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Euro Surges to Five-Month High Following Trump’s Tariff Announcement

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The euro reached a nearly five-month high against the US dollar after President Donald Trump announced sweeping reciprocal tariffs, leading to a broad decline in the greenback. Global markets reacted sharply to the news, with stock indices plummeting and bond yields dropping amid growing economic uncertainty.

Following Trump’s announcement on Wednesday night, the euro rose 0.5% against the dollar, reaching 1.0915 at 5:17 am, close to its five-month peak of 1.0953. The surge nearly erased losses suffered since Trump’s re-election on November 5. The US president stated that his administration would impose a minimum 10% tariff on all countries, with additional higher levies targeting key trading partners. China, the European Union, and Vietnam topped the list of affected nations, facing tariffs of 34%, 20%, and 46%, respectively. China’s import duties will rise to 54% when combined with existing blanket tariffs.

The US dollar weakened significantly against major currencies, including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, and Swiss franc, as investors feared economic repercussions. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds fell to its lowest level since October 2024, reflecting expectations of a slowdown. Meanwhile, commodity-linked currencies, such as the Australian and Canadian dollars, declined against the US dollar, as falling crude oil and copper prices weighed on their performance.

Global Markets Tumble

The tariff announcement triggered a broad sell-off in global equities, with stock markets across Asia experiencing significant losses on Thursday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped nearly 3%, China’s Hang Seng Index slid 1.5%, while Australia’s ASX 200 and South Korea’s Kospi declined by 1% each. The selloff extended to mining stocks, with Australia’s BHP falling 2.4% and Rio Tinto dropping 2.8%. Weaker copper prices also pressured European equities, particularly those tied to the commodities sector.

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Market analyst Josh Gilbert of eToro noted that while Australia has minimal direct trade exposure to the US, the broader impact on China and other Asian economies could weigh heavily on Australia’s export-driven market. The economic fallout could intensify if global demand slows and commodity prices continue to decline.

In the US, stock futures pointed to a sharp downturn, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 2.01%, the S&P 500 falling 2.78%, and the Nasdaq dropping 3.3% in pre-market trading. European markets were also set to open lower, with Germany’s DAX futures down 1.89% as of 5:30 am CET. Tech stocks, particularly the “Magnificent Seven,” suffered heavy losses in after-hours trading, with Tesla down 4.5%, Apple losing 2.3%, and Nvidia declining 2.4%. Analysts warned that companies with significant exposure to China, such as Apple, could face further pressure in the coming weeks.

Gold Reaches Record High Amid Economic Uncertainty

The heightened risk-off sentiment sent gold prices soaring to a new all-time high, as investors sought safe-haven assets. Gold futures surged to $3,195 per ounce on COMEX, while spot gold touched $3,167 before slightly retreating.

Kyle Rodda, a senior market analyst at Capital.com, warned that uncertainties surrounding Trump’s trade policies could drive further demand for gold. “There was no clear indication that the Trump administration will stop here with ‘trade wars.’ That could mean further uncertainty,” Rodda said.

Gold has been one of the top-performing asset classes, rising 20% this year following a 30% surge in 2024. Factors such as increased central bank purchases, concerns over US dollar depreciation, and investor hedging strategies have contributed to gold’s sustained rally.

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As markets brace for further volatility, traders remain cautious, with attention focused on potential retaliatory measures from affected trading partners and the broader implications for global trade.

 

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CXMT Shares Soar 472% in China’s Biggest IPO in Years

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Shares of China’s largest memory chipmaker, CXMT, surged 472 per cent in their Shanghai debut on Monday, marking one of the biggest initial public offerings on mainland China in recent years and highlighting the growing importance of the semiconductor industry.

The stock was trading 462 per cent higher by early afternoon in Asia, giving CXMT a market capitalisation of about 3.3 trillion yuan, or approximately €415 billion. The company briefly became the most valuable company listed on a mainland Chinese exchange, although its valuation remained below those of South Korean and US memory chip giants Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and Micron Technology.

CXMT raised at least $8.6 billion, approximately €7.3 billion, through the offering. Its shares were priced at 8.66 yuan, or about €1.10, before the listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s STAR Market, which is designed for technology companies.

The offering was mainland China’s second-largest IPO after Agricultural Bank of China’s dual listing in Shanghai and Hong Kong in 2010, which raised $22.1 billion, approximately €18.8 billion.

Founded in 2016 in Hefei, CXMT is one of the world’s largest producers of DRAM memory chips. These semiconductors are used in a wide range of products, including artificial intelligence servers, cars, smartphones and personal computers.

The company has benefited from the rapid expansion of AI while also gaining importance as Beijing seeks to reduce China’s dependence on foreign technology. US-led export restrictions have limited China’s access to advanced chipmaking equipment and high-bandwidth memory, or HBM, which is widely used in AI systems.

CXMT’s revenue reached 50.8 billion yuan, approximately €6.4 billion, in the first three months of 2026, rising more than 700 per cent from a year earlier as demand for memory chips surged.

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The global expansion of AI has contributed to a shortage of memory chips and pushed up prices for some computers and smartphones. Analysts are watching whether CXMT can help ease supply pressures while expanding its international market share.

