Business
Italy and Spain Lead Job Market Growth in 2025, While UK, Germany, and France Lag Behind
Job postings in Italy and Spain are on the rise in early 2025, while hiring trends in the UK, Germany, and France are showing signs of decline, according to an analysis by Euronews Business based on data from hiring platform Indeed.
Italy and Spain Outperform Pre-Pandemic Job Levels
Among Europe’s five largest economies, Italy and Spain have demonstrated the strongest job market growth, with postings increasing by 9% and 4%, respectively, in the three months leading up to February 14, 2025. Meanwhile, France, Germany, and the UK saw declines of 4%, 2%, and 2%, respectively, over the same period.
Compared to pre-pandemic levels in February 2020, Italy and Spain have seen job postings surge by 78% and 52%, respectively. In contrast, France and Germany have experienced moderate increases of 29% and 26%, while the UK remains the only country where job postings are still below pre-pandemic levels, standing at just 85.1% of its February 2020 benchmark.
Key Drivers of Growth in Italy and Spain
According to Pawel Adrjan, Director of Economic Research at Indeed, Italy and Spain are benefiting from Next Generation EU funds and rising service exports, which have fueled job creation. Additionally, Spain’s GDP growth has received a boost from population growth due to immigration.
Despite a slowdown in employment and GDP growth in Italy in 2024, the country’s labor market remains strong, supported by household consumption and further EU funding.
The sectors driving this job growth include Food Preparation & Service and Software Development, which have seen the most significant rise in job postings in both Italy and Spain.
Challenges in the UK, Germany, and France
While hiring in Italy and Spain continues to grow, the job markets in Germany, the UK, and France are facing economic headwinds. Adrjan attributes this slowdown to stagnant manufacturing and broader economic uncertainty.
The UK job market, in particular, has been slower to recover, with employment data showing a decline in payroll employment over the past six months. High interest rates, weak GDP growth, and increased employer costs—including higher national insurance and minimum wage requirements—have made businesses more cautious about hiring.
Employment Rates and Future Outlook
Despite the rise in job postings, Italy (67.4%) and Spain (71.4%) still recorded the lowest employment rates among the five economies in the third quarter of 2024, according to Eurostat and the UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS). Germany (81.2%) had the highest employment rate, followed by France (75.3%) and the UK (74.9%).
Looking ahead, job growth in Italy and Spain is expected to remain strong, barring major disruptions from geopolitical or trade tensions. Meanwhile, Germany, France, and the UK may struggle to see significant hiring increases unless their broader economies regain momentum.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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