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Oil Prices Plunge as Iran Declares Strait of Hormuz Open During Ceasefire

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Global oil prices fell sharply on Friday after Abbas Araghchi announced that the Strait of Hormuz would remain fully open for the duration of the current ceasefire with the United States.

In a statement shared on social media, Araghchi said the vital waterway was “completely open,” signalling a temporary easing of tensions that had disrupted global energy flows in recent weeks. The announcement triggered an immediate reaction across financial markets, with oil benchmarks dropping by more than 10% in under two hours.

At one point during trading, US crude, known as West Texas Intermediate, fell over 12% to around $82 per barrel, while Brent crude declined roughly 10% to near $88. The steep fall reflects renewed confidence that oil shipments from the Gulf could resume, easing supply concerns that had pushed prices higher during the conflict.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most critical energy corridors, handling a significant share of global oil and gas shipments. Any disruption to traffic through the narrow passage has a direct impact on international markets, making Friday’s announcement particularly significant.

Donald Trump welcomed the development, describing it as a positive step while maintaining that the US naval blockade of Iranian ports would remain in place until negotiations are finalised. He said progress had already been made in talks with Tehran and suggested that a broader agreement could be reached soon, though no specific details have been disclosed.

The news also lifted investor sentiment, with major US stock indices rallying in early trading. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both climbed more than 1%, reaching record highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by over 1.7%.

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Market analysts said the sharp drop in oil prices reflects expectations that supply constraints may ease if the ceasefire holds and shipping activity resumes at scale. However, uncertainty remains over how quickly normal traffic levels can be restored through the strait.

The broader outlook now hinges on the progress of ongoing diplomatic efforts. Investors are increasingly betting that a more lasting resolution to the conflict could be reached before the end of the month, though risks remain if negotiations stall or tensions flare again.

With markets heading into the weekend, traders have limited time to fully assess the implications of the announcement, leaving room for further volatility as new developments emerge.

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Anthropic’s $800 Billion Surge Puts AI Powerhouse at Center of Growth and Safety Debate

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Artificial intelligence firm Anthropic has rapidly emerged as one of the most valuable players in the global technology sector, with investor interest pushing its valuation to around $800 billion, placing it alongside rivals such as OpenAI.

The San Francisco-based company has seen its private valuation more than double within months, supported by a reported revenue run-rate of $30 billion. As speculation grows around a potential public listing later this year, Anthropic is drawing attention not only for its financial rise but also for the broader implications of its technology.

At the centre of its growth is a strategic shift from research-focused development to enterprise-driven applications. Businesses are increasingly adopting Anthropic’s AI systems, particularly its Claude models, to streamline complex workflows and automate operations. This focus on corporate clients has distinguished the company from competitors targeting mass consumer markets.

Analysts say this enterprise-first approach has helped justify its soaring valuation. Ben Barringer, head of technology research at Quilter Cheviot, noted that Anthropic’s business model is built around long-term integration into company systems, making its tools difficult to replace once adopted. He compared the strategy to that of Microsoft during the early expansion of enterprise software.

The company’s latest AI model, known as Mythos, has further accelerated interest while also raising concerns. Praised for its advanced reasoning capabilities, the system is seen as a major step forward in automation and problem-solving. However, its ability to identify vulnerabilities in software has sparked warnings about potential misuse.

Jamie Dimon has cautioned that such capabilities could be exploited for cyberattacks targeting financial institutions. These concerns highlight what experts describe as a “security paradox,” where the same technology that strengthens cybersecurity could also pose risks if misused.

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The issue has drawn attention at the highest levels of government. Reports indicate that Scott Bessent and Jerome Powell recently held discussions with major banking executives in Washington to address potential systemic risks linked to advanced AI systems.

Anthropic has responded by imposing strict controls on access to its most powerful tools, aiming to balance innovation with safety. This cautious approach reflects the company’s broader philosophy, which includes resisting requests to deploy its technology for offensive military purposes. That stance has reportedly limited opportunities with the US defense sector.

Despite these challenges, investor confidence remains strong as the company prepares for a possible stock market debut. An initial public offering would provide funding to support the high costs of developing next-generation AI models.

As Anthropic moves closer to entering public markets, it faces the challenge of maintaining rapid growth while addressing concerns about the societal and security impact of its technology.

