Business
UK Bank Shares Slide Amid Talk of New Sector Tax
Shares in Britain’s leading banks fell sharply on Friday following reports that the government is considering new taxes on the sector to help plug a widening hole in the public budget.
NatWest Group led the decline, with shares down 4.7% by midday in European trading. Lloyds Banking Group dropped 4.5%, while Barclays fell 3.7%. The sell-off weighed on London’s benchmark FTSE 100 index, which slipped nearly 0.4%.
“NatWest, Lloyds and Barclays were the FTSE 100’s biggest fallers on Friday morning as investors wondered if the era of bumper profits, dividends and buybacks is now under threat,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.
The trigger for the slump was a proposal by the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR), a centre-left think tank, which suggested that commercial banks should shoulder part of the financial burden created by the Bank of England’s bond-buying programme, known as quantitative easing (QE).
The Bank of England’s QE programme, introduced during the financial crisis and expanded during the pandemic, once generated significant profits. However, with interest rates climbing from near zero to 5.25% since late 2021, the scheme has produced steep losses. According to the IPPR, these losses now cost taxpayers £22 billion (€25.4bn) annually across the current parliamentary term.
To offset the cost, the think tank proposed a new “QE reserves income levy” on commercial banks. Such a measure, it argued, would be a fair way to redistribute part of the banking sector’s strong profits back into public finances.
The government has not yet signalled whether it will adopt the recommendation, but analysts warn that higher levies could risk dampening credit growth. “The issue is whether taxing the banks more will end up stifling the very growth the government is keen to foster, by crimping lending to businesses and households alike,” said Mould.
Still, political appetite for the proposal may grow given the scale of bank profits. HSBC, Barclays, NatWest and Lloyds are projected to earn about £44 billion (€50.7bn) worldwide in 2025, their third-best year on record after 2023 and 2024.
While banks have benefited from higher interest rates boosting their net interest margins, they have also faced criticism over perceived underinvestment in customer service and overcharging borrowers. For the government, a tax could present both fiscal relief and political gain.
Mould noted that while banks have played an important role in financing households and businesses, the debate will hinge on whether their profitability justifies additional taxation. “These companies have enjoyed a strong run on the stock market in recent years,” he said, “but investors now face uncertainty about whether that momentum can continue.”
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