Business
Novo Nordisk Shares Rise Despite 2025 Outlook Downgrade Amid Weight-Loss Drug Market Pressures
Shares in Novo Nordisk surged on Wednesday after the Danish pharmaceutical giant posted stronger-than-expected first-quarter earnings, even as it lowered its growth outlook for 2025 due to mounting competition in the weight-loss drug market.
The company, best known for its diabetes and obesity treatments, reported a 20% year-on-year rise in net profit to 38.8 billion Danish kroner (€5.2 billion), with net sales up 18% to 78.1 billion kroner (€10.5 billion). Both figures exceeded analyst expectations, driven by robust demand for obesity and diabetes medications.
Despite the upbeat results, Novo Nordisk cut its full-year guidance. The firm now expects 2025 sales growth of 13–21%, down from its earlier projection, and operating profit growth between 16–24% at constant exchange rates—both lowered by several percentage points.
“We have reduced our full-year outlook due to lower-than-planned branded GLP-1 penetration, which is impacted by the rapid expansion of compounding in the US,” CEO Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen said in a statement. “We are actively focused on preventing unlawful and unsafe compounding and on efforts to expand patient access to our GLP-1 treatments.”
Still, shares rose 4.4% at the opening of European trading, though the stock remains down 26% since the start of the year. In contrast, main U.S. competitor Eli Lilly has seen a more stable stock performance in 2025.
A key pressure point for Novo Nordisk is the U.S. market, where demand for GLP-1-based weight-loss treatments like Wegovy has outpaced supply. Under FDA policy, compounding pharmacies were permitted to produce alternative versions of drugs in short supply, allowing smaller rivals to offer cheaper options. Although the FDA declared shortages over earlier this year, it granted a grace period until May 22 for compounded versions to remain in circulation.
In response, Novo Nordisk slashed Wegovy’s price by more than half on its online platform, NovoCare, mirroring similar price cuts by Eli Lilly.
In its outlook, Novo Nordisk highlighted the continued global rollout of Wegovy, noting there are an estimated one billion people living with obesity worldwide, yet only a fraction are receiving treatment. CFO Karsten Munk Knudsen said he expects Wegovy sales to pick up further in the third quarter.
Meanwhile, the company announced the completion of its REDEFINE 2 trial for its next-generation drug, CagriSema, which showed a 15.7% weight reduction. While the results fell short of the 25% reduction some had hoped for, Novo Nordisk aims to file for regulatory approval early next year.
The company also said it has filed for U.S. approval of a new oral formulation of semaglutide, which could become the first oral GLP-1 drug for obesity treatment.
Despite market headwinds, Novo Nordisk remains optimistic about future growth in a highly competitive but fast-expanding global obesity market.
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