Business
UK Bank Shares Drop Amid Prospect of New Sector Tax
Shares in Britain’s largest banks fell sharply on Friday after reports that the government is considering new taxes on the financial sector to help cover losses tied to the Bank of England’s bond-buying programme.
NatWest led the decline with its share price sliding 4.7% by midday trading in Europe, followed by Lloyds Banking Group, down 4.5%, and Barclays, which slipped 3.7%. The losses weighed on the broader London market, with the FTSE 100 benchmark index dipping nearly 0.4%.
“NatWest, Lloyds and Barclays were the FTSE 100’s biggest fallers on Friday morning as investors wondered if the era of bumper profits, dividends and buybacks is now under threat,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.
The selloff came after the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR), a UK-based think tank, published a proposal suggesting that commercial banks should be taxed to offset the government’s costs from the Bank of England’s quantitative easing (QE) programme.
QE, which involved large-scale purchases of government bonds, had initially generated sizeable profits for the Treasury. However, with interest rates rising from near zero in 2021 to a peak of 5.25%, the programme has since turned costly. The IPPR estimates that taxpayers will face an annual bill of around £22 billion (€25.4 billion) for the remainder of this parliament due to interest-related losses.
To help plug the gap, the think tank has recommended introducing a “QE reserves income levy” on commercial banks. Such a measure, it argues, would ensure that lenders benefiting from the current rate environment contribute to easing the strain on public finances.
The government has yet to comment on whether it will adopt the proposal. However, analysts warn that imposing new taxes on banks could have wider consequences for the economy. “The issue is whether taxing the banks more will end up stifling the very growth the government is keen to foster, by crimping lending to businesses and households alike,” Mould cautioned.
Despite concerns in financial markets, public opinion may lean in favour of additional levies. Britain’s largest lenders—HSBC, Barclays, NatWest, and Lloyds—are projected to earn around £44 billion (€50.7 billion) globally in 2025, which would mark their third-strongest year on record, after 2023 and 2024.
“These companies have enjoyed a strong run on the stock market in recent years, and they’ve also played an important role in lending money to small and large businesses, which helps to create jobs and support the UK economy,” Mould added.
For now, investors are bracing for potential policy shifts as the Treasury weighs options to balance its books. The uncertainty has left the banking sector under pressure, with the prospect of higher taxes casting a shadow over what had been a period of strong profitability.
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