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Ships Continue Passing Through Strait of Hormuz Despite Ongoing Conflict

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Dozens of ships are still navigating the Strait of Hormuz as Iran maintains oil exports despite continued attacks on one of the world’s most critical trade routes.

Around 90 vessels, including oil tankers, have crossed the strait since the conflict began earlier this month, according to maritime data. This comes even as most commercial traffic has been disrupted and nearly 20 ships have reportedly been targeted in the area. The strait, which normally carries about one-fifth of global oil supply, has seen a sharp drop in overall movement compared to pre-conflict levels.

Despite the risks, Iran has continued exporting oil, shipping more than 16 million barrels since the start of March, according to analytics firm Kpler. Much of this trade is believed to involve so-called “dark” shipping practices, where vessels avoid tracking systems to bypass sanctions and scrutiny. Analysts say many of these ships are linked to Iranian networks, while others have connections to countries such as China and Greece.

More recently, vessels tied to India and Pakistan have also passed through the strait following diplomatic engagement. Maritime data shows that the Pakistan-flagged tanker Karachi and India-linked gas carriers Shivalik and Nanda Devi successfully completed their journeys through the route in mid-March. Indian officials indicated that discussions with Tehran helped secure safe passage for the ships.

Experts say these crossings suggest the strait is not entirely closed but operating under selective conditions. Richard Meade, editor-in-chief of Lloyd’s List, said some vessels appear to be transiting with a degree of diplomatic coordination, often staying close to Iranian waters. There are also indications that certain ships have identified themselves as linked to China or staffed by Chinese crews, likely to reduce the risk of being targeted.

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Oil markets remain highly sensitive to developments in the region. Prices have risen more than 40 per cent since the conflict began, briefly pushing Brent crude oil above $100 per barrel. The surge has prompted calls from Donald Trump for allied nations to help secure the waterway and restore stability to global energy supplies.

Iran has warned that it may block shipments destined for the United States, Israel and their allies, while allowing limited flows to continue. US officials have indicated that some Iranian exports are being tolerated to prevent further disruption to global markets.

Analysts say the current situation reflects a controlled but fragile balance, where the strait remains partially operational. While limited traffic continues, the risk of escalation remains high, and any further disruption could have significant consequences for global energy supply and prices.

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Iran Raises Minimum Wage by 60% Amid Inflation and Conflict Pressures

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Authorities in Iran have announced a 60 percent increase in the national minimum wage as the country faces mounting economic strain driven by conflict and soaring inflation.

Labour Minister Ahmad Meydari confirmed the decision on Monday, saying the monthly minimum wage will rise from 103 million rials to 166 million rials. The increase is intended to ease the burden on workers struggling with rapidly rising living costs.

The move comes against a backdrop of economic hardship and recent unrest. Protests earlier in 2026, linked largely to inflation and declining living standards, were met with a crackdown by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Independent sources reported a high number of casualties during the unrest.

Iran’s leadership, under Ali Khamenei, has faced growing pressure from labour groups to improve wages as the national currency weakens and the cost of essential goods rises sharply. With the rial trading at extremely low levels against the US dollar, many households have struggled to afford basic necessities.

The wage adjustment will take effect on March 20, marking the start of the Persian New Year. Authorities have also announced increases in family and child allowances as part of a broader effort to support households.

Despite the significant rise, analysts and labour representatives say the new wage level remains far below what is needed to cover basic expenses. Estimates suggest a typical family requires more than 580 million rials per month for essential goods, while labour groups had pushed for a higher threshold.

Inflation remains a major concern. Official figures indicate consumer prices rose by 44.6 percent in 2025, while other reports point to even higher levels. Food prices have been particularly affected, with sharp increases in staples such as bread, meat and cooking oil. In some cases, prices have more than doubled over the past year.

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Economic pressures have intensified due to ongoing conflict involving Israel and the United States, along with continued sanctions that have disrupted supply chains and weakened the currency further.

Over the past decade, wages in Iran have lost much of their purchasing power. Many families have been forced to take on additional work or sell assets to cope with rising costs. Reports indicate that dietary patterns have shifted, with lower-income households reducing consumption of protein-rich foods in favour of cheaper alternatives.

The government’s latest decision is seen as a short-term measure to provide relief, though economists warn that without broader reforms to address inflation and currency instability, the benefits of the wage increase may be limited.

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Spain Leads EU Growth While Germany Trails, Data Shows

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Economic growth across Europe showed a mixed picture in 2025, with Spain emerging as the strongest performer among the largest economies while Germany lagged near the bottom, according to new figures.

