Business
UniCredit Reports Record Q2 Profit, Lifts Full-Year Outlook and Announces New Share Buyback
Italian banking giant UniCredit has posted its best quarterly performance on record, reporting a net profit of €3.3 billion for the second quarter of 2025, significantly beating analyst expectations and prompting the bank to raise its full-year earnings forecast.
The robust results mark a strong start to the European banking earnings season and signal growing investor confidence in UniCredit’s trajectory. The bank’s net income for the first half of the year now stands at €6.1 billion, driven by solid core revenues and strong asset quality.
“This is the best first half in the bank’s history,” said UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel. “We are protected for the future as our low cost of risk, strong asset quality, and unmatched overlays safeguard against potential macroeconomic downturns.”
Earnings per share jumped 34% year-on-year to €2.16, far exceeding the consensus forecast of €1.55. Core revenue rose 1.3% to €5.9 billion in the second quarter.
Full-Year Guidance Raised
In a sign of continued strength, the Milan-based lender upgraded its full-year net profit forecast to approximately €10.5 billion—up from a previous estimate of more than €9.3 billion. UniCredit also lifted its net revenue target to above €23.5 billion and boosted its return on tangible equity (ROTE) forecast to around 20%, from the earlier estimate of over 17%.
Looking further ahead, the bank now expects 2027 net profit to reach at least €11 billion, up from previous guidance of €10 billion. Total shareholder distributions for 2025 are projected to reach €9.5 billion, including a minimum cash dividend of €4.75 billion. An interim cash dividend of €2.1 billion is planned for later this year, with an ex-dividend date set for November 24.
A €3.6 billion share buyback programme will also commence following the publication of second-quarter results.
Strong Balance Sheet and Strategic Decisions
UniCredit maintained a strong balance sheet, with a gross non-performing exposure (NPE) ratio of 2.6% and a low cost of risk at nine basis points for the first half. The figures reflect continued asset quality and prudent financial management.
Separately, the bank announced it had withdrawn its offer for Banco BPM, citing unresolved regulatory hurdles related to Italy’s golden power rules. Orcel stated that the timeline for resolution exceeded the offer period and no longer served the best interest of shareholders.
Market Response
Shares in UniCredit rose 2.6% to €59.60 in early Wednesday trading, pushing the stock’s year-to-date gains to 54%. The shares rose 56% in 2024 and 85% in 2023, making UniCredit one of Europe’s top-performing banks.
The broader Euro STOXX Banks index climbed 1.4%, outperforming the Euro STOXX 600, which rose 0.9%. Peer banks including Deutsche Bank, BBVA, Nordea, and BNP Paribas also posted gains ahead of their own earnings results.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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