Business
Bank of England Holds Interest Rate at 4% Amid Persistent Inflation
The Bank of England (BoE) has kept its main interest rate unchanged at 4%, as inflation in the UK continues to run well above the central bank’s 2% target.
The decision, announced on Thursday, was widely expected by markets. Of the nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), seven voted to hold the rate steady, while two pushed for a 0.25 percentage point cut to 3.75%.
“Markets were pricing in a 98% likelihood that rates would stay at 4.0%, because so far, we are not seeing enough progress in bringing inflation down to give room for manoeuvre on rates,” said Steve Clayton, head of equity funds at Hargreaves Lansdown.
Latest figures from the Office for National Statistics showed inflation at 3.8% in the year to August, nearly double the BoE’s target. The data also revealed slowing wage growth and stagnant GDP in July, heightening concerns about weak economic momentum.
The BoE’s decision followed the U.S. Federal Reserve’s move on Wednesday to cut key interest rates, which some analysts said could support the pound and reduce the cost of imports. “This is good for consumers, but investors may see difficult conditions continuing, particularly for tech and property firms,” said Nick Saunders, CEO of stock trading platform Webull UK. “In the current environment, inflation risk is more pressing than lack of growth, and the Bank has to deal with this first.”
The Bank last lowered interest rates in August, after a series of reductions that began earlier this year. If the current pace of cuts continues, another adjustment could come in November. However, economists remain divided on whether a reduction is likely, given that inflation has proven stickier than anticipated, partly due to sustained wage pressures.
“The Bank will be watching employment and growth data closely for now, because it will worry about choking off growth if interest rates stay too high for too long, but for now, its hands look tied,” said Clayton.
Lindsay James, investment strategist at Quilter, noted that the MPC had previously signalled inflation would peak in September before easing back toward target levels. However, he warned markets may not see another rate cut until April 2025. “Whether or not the UK economy can wait until April before the next rate cut remains to be seen … for now, inflation is the big concern and appears to be an issue neither the BoE nor the government can tame,” he said.
With inflation stubbornly high and growth sluggish, the BoE faces a delicate balancing act in the months ahead, as markets turn their attention to the next policy meeting in November.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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