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Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam Opens Amid Fierce Dispute With Egypt and Sudan

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Ethiopia’s long-awaited Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) was officially inaugurated in September, marking what Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed described as “a generational victory.” But while the ceremony was hailed as a triumph in Addis Ababa, leaders in Egypt and Sudan called it an “existential threat,” deepening long-standing tensions over control of the Nile’s waters.

Speaking at the inauguration on 9 September, Abiy praised the dam as a symbol of national pride and self-reliance. “This lake has brought with it a wealth greater than Ethiopia’s GDP. The era of begging has ended,” he declared to gathered officials and regional leaders. Behind him, torrents of water cascaded from the 74-billion-cubic-metre reservoir — a body of water roughly the size of Greater London.

The dam, located on the Blue Nile in western Ethiopia, is expected to generate between 5,000 and 6,000 megawatts of electricity, potentially transforming the country into a regional energy hub. Abiy described it as a “shared opportunity” for neighbouring nations. Yet no representatives from Egypt or Sudan attended the ceremony, underlining their deep opposition to the project.

Just weeks later, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi warned that his country “will not stand idly by” in response to what he called Ethiopia’s “irresponsible” actions. Cairo and Khartoum have long feared that the dam will restrict the flow of water downstream, threatening their agriculture and livelihoods.

The Nile dispute predates the GERD by decades. Egypt’s water rights are anchored in colonial-era agreements — including treaties from 1902, 1929, and 1959 — that heavily favoured Cairo, granting it roughly two-thirds of the Nile’s flow. Ethiopia, which contributes about 85% of the river’s water through the Blue Nile, argues those accords were unfairly imposed and outdated.

“The construction of the GERD was the first time these old treaties were truly challenged,” said Ahmed Morsey, an Egyptian analyst with the Middle East Council on Global Affairs. Ethiopian scholar Tsedenya Girmay added that a 2015 declaration of principles was meant to ease tensions, ensuring the dam would operate without harming downstream nations. “But domestic political crises derailed those efforts,” she said.

In Ethiopia, the dam has become a symbol of unity in a nation often divided by internal strife. “The GERD is the one thing that unites Ethiopians,” Tsedenya noted, pointing out that it even features in school curricula. With nearly 60 million Ethiopians lacking electricity, the project is seen as crucial for national development.

Egypt, meanwhile, sees the dam as a direct threat to its survival. Ninety-five percent of its 115 million citizens live along the Nile, which remains the country’s primary water source. Al-Sisi has insisted Egypt will pursue diplomacy, though past U.S.-brokered negotiations have collapsed amid mutual distrust.

Analysts suggest that regional instability has only hardened positions. Sudan’s civil war has drawn its leaders closer to Egypt’s stance, while Ethiopia accuses Cairo of meddling in its internal affairs. At the same time, the European Union has tilted toward Egypt, recently reaffirming its “support for Egypt’s water security” during a summit in Brussels.

According to Corrado Čok of the European Council on Foreign Relations, the EU’s shift stems from its growing reliance on Egypt for regional stability, energy cooperation, and migration control. “Cairo has become an indispensable partner,” he said, noting that this alignment has weakened Europe’s once-neutral role in the Nile dispute.

As the GERD begins operations, its promise of prosperity for Ethiopia contrasts sharply with fears of crisis in Egypt and Sudan — a reminder that the Nile, the river that sustains life across the region, continues to divide as much as it unites.

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Chile Holds Presidential Election Amid Crime and Immigration Debate

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Chile is holding its presidential election on Sunday, with candidates campaigning on tough stances on crime and immigration. The vote comes four years after progressive Gabriel Boric was elected, at a time when the electorate is deeply divided and a new compulsory voting law adds an element of uncertainty.

Over 14 million Chileans are eligible to vote in the elections, which will also renew the entire Chamber of Deputies and nearly half of the Senate. Security and immigration concerns have dominated the campaign, shifting public attention toward conservative candidates. Evelyn Matthei has called for drug traffickers to be “in jail or in the cemetery,” while Franco Parisi described drug trafficking as “narco-terrorism” and advocated for “bullet or jail.”

The three main contenders offer contrasting visions for Chile’s future. José Antonio Kast, 59, a Republican Party member and the brother of a former minister who served under General Augusto Pinochet, is running for president for the third time. He has focused his campaign on combating crime and illegal immigration. Jeannette Jara, 51, a former minister in Boric’s government and member of the Communist Party, has pledged to expand pensions, lower electricity costs, and construct tens of thousands of new homes. Johannes Kaiser, 49, a former YouTube commentator and legislator, has questioned vaccination programs, opposed abortion, and promised to withdraw Chile from climate agreements and the Inter-American Court of Human Rights.

The introduction of compulsory voting in 2023 could significantly affect turnout, particularly among younger voters. Generation Z, born after 1996, accounts for roughly a third of the electorate, and polls suggest that 30% of these voters have yet to decide. Social media has played a major role, with candidates using platforms like TikTok to mobilize supporters. Jara and Matthei have accused Kast of orchestrating social media campaigns against them, allegations he denies.

Polls indicate a close race. Latest surveys show Jara leading with 30% support, followed by Kast at 22% and Kaiser at 15%. Prediction markets, however, see Kast as the frontrunner with a 70% chance of winning. Analysts suggest that none of the candidates is likely to secure an absolute majority on Sunday, making a run-off election probable on 14 December, likely between Jara and Kast.

A conservative or far-right advance could also reshape the legislative landscape. Polls suggest that both coalitions might achieve a majority in Congress, raising the possibility of a government with limited parliamentary opposition—a scenario not seen in Chile in the past 15 years.

