Business
Trump Cuts Putin’s Deadline on Ukraine Peace Deal as Oil Prices Surge on US-EU Trade Pact
Oil prices climbed sharply on Monday following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement that he is shortening the 50-day deadline he had previously given Russian President Vladimir Putin to reach a peace deal with Ukraine. The move, coupled with the signing of a significant U.S.-EU trade agreement, triggered market volatility and a jump in energy prices.
Speaking to reporters during his visit to Scotland, Trump expressed frustration over Russia’s continued military operations in Ukraine. “I’m disappointed in President Putin, very disappointed in him,” Trump said. “So we’re going to have to look, and I’m going to reduce that 50 days that I gave him to a lesser number.”
Trump had initially threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Russian exports if Moscow failed to agree to a ceasefire within the 50-day timeframe. On Monday, he suggested he was losing confidence in a diplomatic resolution, stating, “I think I already know the answer, what’s going to happen.”
The geopolitical tension helped propel oil prices upward. As of 15:00 CEST on Monday, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was trading at $66.50 per barrel, up 2.2%, while Brent crude rose 2% to $69.80.
Oil markets had already begun reacting positively earlier in the day to news of a sweeping trade agreement between the U.S. and European Union. Under the deal, the EU has committed to purchasing $750 billion worth of American energy products—including oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and nuclear energy—over a three-year period. In exchange, the U.S. agreed to reduce its proposed tariff rate on EU goods from 30% to 15%, effective from August 1.
The trade pact also lifted European stock markets during morning trading, before gains leveled off in the afternoon.
Trump’s tough stance on tariffs has previously created headwinds for oil markets, as fears of global economic slowdown curbed demand projections. However, in scenarios involving geopolitical threats—such as Trump’s previous strikes on Iranian nuclear sites—oil prices have typically surged in response to perceived risks to supply.
Meanwhile, the OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee was meeting on Monday to determine September’s oil production levels. Both the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecast a supply surplus next year, which could cap further price gains.
Elsewhere, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer were in Stockholm holding talks with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng. The discussions are aimed at extending a 90-day truce on reciprocal tariffs that is due to expire on August 12.
Currently, China is taxing U.S. goods at 10%, while the U.S. maintains a 30% levy on Chinese imports. Officials from both countries are hoping to reach a longer-term arrangement to ease trade tensions.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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