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TSMC Posts Record Profits as AI Chip Demand Surges

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Taiwan-based semiconductor giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company reported a fourth consecutive quarter of record profits on Thursday, driven by strong global demand for artificial intelligence chips and steady orders from major technology clients.

The world’s largest contract chipmaker said first-quarter net profit jumped 58.3 percent year-on-year to NT$572.48 billion ($18.11 billion), surpassing analyst expectations. Revenue also rose sharply, climbing 35.1 percent to NT$1.13 trillion, reflecting continued growth in advanced chip manufacturing.

Company chairman and chief executive C. C. Wei said demand linked to artificial intelligence remained a key driver of performance. He noted that orders for high-end chips used in AI systems continue to grow at a rapid pace, supporting both revenue and profitability.

TSMC’s margins remained strong during the quarter, with gross margin reaching 66.2 percent and net profit margin standing at 50.5 percent. Advanced technologies, defined as chips built on 7-nanometre processes and below, accounted for nearly three-quarters of total wafer revenue.

The company’s customer base includes leading global firms such as Apple and Nvidia, both of which have increased their reliance on high-performance chips to power devices and AI applications.

Chief financial officer Wendell Huang said strong demand for cutting-edge manufacturing processes had supported first-quarter results and is expected to continue into the next quarter. TSMC forecast second-quarter revenue between $39 billion and $40.2 billion, up from $35.9 billion in the first quarter.

Analysts say the continued expansion of AI infrastructure is helping offset potential weakness in other areas, including consumer electronics. Ben Barringer of Quilter Cheviot noted that while high memory prices could dampen demand for some devices, the surge in AI-related spending is likely to sustain growth.

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Despite the positive outlook, TSMC flagged potential risks linked to geopolitical tensions. The company warned that rising costs for key materials, including chemicals and industrial gases, could affect profitability in the coming months. Wei said it was too early to determine the full financial impact.

TSMC added that it does not expect immediate disruption to its operations, citing a diversified supply chain and sufficient inventory of essential materials such as helium and hydrogen. The company has also been working to expand its supplier network to improve resilience against future shocks.

With demand for advanced chips continuing to rise, TSMC remains central to the global semiconductor industry, even as it navigates cost pressures and an increasingly complex geopolitical environment.

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Repsol Strikes Deal to Expand Venezuela Oil Output as Sanctions Ease

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Spanish energy giant Repsol has reached an agreement with Venezuela’s government and state-owned Petróleos de Venezuela to regain operational control of key oil assets, marking a major shift in its position in the country after years of restrictions.

The deal is expected to allow Repsol to significantly increase production, with plans to boost output by 50 percent in the first year and potentially triple it within three years, depending on market and regulatory conditions. The agreement also includes a mechanism to secure payments through oil shipments, addressing longstanding financial hurdles.

Francisco Gea, Repsol’s executive managing director for exploration and production, said the company has maintained a continuous presence in Venezuela since 1993 and is well positioned to scale up operations. He pointed to the firm’s existing infrastructure and workforce as key advantages in accelerating output.

Repsol currently holds a 40 percent stake in the Petroquiriquire joint venture, which produces around 45,000 barrels of oil per day. The company aims to expand this capacity as part of the new arrangement.

The agreement follows a period of political and economic changes in Venezuela, including the detention of Nicolás Maduro in January and the emergence of an interim administration led by Delcy Rodríguez. Authorities have introduced reforms aimed at attracting foreign investment, including reducing state control and easing tax burdens in the energy sector.

The shift also aligns with efforts by the United States to stabilise global oil supplies amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Washington has begun easing some sanctions on Venezuela’s energy industry through licensing arrangements issued by the Office of Foreign Assets Control, allowing selected international companies to resume or expand operations.

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Earlier this week, Spain announced the suspension of sanctions on Venezuela’s central bank, a move expected to simplify financial transactions for companies operating in the country.

In February, the US administration authorised several major energy firms, including Shell, BP, Eni and Chevron, to develop oil and gas projects in Venezuela. The involvement of multiple European companies reflects renewed international interest in the country, which holds the world’s largest proven crude reserves.

Industry analysts say the success of Repsol’s expansion plans will depend on continued regulatory stability and the durability of sanctions relief. If conditions hold, the agreement could mark a significant step in reviving Venezuela’s oil sector after years of decline.

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