Data from Eurostat showed that the European Union’s real gross domestic product grew by 1.5 percent in 2025, up from 1.1 percent the previous year. However, growth varied widely between countries, reflecting structural differences and external pressures.

Ireland stood out with a 12.3 percent expansion, far exceeding other nations. Analysts attributed this to the influence of multinational corporations operating in the country, rather than domestic economic activity. Smaller economies including Malta and Cyprus also posted strong growth of 4 percent and 3.8 percent respectively. Several eastern and southeastern European countries, such as North Macedonia, Croatia and Bulgaria, recorded gains above 3 percent, continuing a trend where less developed economies expand faster as they catch up.

Among the EU’s largest economies, Spain led with growth of 2.8 percent. In contrast, Germany recorded just 0.2 percent, placing it at the bottom alongside Finland. Italy also remained weak at 0.5 percent, while France posted a modest 0.8 percent increase.

Economists said Germany’s slowdown reflects pressure on its export-driven model, partly due to increased global competition, particularly from China. This shift has weighed on traditional manufacturing powerhouses across northern Europe.

Spain’s performance, on the other hand, has been supported by different factors. A growing population, driven by immigration, has boosted economic activity and expanded the labour force. Tourism has also played a significant role, with Mediterranean countries benefiting from strong visitor numbers in recent years.

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However, experts cautioned that strong headline growth does not always translate into improved living standards. Productivity in some major economies remains weak. In Spain, output per worker declined slightly, while gains in output per hour worked were minimal. This suggests that wage growth may remain limited despite overall economic expansion.

Looking ahead, projections from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development indicate Spain’s economy could grow by 2.2 percent in 2026, maintaining its lead among Europe’s largest economies. By comparison, the United Kingdom is expected to grow by around 1.2 percent.

Across the Nordic region, growth trends also diverged. Denmark recorded solid expansion of 2.9 percent, while Sweden matched the EU average. Iceland and Norway posted weaker growth, highlighting uneven economic conditions across the region.

Analysts said the data underscores a broader divide within Europe, where population growth, domestic demand and sectoral strengths are increasingly shaping national economic performance.

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Chocolate Prices Jump Across Europe as Cocoa Costs Surge

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Chocolate prices across the European Union rose sharply in 2025, recording the highest increase among food products as rising cocoa costs and supply shortages pushed prices higher for consumers.

According to data from Eurostat, chocolate prices climbed by 17.9 percent across the EU last year. The increase far exceeded other major food items, including beef and veal, which rose by about 10 percent, while eggs and butter increased by around 8 percent.

Overall consumer prices in the EU rose by 2.5 percent in 2025 based on the annual average rate of change. Food and non-alcoholic beverages saw slightly stronger inflation at 3.3 percent, but chocolate stood out as the fastest-rising product in the category.

The impact was not uniform across Europe. In EU member states, annual chocolate price inflation ranged from 6.6 percent in Slovakia to 32.6 percent in Poland.

When other European countries are included, the range becomes even wider. Prices rose only 1.6 percent in Albania but surged by 44 percent in Turkey, where inflation remains significantly higher than the European average.

Several countries reported particularly steep increases. Chocolate prices rose by more than 25 percent in Estonia and Lithuania at 31.5 percent each, followed by Romania at 26.1 percent, Latvia at 25.9 percent and Serbia at 25.4 percent.

In larger European economies, price increases were more moderate. Chocolate inflation reached about 14 percent in France and 12.3 percent in Belgium. The Office for National Statistics reported that chocolate prices rose by 16.2 percent in the United Kingdom during the same period.

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Economists say the sharp rise is largely tied to disruptions in global cocoa supply. Emiliano Magrini, an economist at the Food and Agriculture Organization, said the surge in cocoa prices was driven by severe production problems in West Africa.

Cocoa output dropped significantly in Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana, which together produce a large share of the world’s cocoa. Prolonged dry weather and the spread of cocoa swollen shoot virus disease reduced harvests and pushed global inventories to very low levels.

John Baffes, a senior economist at the World Bank, said cocoa prices increased dramatically during the past two years. Average prices rose from about $3.28 per kilogram in 2023 to $7.80 in 2025, representing one of the largest commodity price surges recorded.

Analysts note that differences in national chocolate industries have also influenced how price increases reach consumers. Countries with strong domestic manufacturing sectors, such as Germany and Italy, have been able to absorb some of the higher costs through large production networks and long-term supply contracts.

In contrast, countries that rely more heavily on imports often pass global price increases more directly to shoppers, resulting in steeper rises at supermarket shelves.

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