Business
Tariff Pressures and Weakening Labour Protections Threaten Europe’s Workforce
Europe’s workers could face mounting challenges in the coming months as falling job vacancies, shrinking working hours, and eroding labour protections intersect with growing trade tensions, analysts warn.
While much public attention has focused on the impact of U.S. import tariffs on European industries and major corporations, economists say the knock-on effects for employment could be just as damaging. Signs of strain are already emerging across the continent, raising fears that jobs and incomes could be at risk if tariff-related shocks deepen.
Falling job vacancy rates
The latest European Commission data shows a slight decline in the eurozone’s job vacancy rate to 2.4% in the first quarter of 2025, down from 2.5% in late 2024 and 2.9% a year earlier. Germany, Greece, Austria, and Sweden recorded the steepest falls, suggesting employers are becoming more cautious about hiring.
Fewer job openings not only signal waning business confidence but also limit workers’ bargaining power, making it harder to secure pay rises or find new roles. Analysts caution that if the trend continues through 2025, many employees could face a more competitive and less mobile labour market by year-end.
Shorter working hours, less overtime
Eurostat figures show average weekly working hours across the EU fell 0.3% in early 2025 compared to the previous quarter. While Greece, Bulgaria, Poland, and Romania recorded the longest workweeks, the Netherlands, Austria, Germany, and Denmark had the shortest.
For hourly and part-time workers, fewer hours mean reduced pay and benefits — a strain already compounded by high living costs. Underemployment, where workers cannot secure the hours they want, remains a concern, affecting 10.9% of the EU’s extended labour force, or around 23.6 million people.
Eroding labour rights
Compounding these economic pressures is a steady weakening of Europe’s labour protections. The 2024 Labour Rights Index points to legislative gaps in areas such as protection from unfair dismissal and rights for non-standard workers.
The International Trade Union Confederation’s Global Rights Index 2025 shows Europe’s average score worsening to 2.78, its lowest on record. Nearly three-quarters of European countries violated the right to strike, almost a third detained workers, and more than half restricted access to justice — a sharp rise from previous years.
Potential storm ahead
With early indicators pointing to a softening labour market and institutional safeguards in decline, experts warn that tariff shocks could land harder than in past downturns.
“If these trends persist, the cost could be measured not only in lost jobs but in a long-term erosion of workers’ bargaining power,” one analyst noted. The coming quarters, they say, will be critical in determining whether current weakness is temporary or the start of a more damaging employment downturn.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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