pressures are still relatively high, though they have eased a bit over the past couple of months,” de la Rubia said. “Inflation is down for sales prices and continued to trend lower… These latest figures seem to support the ECB’s stance.”
In equity markets, eurozone stocks declined following recent gains. The Euro STOXX 50 fell 1%, while Germany’s DAX dropped 0.7% and France’s CAC 40 dipped 0.5%. Industrial stocks led the retreat, with Airbus and Siemens among the laggards. Earnings reports brought mixed results, as Vestas and Hugo Boss posted strong gains, while Philips and Ferrari faced pressure.
With inflation cooling but growth failing to accelerate, attention now turns to the ECB’s upcoming June meeting, where a rate cut appears increasingly likely.