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ASML Reports Strong Q4 Results Amid Semiconductor Market Turmoil

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Dutch semiconductor giant ASML has reported robust fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings, highlighting strong demand in the artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductor industries despite rising competition from China’s DeepSeek.

Steady Revenue Growth Despite Market Challenges

ASML’s total net sales for 2024 reached €28.3 billion, marking an increase from €27.6 billion in 2023. The company attributed this growth to rapid advancements in AI, which have fueled higher semiconductor demand. However, net income declined slightly to €7.6 billion from €7.8 billion the previous year. Following the earnings report, ASML’s stock surged 10.45% on Wednesday morning.

Surge in Net Bookings

A key highlight of ASML’s performance was the surge in net bookings, which rose to €7.1 billion in Q4 2024, up from €2.6 billion in the previous quarter. This increase was primarily driven by strong demand from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC). Bookings for extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV) technology, which is essential for producing smaller and more powerful chips, accounted for €3 billion of the total. ASML remains the only company capable of producing EUV systems.

However, net bookings for the full year declined to €18.9 billion from €20 billion in 2023, reflecting uncertainties in the global semiconductor market.

Optimistic Outlook for 2025

Looking ahead, ASML forecasts first-quarter 2025 net sales between €7.5 billion and €8 billion, with a gross margin between 52% and 53%. For the full year, ASML expects total net sales to range between €30 billion and €35 billion, with gross margins between 51% and 53%.

CEO Christophe Fouquet emphasized AI’s role in driving the industry’s growth: “The growth in artificial intelligence is the key driver for our industry. It has created a shift in market dynamics, presenting both opportunities and risks.”

Analyst Reactions: Confidence in ASML’s Future

Analysts reacted positively to ASML’s results. Ben Barringer, technology analyst at Quilter Cheviot, described the earnings as “impressive,” noting that revenue exceeded forecasts by 2.5%, and profits surpassed expectations by 8%. ASML is forecasting 15% growth in 2025, which Barringer believes underscores confidence in semiconductor demand.

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Despite concerns over China’s DeepSeek and declining sales in the Chinese market—which dropped from 47% to 27% quarter-over-quarter—ASML has offset losses with strong demand from South Korea and the US.

DeepSeek’s Disruptive Impact on the AI and Semiconductor Market

The rise of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI-powered chatbot, has intensified market concerns. Since its January 20 release, the app has become the most downloaded free app on the US Apple Store, surpassing OpenAI. DeepSeek claims its AI models match or outperform US rivals in tasks like coding and mathematics while being significantly cheaper and more efficient in semiconductor use.

This development has raised fears for industry leaders like Nvidia, which recently suffered the largest single-day loss in US stock market history, losing nearly $600 billion in market value. Additionally, DeepSeek’s emergence has reignited concerns over the US’s inability to curb China’s AI advancements.

Waiting to See the Long-Term Impact

While ASML’s Q4 results have helped alleviate concerns in the semiconductor market, uncertainty remains regarding how DeepSeek’s rise will shape future demand. Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, acknowledged ASML’s strong earnings performance but warned that AI innovation from China could disrupt industry demand by 2026.

“While ASML is positive about its 2025 outlook, it will take time to see if DeepSeek’s impact will alter demand for advanced chips. If AI development becomes cheaper and more efficient, it could pose challenges for ASML and other semiconductor firms.”

Despite these uncertainties, ASML’s solid order book and strategic positioning in advanced semiconductor manufacturing suggest resilience in a rapidly evolving industry. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether ASML can sustain its momentum amid shifting market dynamics.

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Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist

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Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.

European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.

Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.

Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.

Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.

Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.

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Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.

Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.

In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.

Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.

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Goldman Sachs tapped to lead SpaceX IPO as Musk eyes record-breaking market debut

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Goldman Sachs has reportedly secured the lead underwriting role for the anticipated stock market debut of SpaceX, a move that signals preparations are accelerating for what could become the largest initial public offering in history.

According to sources cited by CNBC, the aerospace and artificial intelligence company founded by Elon Musk is expected to move ahead with a public listing later this year at a valuation of at least $1.25 trillion.

Such a valuation would place SpaceX among the world’s most valuable publicly traded companies immediately after listing, potentially ranking ahead of Tesla, another company led by Musk.

The planned flotation is also expected to further boost Musk’s personal fortune and could make him the first person to reach trillionaire status, according to market analysts.

