Business
Eurozone Economy Stalls in April as Services Sector Contracts Amid Trade Tensions
Economic activity in the eurozone came to a near standstill in April as heightened trade tensions and uncertainty weighed heavily on the services sector, according to newly released data from S&P Global’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).
The Composite PMI for the 20-nation bloc dropped to 50.1 in April from 50.9 in March, barely remaining above the 50-point threshold that separates growth from contraction. The decline reflects mounting concerns over global trade, particularly fresh tariffs introduced by the United States, and fragile consumer confidence within Europe.
A deeper look into the data reveals a widening gap between sectors. The services PMI fell into contraction territory for the first time in five months, slipping to 49.7 from 51 in March. Meanwhile, the manufacturing sector showed modest improvement, rising to 48.7 from 46.1—surpassing expectations and suggesting some resilience among producers.
Across the eurozone, business confidence dipped sharply, with survey respondents voicing growing concerns over tariffs, the broader economic outlook, and delays in customer decision-making. Sentiment is now at its lowest since November 2022.
Germany’s Manufacturing Holds Ground Amid Services Slump
In Germany, the bloc’s largest economy, the Composite PMI fell to 49.7 from 51.3 in March, with the services sector suffering the most. The German Services PMI dropped to 48.8, reflecting client caution and trade-related uncertainty.
However, manufacturing showed signs of stabilization, aided by falling energy costs and a rare rise in export orders. “Most manufacturers are weathering the new tariffs better than expected,” said Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. “Production increased for the second consecutive month, indicating cautious momentum.”
France’s Downturn Deepens
In contrast, France’s economy continued its downward slide, with the Composite PMI falling to 47.3 in April from 48 in March. The services sector led the decline with a reading of 46.8, while manufacturing showed only minor improvement at 48.2.
“Demand, especially domestically, is weakening,” said Jonas Feldhusen, Junior Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. “The service sector is under considerable strain, and companies have responded by cutting staff.”
Feldhusen added that political instability and fiscal challenges are compounding France’s economic struggles, warning of ongoing pressure in the months ahead.
Inflation Slows, Supporting ECB Policy Shift
Despite the economic headwinds, inflation data offered some encouragement for the European Central Bank. Input costs rose at their slowest pace since November 2024, and output price inflation eased to a five-month low. Analysts believe this could strengthen the ECB’s case for further rate cuts, with some expecting up to three more reductions in 2025.
“With inflation pressures cooling, there’s more room for policy easing,” said de la Rubia. “We may see more targeted fiscal expansion, especially in areas like defense and infrastructure, which could help lift both manufacturing and services later in the year.”
The April data underscores the eurozone’s fragile recovery path, with analysts urging close monitoring of trade developments and domestic fiscal measures.
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