Health
Drug-Resistant Infections Projected to Surge Across Europe as Population Ages
Rates of bloodstream infections caused by antibiotic-resistant bacteria are expected to rise sharply across Europe in the coming years, with older adults likely to be the hardest hit, according to a new study published in PLOS Medicine.
The research found that as Europe’s population continues to age, infections caused by so-called “superbugs” will become increasingly common and dangerous. Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) occurs when bacteria evolve to the point where antibiotics are no longer effective, leading to harder-to-treat infections. Globally, these resistant pathogens already kill around one million people each year.
The study projected that rates of drug-resistant infections will climb steadily through 2030, with significant variations depending on the country, gender, age group, and specific bacteria-antibiotic combinations. Overall, the increase in bloodstream infections is expected to range from 22.2 percent for Streptococcus pneumoniae infections among women to 61.5 percent for Klebsiella pneumoniae infections among men.
The analysis also found that men are likely to experience higher infection rates than women for six of the eight bacterial types examined. The uptick will have a greater impact on older adults, particularly those aged 74 and above, who are more vulnerable to severe complications such as sepsis when bloodstream infections occur.
“Our study shows that the future burden of drug-resistant infections won’t be uniform,” said Gwenan Knight, senior author of the study and co-director of the Antimicrobial Resistance Centre at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. “Age and sex are still rarely considered in antimicrobial resistance projections, yet they make a real difference to who is most affected.”
To conduct the analysis, researchers examined data from over 12.8 million blood tests across 29 European countries between 2010 and 2019. Using these data, they developed models to forecast trends in bloodstream infections through 2050.
Knight said that understanding which populations face the greatest risk will help scientists and policymakers design more effective prevention and treatment strategies. Tailored interventions could include improving infection control measures in hospitals and care homes, investing in new antibiotics, and promoting responsible antibiotic use.
However, the study cautioned that meeting international targets to curb antibiotic resistance will be difficult. The World Health Organization and other global health bodies have set a goal of reducing antibiotic-resistant infections by 10 percent by 2030. According to the research, this target is likely achievable for only about two-thirds of the bacteria-antibiotic combinations studied.
Given the growing threat, Knight noted that holding infection rates steady could itself be a public health success. “Simply preventing further rises in resistant bloodstream infections would already be a major public health achievement,” she said.
Health
Medieval Manuscripts Reveal Thousands-Year History of Deadly Sheep Virus
DNA recovered from medieval manuscripts has given scientists new clues about the long history of sheep pox, a highly contagious disease that has threatened livestock for thousands of years.
An international team led by researchers at University College Dublin discovered traces of sheep pox virus in parchment used for some of Europe’s historic manuscripts. The findings suggest that animal diseases may have left genetic records in old documents, providing scientists with another way to study how pathogens developed over time.
During the Middle Ages, parchment was commonly made from the treated skin of sheep, goats and cattle. Researchers extracted DNA from the animal skins used to produce centuries-old manuscripts and identified genetic material linked to the sheep pox virus.
The study involved geneticists, historians, virologists, protein chemists and conservation specialists. Louis L’Hôte, the study’s lead author, said the research showed that parchment could preserve DNA from animal pathogens and provide valuable evidence about infectious diseases in the past.
Among the manuscripts examined was the approximately 1,000-year-old York Gospels, considered one of the finest surviving illuminated manuscripts from the late Anglo-Saxon period. Researchers also examined the Corpus Glossary at Corpus Christi College in Cambridge, an early English dictionary, along with other medieval texts from Britain and continental Europe.
In some manuscripts, several pages contained sheep pox virus DNA. Researchers said this could indicate that animals infected with the disease were used to produce the parchment.
The team compared the genetic material recovered from the manuscripts with older DNA samples obtained from Bronze Age sheep teeth. Their analysis indicated that sheep pox has affected livestock for more than 3,700 years.
Sheep pox spreads quickly among animals and can infect a large proportion of a flock. The disease causes fever and skin lesions and can result in death. Outbreaks can also cause major financial losses through reduced milk production, damage to wool and hides, and restrictions on livestock trade.
There is no evidence that sheep pox infects humans.
The research, published in Science Advances, also provided insight into how the virus changed over time. Scientists found that the sheep pox virus genome remained relatively stable during the past several thousand years.
L’Hôte said the finding contrasts with the evolutionary history of some other pathogens, including smallpox. The stability of the sheep pox genome may indicate that important genetic changes occurred much earlier in the virus’s history and helped it adapt to sheep.
Researchers said the work could encourage scientists to examine other archives and libraries for genetic traces of historic animal diseases. Ancient DNA preserved in manuscripts could offer a new source of information about outbreaks that affected livestock and societies long before modern disease surveillance existed.
Health
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Health
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