Business
Eurozone Growth Slightly Improved, But Productivity Challenges Persist
The eurozone economy saw a modest improvement in the final quarter of 2024, but persistent productivity struggles continue to weigh on overall performance, according to Eurostat data released on Friday.
GDP Growth Marginally Higher Than Expected
Seasonally adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) in the eurozone grew by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2024, while the broader EU economy expanded by 0.2% during the same period. These figures represent a slight upward revision from initial estimates but remain well below the 0.6% growth recorded in the United States for the same period.
Comparing year-over-year figures, GDP rose by 0.9% in the eurozone and 1.1% in the EU, maintaining a similar pace to Q3 2024, when growth stood at 0.9% in the euro area and 1.0% in the EU.
Despite these slight improvements, economists remain cautious, with Jack Allen-Reynolds, deputy chief eurozone economist at Capital Economics, warning that the numbers highlight ongoing weakness in the region.
“The eurozone economy performed a little better than previously thought in Q4, but growth was still extremely weak,” Allen-Reynolds said. “A 0.1% expansion is hardly something to get excited about.”
Diverging National Performances
Economic performance across individual eurozone nations varied significantly. Poland, Lithuania, and Spain recorded strong annual growth rates, while Austria and Germany saw the sharpest declines in output.
Germany and France both experienced contractions, while Italy’s economy stagnated, placing the burden on Spain and smaller economies to prevent a broader economic downturn in the eurozone.
“The early signs are that 2025 has started slowly as well,” Allen-Reynolds added, suggesting that economic headwinds remain a concern.
Employment Growth Continues, But Productivity Slumps
While economic growth remains tepid, employment figures showed modest gains. The number of employed persons in both the euro area and the EU increased by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2024. This followed a 0.2% rise in employment in the eurozone in Q3, while the EU had remained stable.
On a year-over-year basis, employment rose by 0.6% in the eurozone and 0.5% in the EU in Q4 2024.
However, these employment gains have not translated into productivity growth. According to Allen-Reynolds, GDP per worker has declined by 1.4% since Q3 2022, leading to higher unit labor costs and sustained inflationary pressures.
“The flipside of these employment gains is that productivity has continued to fall, keeping underlying price pressures higher than they would otherwise have been,” he noted.
Outlook for 2025
With weak growth, declining productivity, and inflationary risks still in play, the eurozone enters 2025 facing economic uncertainty. Analysts suggest that without a productivity boost or a stronger rebound in key economies like Germany and France, the region’s recovery could remain fragile.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
Business
Goldman Sachs tapped to lead SpaceX IPO as Musk eyes record-breaking market debut
Business
Greek Stocks Stage Remarkable Comeback After Years of Financial Turmoil
-
Entertainment2 years agoMeta Acquires Tilda Swinton VR Doc ‘Impulse: Playing With Reality’
-
Sports2 years agoChina’s Historic Olympic Victory Sparks National Pride Amid Controversy
-
Business2 years agoSaudi Arabia’s Model for Sustainable Aviation Practices
-
Business2 years agoRecent Developments in Small Business Taxes
-
Home Improvement1 year agoEffective Drain Cleaning: A Key to a Healthy Plumbing System
-
Politics2 years agoWho was Ebrahim Raisi and his status in Iranian Politics?
-
Sports2 years agoKeely Hodgkinson Wins Britain’s First Athletics Gold at Paris Olympics in 800m
-
Business2 years agoCarrectly: Revolutionizing Car Care in Chicago
