Business
Gold and Silver Extend Historic Losses Following Warsh Nomination
Gold and silver prices plunged further on Monday, extending last week’s dramatic sell-off after President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next chair of the US Federal Reserve. The nomination intensified debate over the Fed’s future monetary policy and potential political pressures, prompting investors to reassess positions across precious metals.
Spot gold fell as much as 10% in early trading, while silver tumbled up to 16%, following Friday’s historic decline that marked the largest intraday drop on record for the white metal. The sharp retreat reflected how heavily invested markets had become after months of strong gains driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of easier US policy.
“Crowded one-sided trades unwind. FOMO and chasing the rally are rarely, if ever, a case of economic fundamentals,” said Marcus Dewsnap, head of fixed income strategy at Informa Global Markets. “Reality seems to have caught up with metals markets after a parabolic rise.”
The sell-off was triggered by Warsh’s nomination, which pushed the US dollar higher and forced investors to reprice expectations for interest rates. “The sharp decline on Friday followed news that Trump intends to nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair – a development that boosted the dollar and reinforced expectations of a more hawkish policy stance,” said Ewa Manthey, commodities strategist at ING, alongside Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy.
Gold and silver are particularly sensitive to US rate expectations, as higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. A stronger dollar also makes metals more expensive for overseas buyers. While Warsh has expressed support for aspects of Trump’s agenda, including potential rate cuts, markets do not view him as a strong advocate of aggressive monetary easing.
Investor caution has been visible in exchange-traded funds, with silver holdings falling for a seventh consecutive session to their lowest level since November 2025. Futures data show speculators reducing bullish positions sharply, indicating a broader retreat from the sector. ING analysts noted that managed money net longs in COMEX gold fell by nearly 18,000 lots last week, while silver positions also dropped to their lowest since February 2024.
Mechanical factors have amplified market stress. CME Group plans to raise margin requirements on COMEX gold and silver futures after last week’s swings, forcing traders to post more collateral or reduce exposure. “When a market has risen beyond fundamentals, it doesn’t take much to open the exit door,” Dewsnap said. “There aren’t enough buyers to absorb the selling cascade, which exacerbates the drop.”
Attention is turning to Asia, where Chinese investors traditionally support metals prices during dips. However, with volatility high and the Lunar New Year approaching, participation may be cautious. Analysts say short-term direction will depend on dip-buying from Chinese traders.
For now, the precious metals market remains fragile, closely watching US data for clues on real interest rates and dollar movements. Analysts warn that volatility is likely to remain elevated, with macro uncertainty and expectations around Fed policy continuing to dominate sentiment.
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