Reports suggest the company is considering an unusual structure for the offering that would reserve a significant portion of shares for individual investors. SpaceX is said to be exploring plans to allocate as much as 30 percent of IPO shares to retail buyers, a move that would give smaller investors broader access to one of the most highly anticipated stock offerings in recent years.

Large technology IPOs are typically dominated by institutional investors such as hedge funds and pension firms, making the proposed retail allocation notable within the investment industry.

Analysts said much of SpaceX’s valuation growth has been driven by its satellite internet business, Starlink, which has rapidly expanded its global subscriber base and established a recurring revenue stream.

The company also increased its exposure to artificial intelligence earlier this year through an all-stock deal involving xAI, another Musk-controlled business. The transaction reportedly valued SpaceX at $1 trillion and xAI at $250 billion, creating a combined private valuation of $1.25 trillion.

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The expected listing comes at a time when global IPO markets are beginning to recover after several years of weak activity caused by higher interest rates and volatility in technology stocks.

Recent enthusiasm around AI-related firms has revived investor appetite for major public offerings. Last week, AI chipmaker Cerebras Systems debuted on the Nasdaq and ended trading with a valuation near $95 billion, strengthening expectations for more large-scale technology listings in 2026.

For Goldman Sachs, landing the lead role in the SpaceX offering would represent one of the most prestigious deals in modern Wall Street history. Competition among major investment banks for high-profile technology listings has intensified as firms seek to secure lucrative underwriting fees and strengthen relationships with fast-growing AI and technology companies.

Neither SpaceX nor Goldman Sachs has publicly confirmed the reports.

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Greek Stocks Stage Remarkable Comeback After Years of Financial Turmoil

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A decade after Greece’s financial crisis pushed its banking system to the brink and wiped out most of the country’s stock market value, Athens has emerged as one of the world’s strongest-performing equity markets, outperforming major global indices including the Nasdaq 100 over the past five years.

The recovery marks a dramatic reversal for a country once viewed as the eurozone’s biggest financial risk. In 2015, Greece imposed capital controls, shut its banks and froze trading on the Athens Stock Exchange as fears of sovereign default shook global markets. At the height of the crisis, cash withdrawals were limited to €60 a day and Greek government debt had been downgraded to junk status by major ratings agencies.

By February 2016, the Athens Composite Index had fallen more than 90 percent from its 2007 peak, while Greek banking shares lost nearly all their value.

Today, the picture looks very different.

The Athens Composite Index has returned about 146 percent over the past five years on a total-return basis, outpacing the Nasdaq 100, which gained around 116 percent during the same period. Greece’s rebound has been driven by sweeping banking reforms, stronger public finances and renewed investor confidence.

Greek banks played a central role in the recovery. Lenders including National Bank of Greece, Eurobank, Piraeus Bank and Alpha Bank spent years dealing with enormous volumes of bad loans accumulated during the debt crisis. At one point, nearly half of all loans on their books were classified as non-performing.

The clean-up accelerated under the government-backed Hercules asset protection scheme, which allowed banks to remove billions of euros in troubled loans from their balance sheets. Improved profitability, stronger deposits and tighter cost controls followed.

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By 2025, the country’s four biggest banks had collectively posted profits close to €5 billion, with several restoring shareholder payouts and share buybacks.

At the same time, Greece carried out major tax and fiscal reforms under international supervision. Digital tax collection systems boosted compliance rates, while government finances steadily improved. Greece recorded primary budget surpluses in both 2024 and 2025, helping reduce its debt burden sharply from pandemic-era highs.

The recovery also prompted credit rating agencies to restore Greece to investment-grade status for the first time in more than a decade. Moody’s became the last major agency to do so in 2025.

International investors have increasingly returned to Greek assets, encouraged by still-attractive valuations compared with other European markets. Shares in some Greek banks have risen roughly 500 percent over the last five years, though many still trade at lower earnings multiples than their European peers.

Athens also received a major boost after Euronext completed its acquisition of the Greek stock exchange in late 2025, increasing the visibility of Greek companies among international investors and index funds.

Despite the turnaround, challenges remain. Greece’s economy is still heavily reliant on tourism, inflation remains elevated and officials warn that tensions in the Middle East could affect growth and energy prices.

Even so, Greece’s transformation from financial crisis symbol to one of Europe’s strongest market recoveries has become one of the most notable turnaround stories in global finance.

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