Polling stations opened at 8:00 local time (UTC-4) and will close at 18:00. With crime, immigration, and economic issues at the forefront, this election is being closely watched as a test of Chile’s political direction in a highly polarized environment.

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Trump Orders Justice Department Probe Into Epstein Ties With Clinton, Other Democrats

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Former US President Donald Trump has directed Attorney General Pam Bondi to launch an investigation into connections between convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein and several prominent Democrats, including former President Bill Clinton. The move follows the release of new emails by Congress showing Epstein’s communications with influential figures in the US and abroad.

The emails, released Wednesday by the House Oversight Committee, stem from Epstein’s personal accounts and reveal interactions with lawmakers, business leaders, and other high-profile individuals. Trump accused the Democratic Party of attempting to revive what he called the “Epstein hoax” to distract from policy failures and political setbacks, including a recent government shutdown.

“Epstein was a Democrat, and he is the Democrat’s problem, not the Republican’s problem,” Trump said in a statement on social media. He also referenced Clinton, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, and LinkedIn founder and major Democratic donor Reid Hoffman, asserting that they had close ties to Epstein.

Trump confirmed that he had instructed Bondi to investigate Epstein’s connections with Clinton, Summers, Hoffman, and financial institutions such as J.P. Morgan Chase. “I will be asking A.G. Pam Bondi, and the Department of Justice, together with our great patriots at the FBI, to investigate Jeffrey Epstein’s involvement and relationship with Bill Clinton, Larry Summers, Reid Hoffman, J.P. Morgan, Chase, and many other people and institutions, to determine what was going on with them, and him,” Trump said.

Clinton has denied any wrongdoing or awareness of Epstein’s criminal activities. J.P. Morgan Chase also issued a statement expressing regret over any association with Epstein, emphasizing that it had ended relations with him years before his arrest. “We regret any association we had with the man, but did not help him commit his heinous acts,” said Patricia Wexler, a spokesperson for the bank.

Bondi announced via social media that she had appointed Jay Clayton, U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, to oversee the investigation. “Clayton is one of the most capable and trusted prosecutors in the country, and I’ve asked him to take the lead,” she said, noting that the Department of Justice would conduct the inquiry with “urgency and integrity.”

The announcement comes a week before the House of Representatives is set to vote on whether the Justice Department should release all files related to Epstein, who died by suicide in a federal prison in 2019 while awaiting trial on sex-trafficking charges. Republican Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene urged Trump to ensure that House Republicans vote in favor of releasing the documents, calling failure to do so a “huge miscalculation.” Greene and four other House Republicans have already filed a discharge petition, which has garnered 218 signatures, seeking the public release of all Epstein-related records.

The investigation highlights ongoing scrutiny of Epstein’s network and connections to prominent political and financial figures, as well as continuing debates over transparency and accountability in Washington.

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US Nuclear Weapons in Germany Raise Security Questions Amid Rising Global Tensions

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As the Bundeswehr marks its 70th anniversary in Berlin, the celebration is shadowed by growing anxiety over Germany’s security. Around 20 US nuclear weapons are currently stored in the country—modernised, ready for use, and symbolic of Washington’s longstanding commitment to Europe’s defence. Yet experts warn that this deterrent may not guarantee protection if the United States hesitates to act in a crisis.

The weapons, believed to be B61-12 hydrogen bombs stored at Büchel Air Base in Rhineland-Palatinate, can be deployed by fighter jets such as the Eurofighter. Their destructive capacity remains immense. The bombs form part of the US nuclear umbrella extended to NATO allies since the Cold War, but concerns have deepened over the reliability of that shield under President Donald Trump, who has questioned aspects of NATO’s mutual defence commitments.

“It has never been and cannot be certain that the US will actually deploy nuclear weapons. It is not a guarantee. But the important thing is that the enemy cannot rule it out,” said political scientist and security expert Karl-Heinz Kamp, a former president of the Federal Academy for Security Policy and an associate fellow at the German Council on Foreign Relations. “Deterrence is pure speculation. It has held up so far, for 50 years.”

Reports from several US media outlets suggest that the United States brought new nuclear weapons to Europe over the summer, with signs including flight paths and the delivery of F-35 fighter jets designed to carry tactical nuclear weapons. Germany has also ordered a fleet of F-35s, expected to arrive in 2026.

Since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, nuclear deterrence has returned to the forefront of European security debates. Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly brandished nuclear threats, touting his arsenal of about 5,500 warheads and showcasing intercontinental missiles such as the RS-24 “Yars.” Kamp noted that while Putin uses nuclear rhetoric as a political tool, actual deployment remains unlikely. “Whoever shoots first, dies second. That is not a desirable state of affairs,” he said.

Still, questions persist about whether US nuclear weapons in Germany could be relocated to NATO’s eastern flank, including the Baltic states, Poland, or Romania, as a stronger warning to Moscow. Kamp acknowledged this possibility, calling such a move a potential “signal to Russia.”

Anti-nuclear groups, including ICAN Germany, continue to demand the withdrawal of US weapons from German territory, arguing that they make the country a target rather than a protectorate.

While some analysts argue that Germany could technically produce its own nuclear arsenal, Kamp described the idea as politically untenable given Germany’s post-war commitments. The nation is bound by the 1990 Two Plus Four Treaty and the 1969 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, both of which prohibit it from developing nuclear weapons.

Public opinion also stands firmly against the idea. Only about a third of Germans support developing domestic nuclear arms. For now, Germany’s security remains anchored within NATO, protected not only by the United States but also by the nuclear capabilities of France and the United Kingdom.

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