Business
Markets Inch Higher as Iran-Israel Ceasefire Holds, Oil Prices Edge Up
Global markets posted modest gains on Wednesday as investors reacted cautiously to signs that a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, though fragile, was holding. Meanwhile, oil prices continued their upward trend amid ongoing concerns about stability in the Middle East.
The ceasefire, brokered earlier this week by U.S. President Donald Trump, came under early strain after both sides accused the other of violations. Nonetheless, hostilities have largely subsided, giving investors some relief following nearly two weeks of escalating conflict.
While Iran’s President hailed the outcome as a “historic punishment” for Israel, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed that the operation had eliminated the threat from Tehran’s nuclear programme. However, a newly leaked U.S. intelligence assessment contradicted that claim, stating the Iranian programme had only been delayed by several months. The White House dismissed the report.
Oil markets remained sensitive to the ongoing tensions. Brent crude rose 1.15% to $67.91 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was up 1.21% at $65.15, as traders continued to weigh the risk of renewed conflict in a region critical to global energy supply.
Despite the fragile peace, U.S. President Trump expressed frustration over reported ceasefire breaches. “Israel, as soon as we made the deal, dropped a load of bombs—the biggest we’ve seen,” he said, speaking at a press event. Later, on his social media platform Truth Social, Trump warned: “Israel, do not drop those bombs. If you do, it is a major violation. Bring your pilots home, now!” He added bluntly, “Neither Iran nor Israel knows what the f*** they’re doing.”
European equity markets responded with modest gains. France’s CAC 40 rose 0.4% to 7,647.07, Germany’s DAX inched up 0.08% to 23,660.55, the UK’s FTSE 100 added 0.35% to 8,790.03, and Italy’s FTSE MIB climbed 0.24% to 39,568.10. The pan-European STOXX 600 advanced 0.35%, while the STOXX 50 rose 0.21%.
U.S. stock futures also pointed to a positive open. Dow Jones futures were up 0.06%, and S&P 500 futures edged higher by 0.05%.
In Asia, the Shanghai Composite gained 0.44%, Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.31%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.78%, and South Korea’s Kospi was nearly flat, up just 0.01%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 ticked up 0.09%.
Currency markets saw limited movement. The U.S. Dollar Index edged up 0.13% to 97.98, while the euro posted slight gains. The Japanese yen weakened by 0.12% against the dollar.
“The situation in the Middle East is fluid,” said Ryan Sweet, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics. “While downside risks have subsided, the balance of risks still leans toward higher oil prices as tensions could reignite quickly.”
Investors are expected to remain cautious as they await further developments in the region and assess the long-term economic fallout of the conflict.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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