Business
China’s Trade Surplus Hits Record $1.2 Trillion as Exports Outperform Expectations
China’s trade surplus reached a record high of almost $1.2 trillion last year, government data showed Wednesday, as strong exports to global markets offset slowing sales to the United States.
According to customs authorities, China’s exports rose 5.5% in 2025 to $3.77 trillion, while imports remained largely flat at $2.58 trillion, producing a trade surplus of $992 billion. Exports surged in December, climbing 6.6% compared with the same month in 2024, exceeding economists’ forecasts and surpassing November’s 5.9% increase. Imports in December grew 5.7% year-on-year, up from 1.9% the previous month.
Economists say exports will remain a key driver of China’s economic growth this year despite trade frictions and geopolitical tensions. Jacqueline Rong, chief China economist at BNP Paribas, said, “We continue to expect exports to act as a big growth driver in 2026.”
Exports to the United States have fallen sharply since the start of former President Donald Trump’s trade policies, but China has made up the gap with strong sales to markets in South America, Southeast Asia, Africa, and Europe. Analysts point to robust global demand for computer chips, electronic devices, and the materials used to produce them as major contributors to export growth.
China’s strong trade performance helped its economy grow at a rate close to its official 5% annual target. Policymakers have focused on stimulating domestic consumption and business spending, including programs that offer subsidies to replace older appliances and vehicles with newer, energy-efficient models. However, these measures have had limited impact compared with export-driven growth.
Despite last year’s positive results, Beijing faces a “severe and complex” external trade environment in 2026, according to Wang Jun, vice minister of China’s customs administration. He expressed confidence in the country’s trade outlook, saying China’s “foreign trade fundamentals remain solid.”
In international developments, Brussels published new guidelines allowing Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers to submit minimum pricing offers, easing previously steep tariffs imposed in response to Beijing’s subsidy programs. The move could mark a significant step toward resolving the EU-China EV trade dispute. Under negotiations, Chinese producers have pledged to raise the prices of battery electric vehicles to create fairer competition with European manufacturers.
China remains the EU’s second-largest trading partner in goods after the United States. Analysts say continued demand for Chinese exports and potential progress in EU trade relations could support China’s trade and economic performance throughout 2026.
The record trade surplus underscores China’s resilience in global commerce, even as trade disputes and economic uncertainties pose ongoing challenges for policymakers.
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