Counterpoint Research ranked CXMT as the world’s fourth-largest DRAM producer by shipments in 2025, with about 8 per cent of the global market. Samsung held 36 per cent, SK Hynix 29 per cent and Micron about 24 per cent. CXMT’s share rose to around 9 per cent in the first quarter of 2026 and is forecast to reach about 11 per cent by 2028.

The company faces major challenges in expanding production because restrictions limit access to some of the world’s most advanced chipmaking tools. CXMT has increasingly relied on domestic equipment suppliers.

US lawmakers have also called for restrictions on American companies purchasing CXMT chips. The company has been designated by the Pentagon as having links to the Chinese military, a classification Beijing has rejected in many cases.

The IPO came shortly after SK Hynix raised $26.5 billion through a Nasdaq listing, underlining the intense competition among global memory chipmakers as AI demand continues to reshape the semiconductor industry.

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Oil Prices Fall as US-Iran Pause Military Action and Shipping Risks Ease

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Oil prices fell in early trading on Monday, extending a decline from the two-month high reached last week as the United States and Iran refrained from launching further military strikes in the Persian Gulf.

Brent crude for September delivery fell 4.66 per cent to $92.27 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 5.02 per cent to $84.83.

Brent, the international benchmark, briefly reached $102 a barrel last week. That was about $30 higher than the most actively traded contract had been at the beginning of the month and marked the highest level since May.

Oil prices had risen sharply this month as fighting in the Middle East intensified and markets grew concerned that a return to full-scale war could further disrupt global crude supplies.

The safety of tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has remained a major concern for energy markets since the United States and Israel attacked Iran in late February. The narrow waterway off Iran’s coast carries about one-fifth of the world’s oil supplies from the Persian Gulf to international markets.

The conflict has severely reduced shipping activity through the strait, forcing producers and exporters to seek alternative routes. Those routes have also come under pressure, with attacks last week targeting Saudi oil tankers travelling through the Red Sea.

Any prolonged reduction in available crude supplies could push prices higher and raise fuel costs for consumers and businesses.

The latest decline in oil prices comes as inflation had begun to ease more quickly than many economists expected. However, the recent surge in energy prices has renewed concerns about the outlook for consumer prices.

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Traders are now pricing in a 36 per cent chance that the Federal Reserve will raise its main interest rate at an upcoming meeting, according to CME Group data.

Higher interest rates can help reduce inflation by limiting borrowing and spending, but they can also slow economic activity by making loans more expensive for households and businesses.

Although oil prices have surrendered part of their substantial July gains, uncertainty remains high. Markets continue to monitor developments in the Middle East, the safety of key shipping routes and the potential impact of ongoing geopolitical tensions on global crude supplies.

Any renewed military action or further attacks on alternative shipping routes could quickly push prices higher again, while a sustained diplomatic pause could allow supply concerns to ease.

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Italy Fuel Prices Rise Above €2.60 a Litre as Government Considers Relief Measures

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Fuel prices in Italy have returned to the centre of political and economic debate, with petrol and diesel costs rising above €2.60 a litre in parts of Milan and on several motorways.

The latest increases have raised concerns among households, businesses and consumer groups, while the government prepares measures aimed at limiting the impact of higher fuel costs.

A petrol station in central Milan recorded a price of €2.60 a litre on Saturday. Prices above €2.70 for diesel and €2.50 for petrol were also reported on several major motorways, including the A21 Turin-Piacenza, A4 Venice-Trieste and A22 Brenner-Modena routes. Some stations on the Milan-Brescia and Messina-Palermo routes also reported sharp increases.

In Rome, petrol prices reached €2.30 a litre at several filling stations.

The latest increase follows the end of a government excise-duty cut introduced during the energy crisis linked to the war between the US and Iran. The measure expired on July 3.

According to the latest data from the Fuel Price Observatory, the average self-service price on Italy’s national road network stood at €1.981 a litre for petrol and €2.184 for diesel. On motorways, the averages were €2.071 for petrol and €2.255 for diesel.

Consumer group Codacons warned that Italians could spend €10.8 billion on fuel during July, almost €2 billion more than in the same period last year.

The organisation estimated that households could spend an additional €841 million on petrol and diesel this month compared with July 2025, assuming fuel consumption remains unchanged.

The research office of Cgia di Mestre estimated that households and businesses could face almost €29 billion in additional costs for electricity, gas and fuels during 2026. Petrol and diesel were expected to account for €13.6 billion of that increase, up 20.4% from last year.

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The government is considering a variable excise-duty system that could allow tax reductions when fuel prices rise and VAT revenues increase.

Business and Made in Italy Minister Adolfo Urso said the government was waiting for Economy Ministry calculations on additional VAT revenue before determining the scale of any possible cut.

Urso defended the government’s efforts to monitor fuel prices and tackle speculation, saying Italy’s system had helped limit increases compared with other countries.

Opposition parties have called for faster and more substantial action. Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein urged Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni to accept the variable excise-duty proposal.

Five Star Movement leader Giuseppe Conte called for broader measures to protect families and businesses from rising energy costs.

With fuel prices continuing to put pressure on household budgets and company finances, the government is now under growing pressure to act before the increase feeds into wider inflation and transport costs.

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