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Poland Heads to Decisive Presidential Runoff Between Trzaskowski and Nawrocki
Poland is bracing for a tightly contested presidential runoff between Civic Platform’s Rafal Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki, who is backed by the conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party. The second round of voting is set for June 1, following a closely fought first round on May 18.
With the final tally from the first round placing Trzaskowski slightly ahead at 31.36% and Nawrocki at 29.54%, the race has now narrowed to two candidates, both of whom are currently polling evenly at 46.3%, according to the latest aggregated surveys.
Trzaskowski, the Mayor of Warsaw, is making a renewed bid for the presidency after narrowly losing to incumbent Andrzej Duda in 2020. Duda, who is constitutionally barred from seeking a third term, remains a key figure within the conservative opposition. Nawrocki, meanwhile, has emerged as PiS’s leading contender, promising to continue the party’s conservative policy legacy.
With the margins razor-thin, the outcome of the runoff is expected to hinge on voters who backed other candidates in the first round. Notably, far-right candidates Slawomir Mentzen and Grzegorz Braun secured 14.8% and 6.34% of the vote, respectively — a combined bloc that could be decisive in determining the next president.
Both Trzaskowski and Nawrocki have since made overtures to Mentzen’s supporters, including appearances on his YouTube channel to outline their platforms and attract voters from the political fringes.
This election is seen as pivotal for the governing coalition, which has struggled to enact progressive reforms in the face of opposition from the presidency. Analysts say the winner of the June 1 vote will significantly influence the country’s direction on major issues including civil liberties, migration, judicial reforms, and national security.
The official results will be announced by the State Electoral Commission (PKW) shortly after voting concludes. The president-elect will be sworn into office on August 6 before a joint session of the Sejm and Senate, commencing a five-year term with the possibility of re-election in 2030.
As Poland prepares to head to the polls once again, both candidates are ramping up their campaigns in what is shaping up to be one of the most consequential elections in recent years.
News
EU Must End ‘Naivety’ on Trade and Confront China’s Industrial Strategy, Says French Minister
France’s Minister for Foreign Trade, Nicolas Forissier, has called on the European Union to abandon what he described as “naivety” in its approach to global trade, urging a tougher stance on countries accused of distorting markets through industrial policy and trade practices.
Speaking in an interview with Euronews’ 12 Minutes With programme, Forissier said Europe must respond more firmly to what he described as the weaponisation of trade dependencies, warning that China in particular could damage its own long-term interests by undermining European industry.
“The Chinese have to understand that they won’t win anything if they destroy the European industry and then the European market, which is an essential market for them,” he said. “We must no longer be naive.”
His comments come as the European Commission prepares to hold an “orientation debate” next week on how to respond to a surge of low-cost Chinese imports. The discussion is expected to shape possible new trade defence measures, with further talks likely when EU leaders meet in Brussels in mid-June.
Forissier said the shift in thinking was not limited to China alone but applied to any country using commercial leverage to gain strategic advantage. “It is not only China,” he said. “It is all the countries that weaponise trade.”
Among the proposals under consideration is a requirement for EU companies to diversify supply chains, sourcing components from at least three different suppliers in order to reduce dependency on any single foreign market. Asked whether he supported such a measure, Forissier replied: “Yes, we have to.”
Other options include targeted tariffs on sensitive industries such as chemicals, alongside stronger use of anti-dumping and anti-subsidy tools to counter imports priced below domestic market levels. These measures are designed to address concerns over overcapacity in China’s industrial sector and its impact on European manufacturers.
The debate is taking place against a backdrop of widening trade imbalances. EU goods imports from China exceeded exports by €359.3 billion in 2025, marking an increase of nearly 20% compared with the previous year.
China has already warned it could retaliate if the bloc imposes new restrictions, raising concerns about potential escalation in trade tensions between two of the world’s largest economies.
France has repeatedly pushed for a more assertive European trade policy, arguing that state subsidies, export controls on raw materials and industrial overproduction in major economies are distorting global markets.
Forissier stressed that Europe must maintain open dialogue with Beijing while defending its own industrial base. “We try to respect the Chinese,” he said. “The Chinese have to respect us, and this is the message European institutions have to send.”
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